2024 Political Polls

[nycfan]

Cygnal

 

[nycfan]

 

[nycfan]

 

[nycfan]

 

[nycfan]

 

[nycfan]

A confusing raft of polls

 

[nycfan]

 

[nycfan]

“… But Ms. Harris still has some critical vulnerabilities heading into the fall, most notably that far more voters see her as too liberal than view Mr. Trump as too conservative.

The share of voters who said they still wanted to learn more about Ms. Harris was nearly identical, both before and after the debate, suggesting that she might have missed an opportunity to address doubts or provide more details to the public. …”

Harris Had Stronger Debate, Polls Find, but the Race Remains Deadlocked

Kamala Harris holds an edge over Donald J. Trump in the battleground state of Pennsylvania. But new surveys found that the race remains a tossup nationally.

www.nytimes.com

 

[Bigs23]

These polls are all over the place within the the MOE.

I’m just not sure how useful the polls actually are.

 

[nycfan]

 

[aGDevil2k]

I question things that say "state's" for a plural

 

[lawtig02]

These polls are all over the place within the the MOE.

I’m just not sure how useful the polls actually are.

Any one poll is only marginally useful, especially when it’s within the MOE. The trend, though, especially in the high quality polls, can be revealing.

 

[BillOfRights]

Maryland:

I didn't realize Alsobrooks was leading a popular governor by that margin. Awesome.

 

[BillOfRights]

This is the first poll I've seen with McCormick even close! This seems like (I hope it's) an outlier.

 

[nycfan]

 

[TarSpiel]

These polls are all over the place within the the MOE.

I’m just not sure how useful the polls actually are.

There's lies, damn lies, statistics, and polls.

 

[BillOfRights]

I believe PA will be tight, MI seems likely for Harris, but WTF is going on with WI???

 

[dukeman92]

“… But Ms. Harris still has some critical vulnerabilities heading into the fall, most notably that far more voters see her as too liberal than view Mr. Trump as too conservative.
The share of voters who said they still wanted to learn more about Ms. Harris was nearly identical, both before and after the debate, suggesting that she might have missed an opportunity to address doubts or provide more details to the public. …”

Harris Had Stronger Debate, Polls Find, but the Race Remains Deadlocked

Kamala Harris holds an edge over Donald J. Trump in the battleground state of Pennsylvania. But new surveys found that the race remains a tossup nationally.

www.nytimes.com

JFC! Whatever these folks "didn't see" from Harris they surely saw from Trump. I mean, this is getting ridiculous. I can't fathom how anyone who is truly "undecided" watched that debate and came away thinking that Trump would be better for them in any way.

 

[BillOfRights]

These polls are all over the place within the the MOE.

I’m just not sure how useful the polls actually are.

So much of it seems to be how each poll models turnout.

What the turnout actually looks like will probably decide who gets inaugurated on Jan 20.

 

[mpaer]

Sounds like a reasonable
My hopes are with Penn , my heart is with NC-Georgia has done it in the past?