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Both unlikely to pass constitutional muster given the dicta about the realization requirement in SCOTUS's decision in Moore v. US this past term.Taxing unrealized gains for those earning at least a million dollars per year is basically a wealth tax, though IMO an actual wealth tax could be simpler and less subject to shenanigans.
It seems to me that they basically dodged that issue in Moore with this FN:Both unlikely to pass constitutional muster given the dicta about the realization requirement in SCOTUS's decision in Moore v. US this past term.
They definitely dodged the big question - whether realization is required by the 16th Amendment. Like you excerpted, they held there was realization in Moore, so they didn't need to reach the question of whether unrealized income could be taxed. But the conservatives, unsurprisingly, were hostile to the idea - I believe 4 outright said they would hold realization is required.It seems to me that they basically dodged that issue in Moore with this FN:
"The Government argues that a gain does not need to be realized to constitute income under the Constitution. The Government contends that Eisner v. Macomber’s discussion of realization was dicta because the stock dividend did not represent any kind of economic gain (realized or unrealized) for the shareholders. The Government further contends that Eisner v. Macomber’s discussion of realization has, in any event, been abrogated by later decisions of this Court, such as Helvering v. Bruun, 309 U.S. 461, 60 S.Ct. 631, 84 L.Ed. 864 (1940), Helvering v. Griffiths, 318 U.S. 371, 63 S.Ct. 636, 87 L.Ed. 843 (1943), and Commissioner v. Glenshaw Glass Co., 348 U.S. 426, 75 S.Ct. 473, 99 L.Ed. 483 (1955). Because the MRT taxes realized income—namely, income realized by the corporation and attributed to the shareholders—we do not address the Government's argument that a gain need not be realized to constitute income under the Constitution."
Though that does follow a sentence in the text where the majority characterized the Eisner decision in this way: "And the Court further stated that income requires realization." In any event you're likely right that the current conservative majority would find that realization is required for indirect taxation as income; it certainly appears that the liberals were thinking ahead on that issue because they expressly wrote about it in their dissenting and concurring opinions. But I would still pass it and let the Supremes declare it unconstitutional, if that's what they're gonna do.
Oh absolutelyWith House and Senate so evenly split, no Democrat will be able to make a substantial change in US taxes.