2025 Elections - Va, NYC, WI - & 2026 Election News

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nycfan

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Starting with this one on April 1 because of course it is on April Fools’ Day:

An election for a single state Supreme Court seat becomes the ‘blockbuster’ political fight of 2025​



“Wisconsin’s Supreme Court election this spring will decide just one seat, but the contest already is shaping up as one of the most costly and contentious battles of the new year – with the control of the seven-member court and the fate of a 19th century abortion ban hanging in the balance.

The race – between liberal candidate, Dane County Circuit Judge Susan Crawford, and the conservative contender, Waukesha County Circuit Judge Brad Schimel – also marks a test of how voters in a crucial swing state view Republican and Democratic politics in the first few months of Donald Trump’s presidency.

And it underscores the role of the judiciary in sorting out the thorny issues deeply dividing Americans, ranging from the future of abortion in a post-Dobbs era to union protections for public-sector workers.

The election is expected to top the $51 million price tag of the last Supreme Court race in the Badger State, as tallied by the Wisconsin Democracy Campaign. That race, in 2023, broke national spending records for a judicial election.

… The April 1 Wisconsin judicial election is officially nonpartisan, but political actors on both sides of the aisle are racing to shape its outcome.

Billionaires, such as liberal financier George Soros and Republican-aligned roofing magnate Diane Hendricks, have written big checks to the state Democratic and Republican parties, respectively – which has transferred campaign cash to the candidates’ committees.

A new round of ads is slated to begin Thursday from a group tied to the world’s richest person, Elon Musk.

The group, Building America’s Future, has bought $1.6 million of advertising in the race so far, according to the ad tracking firm AdImpact.

Musk – who spent more than a quarter billion dollars to help elect Trump last year and is the leading figure in the new administration’s drive to slash spending and remake the federal workforce – previously expressed support for Schimel’s election. …”
 
Relates to a 2026 candidate but might become art of the 2025 elections as well:

 
In NC? I don’t think he needs a miracle, I think Dems need Cooper to run and several other things to go their way to take the seat.
Off year election with his party in control. Trump is likely to be very unpopular. High propensity voters are now Dems. Tillis only won by 2-3% on Trump's coattails.
 
Tillis is going to need a miracle to prevail in 26.
How many years have you lived in North Carolina? Which years? Which elections?

During those years you lived in North Carolina, how many were you eligible to vote? Out of those years, how many years did you work on a Congressional or higher (Senate, Governor, AG, etc., campaign?).

Tillis will be a formidable candidate in 2026.

Not to mention, aside from Roy Cooper, who do the Democrats have?

Electing Cooper is better than electing a Republican; but, Cooper is OLD for a first term senator…..it’s Terry Sanford 2.0……old guy for one term.
 
How many years have you lived in North Carolina? Which years? Which elections?

During those years you lived in North Carolina, how many were you eligible to vote? Out of those years, how many years did you work on a Congressional or higher (Senate, Governor, AG, etc., campaign?).

Tillis will be a formidable candidate in 2026.

Not to mention, aside from Roy Cooper, who do the Democrats have?

Electing Cooper is better than electing a Republican; but, Cooper is OLD for a first term senator…..it’s Terry Sanford 2.0……old guy for one term.
Jeff Jackson could win if Cooper doesn’t run.
 
A Connecticut state legislative seat, in a red district:




California jungle primary (special), red district:



Maine blue district:

 
2026 election but it starts early in a state where the primary could end up with two Democrats facing off in the general election — and early voting in the June primary starts in May of 2026.



“The California governor’s race isn’t waiting for former Vice President Kamala Harris to make up her mind whether she’s going to run. Former Democratic Rep. Katie Porter, who represented Orange County in the US House for three terms, announced Tuesday she’s entering the race to succeed Gov. Gavin Newsom, who is term-limited from running again.

Porter enters a field that already includes Lt. Gov. Eleni Kounalakis, former Los Angeles Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa, former state Senate Leader Toni Atkins and former state Controller Betty Yee. Last year, Porter finished a distant third in the state’s top primary for an open US Senate seat that was ultimately won by Adam Schiff. …”
 

Senator Jeanne Shaheen, New Hampshire Democrat, Won’t Run Again in 2026​

Ms. Shaheen’s retirement will set off a high-stakes fight for an open seat in a state where she has been a leading political figure for decades.

 
Interesting to see an old guard of Dem Senators retiring. Usually the party that is going to get hammered is the one with all the retirements.

Some of this, I am sure, is responsive to pressure on Dems to get younger. Shaheen is currently 78. Tina Smith is in her late 60s, IIRC. Some of it probably also reflects what has to be a miserable experience in Congress right now. It's a good time to retire. I suspect the Dems will retain each seat in the off year.
 
Interesting to see an old guard of Dem Senators retiring. Usually the party that is going to get hammered is the one with all the retirements.

Some of this, I am sure, is responsive to pressure on Dems to get younger. Shaheen is currently 78. Tina Smith is in her late 60s, IIRC. Some of it probably also reflects what has to be a miserable experience in Congress right now. It's a good time to retire. I suspect the Dems will retain each seat in the off year.
I dunno. The pubs have a popular second generation politician and former governor in Chris Sununu who will likely run now.
 
I dunno. The pubs have a popular second generation politician and former governor in Chris Sununu who will likely run now.
National environment > local favorability. Sununu would be formidable in 2028. I doubt he jumps in for 2026. Maybe he does, but it would be a big risk.
 
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