Israel Hamas War | Ceasefire Deal between Israel & Hamas

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1. The world came close to ending when GWB was POTUS. We needed a $750B bank bailout and the steady hand of Obama to pull out of that crisis. Imagine if Sarah Palin was president in January 2009. And Palin is a genius compared to Trump.

2. It's not so much wanting him to fail as just expecting it. What he keeps talking about doing will decimate the economy. Have you ever considered this? If Trump raises tariffs on everyone, everyone will raise tariffs on us. And not on them. So in every country, American companies will face a 10-20% price disadvantage. Thus will exporters get killed. Will industry come back to the U.S.? No, it will not, because industry can't just pack up and move on a dime. And nobody is going to invest on the basis of tariffs that are almost certainly going to go away.

3. What you call "success" and what I call success are not the same. Trump being in power has all sorts of effects that he considers features and I consider bugs. Discrimination against LGBTQ people -- which has been on the rise since MAGA and is rising even more now -- is a bad thing. You probably consider it good, but it's bad.

4. Climate change. Since Trump is hell-bent on rolling back all climate progress that we have made over the past 15 years (which isn't all that much), and cajoling the world to do so as well, MAGA poses a long-term existential threat to the habitability of Earth for humans. That's a big factor for me. Like, a couple of years of prosperity (if it does happen, which is doubtful) is not worth the long-term damage it will cause.

Hurricanes are more powerful and bring more rain than they did. We've seen what that can do. Wild fires are more common and more severe than they used to be. We've seen what that can do (and remember the Canadian wildfires that spread haze and air pollution all over the US for a couple of weeks last summer)?

We've making that trade for 30 years: short term prosperity at the cost of long-term sustainability. And the bill is coming due. Both California and Florida have massive insurance crises. It's unclear whether property in those states is even insurable. Meanwhile, FEMA now spends $50B a year or more in response to floods and fires. It's way, way, way up from the 1990s. That is well more than ALL of the "Waste" in government DOGE has identified combined.

5. MAGA has no answer to climate change, so they just ignore it and you will too.
Superrific, take Twains’ advice…don’t argue with stupid. "The truth has no defense against a fool determined to believe a lie"
 
Didn't you say that "Donald Trump will never be POTUS again..?"

Sadly you are pulling against our country to succeed.

Regardless of who is in power why do you want him to fail? You are no better than the MAGA crowd.

You just view the policies from your perspective. Same as they do.

I've seen you do this for over 15 years. Why?

The world didn't end when GWB was POTUS. He fucked it up.. but it didn't end.

It wont now. And your hyperbole entertains you to a point you make posts like you do. Relax.

Find a hobby other than spending 16 hours a day on a message board.
"Sadly you are pulling against our country to succeed."

Nobody wants our country to fail and you're right that we will easily survive the next four years. However, it's safe to say that a vote for Trump, at least for most voters, is a vote against Harris, the Democratic party and often a caricature of the Democratic party. Don't get me wrong, the Democratic party has issues. The fact that Kamala simply could not definitively disavow her past position of supporting sex change operations for incarcerated illegal immigrants is representative of the current issues in the party.
 
Superrific, take Twains’ advice…don’t argue with stupid. "The truth has no defense against a fool determined to believe a lie"
I’ve been imploring folks to back off feeding the trolls, for months, too; however, everyone has their reasons and this site is many things to many people. I use this space primarily to collect news, updates, and scrutinize my perspective with respect to meaning, etiology/history, prognostications, and analysis of legal machinations and policy.

Feeding trolls mostly gets in the way of my purposes, by mucking up the board with vitriol, circular “logic”, and willful rejection of verifiable facts in the name of disingenuous “asking questions” or “whatabout” or “free thinking” or “different opinion”. It’s all bullshit, and it pisses me off from time to time (ie troll priority #1), so I ignore these folks. If you’ve crushingly lost argument after argument on the preponderance of evidence, yet continue the same manner of posting, you’re a troll, and not worthy of my, nor other posters’ attention, imo. That said, recreationally baiting and poking at trolls is a valid reason to engage here, too, ie a troller of trolls, which I think is self defeating. I don’t like it, but I can fuck off.

There’s also the super approach, which is often utilizing trolls, or suspected trolling, as a prompt to disseminate information super suspects may have a wider audience. I’d still prefer that bullshit gets ignored; however, eg super’s recent expositions of tariffs, in response to several well established contrarians, has taught me something and prompted my own exploration, even if the contrarians won’t. This information would’ve been discussed here with callayeah prompting, but their obstinance to data occasionally offers worthwhile opportunities to reiterate and further explain, for a wider audience.
 
GIFT LINK —> The Sheikh, the Mogul and the Diplomat: The Trio Who Sealed the Gaza Truce

The Sheikh, the Mogul and the Diplomat: The Trio Who Sealed the Gaza Truce​

The Qatari prime minister, working with both President Biden’s envoy and President-elect Donald J. Trump’s representative, formed an unlikely partnership.

“… What pushed the deal over the line this past week was the unlikely partnership between the envoys of America’s current and future presidents, working in tandem with the Qatari prime minister in marathon late-night meetings.

