Welcome to our community
Be apart of something great, join today!
2024 Pre-Election Political Polls | POLL - Trump would have had 7 point lead over Biden
- Thread starter nycfan
- Start date
- Replies: 6K
- Views: 183K
- Politics
aGDevil2k
Inconceivable Member
- Messages
- 3,342
I question things that say "state's" for a plural
lawtig02
Inconceivable Member
- Messages
- 3,817
Any one poll is only marginally useful, especially when it’s within the MOE. The trend, though, especially in the high quality polls, can be revealing.
BillOfRights
Honored Member
- Messages
- 839
I didn't realize Alsobrooks was leading a popular governor by that margin. Awesome.
BillOfRights
Honored Member
- Messages
- 839
This is the first poll I've seen with McCormick even close! This seems like (I hope it's) an outlier.
- Messages
- 951
There's lies, damn lies, statistics, and polls.
BillOfRights
Honored Member
- Messages
- 839
I believe PA will be tight, MI seems likely for Harris, but WTF is going on with WI???
dukeman92
Iconic Member
- Messages
- 1,524
“… But Ms. Harris still has some critical vulnerabilities heading into the fall, most notably that far more voters see her as too liberal than view Mr. Trump as too conservative.
The share of voters who said they still wanted to learn more about Ms. Harris was nearly identical, both before and after the debate, suggesting that she might have missed an opportunity to address doubts or provide more details to the public. …”
Harris Had Stronger Debate, Polls Find, but the Race Remains Deadlocked
Kamala Harris holds an edge over Donald J. Trump in the battleground state of Pennsylvania. But new surveys found that the race remains a tossup nationally.www.nytimes.com
JFC! Whatever these folks "didn't see" from Harris they surely saw from Trump. I mean, this is getting ridiculous. I can't fathom how anyone who is truly "undecided" watched that debate and came away thinking that Trump would be better for them in any way.
BillOfRights
Honored Member
- Messages
- 839
So much of it seems to be how each poll models turnout.
What the turnout actually looks like will probably decide who gets inaugurated on Jan 20.
- Messages
- 2,557
Sounds like a reasonable
My hopes are with Penn , my heart is with NC-Georgia has done it in the past?
BillOfRights
Honored Member
- Messages
- 839
trump has to go 3 for 3. Harris only needs one if she gets the other 4 battlegrounds (MI, WI, NV, AZ).
quakerdevil
Distinguished Member
- Messages
- 346
It's odd because there were several polls a few weeks back which had her at like +4 IIRC
lawtig02
Inconceivable Member
- Messages
- 3,817
Especially since Dobbs, WI polls have tended to undercount Dems. It’ll be close but I’m not too concerned about Kamala’s chances there.
dukeman92
Iconic Member
- Messages
- 1,524
Color me concerned.
uncjhodges
Distinguished Member
- Messages
- 313
That NYT poll is ludicrous. There is zero chance we are tied nationally but up 4 in PA.
Michigan seems good.
Have to get Nevada
Then Wisconsin or Arizona and then
Going to come down to getting 1 of NC, PA, GA
This system is so fucking stupid
Michigan seems good.
Have to get Nevada
Then Wisconsin or Arizona and then
Going to come down to getting 1 of NC, PA, GA
This system is so fucking stupid
Centerpiece
Iconic Member
- Messages
- 2,286
They were both trolling - the Croats and the heel from Woodson Illinois.
Put ‘em both on ignore
- Messages
- 2,234
Another "in what world ..." poll. Hard to see a scenario where Harris wins PA by 4 and doesn't win the general by 5+. Biden won PA by 1.17.
ETA: I read the last three pages continuously, and it was like walking through a haunted house anticipating jump scares. Also, the number of polling orgs seems out of control. Is there a list of known "red wave" polling outfits? Of course I known Trafalgar, TIPP, and Rasmussen.
Last edited: