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If I buy a bitcoin, I have an encrypted number placed in a large table somewhere. That is all. Its only "value" comes from the decision of another person to pay you money for something that is worth zero. It's the "bigger idiot" theory of value that is the hallmark of a bubble or fraudulent scheme.
I somewhat agree that a worldwide means of exchange would be beneficial, just to take some of the friction away from changingh currencies, but having a country not being able to control their own currency can be pretty dangerous.Wow, Super, tell me how you REALLY feel about bitcoin and cryptos in general. With that being said, I get your POV, and your post was quite informative. I guess I fall on tar spiels point about all of money and investments being somewhat subjective.
I don’t believe that btc is a Ponzi scheme like investment (well, not any more than any other investment in that the whole objective is to buy low and sell high). I do think that the future does depend on some sort of currency that is country-independent, and much like any other futuristic goal, it will take someone being the first to develop it to move it into existence. Is that BTC? I don’t know, maybe, maybe not.
In the meantime, yeah, I probably have gotten into BTC and Cryptos due to FOMO more than anything else. But like any good investor, I’m making sure that the money I put into it is money that I could absolutely afford to lose if push came to shove.
Currencies have governments who make monetary policy to protect its value - or destroy it in some cases. Those same governments have militaries that can use force if necessary to protect the value of the currency.I don't disagree with you at all, especially on the socially negative and environmentally destructive aspects of bitcoin.
But isn't *all* money just a socially-agreed-upon value? Gold doesn't have any more intrinsic worth than salt...in fact it has way less for human life, but cultures for the dawn of time have created the myth that it does have high intrinsic value. Ditto for cowrie shells, or cattle, or cat-eye marbles, or beads, or jade, or a huge number in a table somewhere.
It doesn't seem to me that bitcoin is in principle different than any other kind of currency. Cowrie shells and three dollars can get me a cup of coffee nowadays, but 300 years ago in this exact spot it could have gotten me some slaves.
Anyway, not trying to advocate for bitcoin at all, because IMO it's one of many things that are destabilizing things in the world today. Just some metaphysical speculations.
It is not currency, it's stock. Just like I can't go to the car dealership and say I am buying this Toyota for my shares in Microsoft. What percentage of people who have Bitcoin are actually using it regularly for purchases? It has to be really really low. Everyone I know that's into it is treating it as an investment that they can flip for actual dollars at some point.It seems to me the notion of BTC as a "currency" is a fallacy, at this point anyway. Can I buy a house with BTC? I guess it depends on the seller but you sure couldn't do so with a standard MLS contract. Can I buy a blender at Target with BTC? Not without changing it into dollars. So somebody will need to explain to me how it is a useful "currency" unless I'm operating in a black market.
I suppose it can be viewed as an investment, a commodity in the class of gold which also depends on the intrinsic faith of the investor in its value. But gold has shown to be valued for thousands of years, BTC (and I use BTC to mean all crypto variations) hasn't stood the test of time. I have actually considered buying a BTC ETF, but it would be strictly for FOMO. But I can't get past the "no underlying asset of value" and I don't invest in commodities. I guess I will have to stick with equities.
It strikes me as more like religion as it depends solely on faith.
But it’s called “cryptocurrency.” What’s that all about? If it is a stock, what is it shares of? What is the underlying asset you are buying?It is not currency, it's stock. Just like I can't go to the car dealership and say I am buying this Toyota for my shares in Microsoft. What percentage of people who have Bitcoin are actually using it regularly for purchases? It has to be really really low. Everyone I know that's into it is treating it as an investment that they can flip for actual dollars at some point.
The nature of money is actually quite a capacious area of study on its own, combining economics, history, anthropology, sociology and other areas. I'm very much not an expert. I can't speak to cowrie shells in particular and how they were or weren't used. I can give you some thoughts based on what I know, in analyzing the statement "isn't all money just a socially agreed upon value." There will be an answer to your question in here. I apologize for burying it in the middle of a longish pontification, but it's the best way I know how to set up my analysis. Note that this partly reflects my own lack of full understanding. Ask me a question about corporate law and I don't usually need a few paragraphs to set it up (unless it's a complicated question that requires background in itself).I don't disagree with you at all, especially on the socially negative and environmentally destructive aspects of bitcoin.
But isn't *all* money just a socially-agreed-upon value? Gold doesn't have any more intrinsic worth than salt...in fact it has way less for human life, but cultures for the dawn of time have created the myth that it does have high intrinsic value. Ditto for cowrie shells, or cattle, or cat-eye marbles, or beads, or jade, or a huge number in a table somewhere.
It doesn't seem to me that bitcoin is in principle different than any other kind of currency. Cowrie shells and three dollars can get me a cup of coffee nowadays, but 300 years ago in this exact spot it could have gotten me some slaves.
Anyway, not trying to advocate for bitcoin at all, because IMO it's one of many things that are destabilizing things in the world today. Just some metaphysical speculations.
The only good or service produced and consumed in a bitcoin economy is corruption -- in this case, tax evasion. And the sportsbook guys demonstrate why. Nobody uses bitcoin for anything non-corrupt because there's no floor for demand. You can't pay your workers in bitcoin because they don't want it (they want something they can spend and pay taxes with); you can't pay your suppliers with it; and you can't pay your taxes with it. So you unload it and bitcoin becomes basically an expensive and environment-destroying credit card.Just a random two cents...I know a fair amount of owners of sports books down here. I have found it curious that they've told me that 70% of their transactions have shifted from dollars to bitcoins. Why? Easier for bettors to hide their flows from Uncle Sam. Also the speed of access is much better than some dude showing up with a bag of cash for payouts.
Sportbooks guys actually hate having positions in bitcoin ("I already take risk on the gambling side") and try to liquidate as soon as they can. They're not there to speculate, just to make a transaction.