While Mr. Biden and Mr. Trump have competed for credit, the reality is that their representatives were both crucial to the final push, each using different approaches to push the Israeli leadership toward a deal while Sheikh Mohammed focused on Hamas.


“They aren’t natural partners, but the combination of these three individuals, and the three worlds they represent, was the only thing that was going to get this done,” said Thomas R. Nides, a former U.S. ambassador to Israel. “You needed pressure from all sides — pressure from the Arab world, pressure from Biden, and pressure from Trump.”

An array of officials and interlocutors had helped push negotiations forward for more than a year; on the American side, Mr. McGurk had helped oversee U.S. mediation efforts since the opening weeks of the war alongside other key players, including the head of the C.I.A., William J. Burns.

But in the final days, it came down to the triumvirate.

It was Mr. McGurk, a veteran diplomat long focused on the Middle East, who helped craft the deal’s complicated details nearly a year ago.

It was Mr. Witkoff, a real estate investor who plays golf with Mr. Trump, who was instrumental in persuading Israel to finally agree to the deal’s contents.

And it was Sheikh Mohammed who persuaded Hamas to make key compromises, while providing both sides with the office space in which to wrangle the final details. …”
 
Continued

“… Momentum returned after Mr. Trump’s re-election in November, even before the president-elect warned Hamas that there would be “all hell to pay” if the hostages were not released by his inauguration. He appointed Mr. Witkoff, who had no diplomatic experience but growing business relationships in Qatar, as his emissary in the Middle East. Mr. Witkoff had been playing golf with Mr. Trump in September during what law enforcement officials said was an attempt on the former and future president’s life.

Quietly, members of the Biden administration reached out to Mr. Witkoff to see if they could work together on the cease-fire talks, according to two people familiar with the conversations. Despite vast political chasms between their bosses, Mr. McGurk and Mr. Witkoff began to coordinate, sometimes talking several times a day, according to one of the people.

… Sheikh Mohammed persuaded Hamas to confirm the names of more than 30 hostages who would be released during the first six weeks of a truce, a long-awaited move that suggested the group was genuinely interested in a deal, the people said. The reason for Hamas’s shift remains unclear, but analysts say that Israel’s increasing dominance over Hamas’s main allies, Hezbollah and Iran, left the group feeling isolated, while its own losses on the battlefield in Gaza left it feeling weakened.

… Mr. McGurk was informed of the breakthrough while attending his daughter’s birthday party at an indoor trampoline park on Jan. 4, according to two people familiar with the event. He left the party halfway through, immediately flying to Doha to meet Sheikh Mohammed, his Egyptian counterparts and Israeli negotiators. Mr. Witkoff joined him on Jan. 10, and the pair agreed with Sheikh Mohammed that the Americans would jointly focus on cajoling Israel while the prime minister would press Hamas.

… It was a visit at short notice by Mr. Witkoff to Jerusalem last Saturday, the Jewish Sabbath, that brought a new breakthrough, according to four officials briefed on the meeting.

Mr. Witkoff sat with Mr. Netanyahu and senior Israeli officials in the prime minister’s Jerusalem office, with Mr. McGurk joining the discussion by telephone.

… The two Americans pressed Mr. Netanyahu to soften on the last two big obstacles, according to a person familiar with the discussion. Mr. McGurk warned the Israeli leader that he risked losing his best chance of sealing a deal. Then Mr. Witkoff applied the necessary pressure, stressing to Mr. Netanyahu that Mr. Trump wanted this deal done, the person said.

… After the meeting, Mr. Netanyahu seemed to have changed his attitude, four officials said. He immediately ordered his four top negotiators — including David Barnea, the head of Israel’s foreign intelligence agency, and Ronen Bar, Israel’s domestic spy chief — to Doha. …”
 
Continued

“… The Israeli and Hamas teams, based on different floors, never saw each other; they took turns entering the prime minister’s office for updates on their enemy’s latest position.

Progress was sometimes hindered by the nature of Hamas’s command structure, which required its leaders in Qatar to check certain details with their counterparts in Gaza, who are all in hiding and hard to reach.

Mr. McGurk and Mr. Witkoff also often checked in with their respective bosses; at times, Mr. McGurk was speaking with Mr. Biden while Mr. Witkoff, just yards away, was on the phone with Mr. Trump or his team, according to a person familiar with the scene.

“We were negotiating word by word, sentence by sentence and formula by formula,” said Mohammed Al-Khulaifi, a minister of state in the Qatari foreign ministry. “It becomes exhausting mentally and physically.”


Sheikh Mohammed told the two Americans that the deal could be closed if Israel could make two more compromises, according to one of the people.

Mr. McGurk and Mr. Witkoff walked together down the corridor to the Israelis’ room, where the negotiators were already speaking by phone with Mr. Netanyahu. Joining the call, the Americans told the Israeli leader that a deal could be reached if he agreed to slightly increase the number of prisoners involved in the swap, as well as slightly decrease the depth of the buffer zone.

After a loud debate in Hebrew between Mr. Netanyahu and his team, they made the compromise.

… That final wrangling continued into Thursday, with Mr. McGurk and Mr. Witkoff finally leaving Qatar that night.

The deal was cemented — and so was one of the unlikeliest pairings in diplomatic history.“
 
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