The Weather Thread

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I know this is serious, of course, and Tampa is in real trouble (even if it "collapses" into a Cat 3, that's pretty damn bad - just a bit weaker than Hugo)

But Florida also has a reputation

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I don't use sXitter so can't see the comments. On a scale of 1 to Carolina football, how big of a dumpster fire is it?
Not as bad as you might assume. Spann is a weatherman fixture in Alabama but he is also a climate change skeptic. He is getting some push-back but is also likely getting a pass from the lunatics who know he has been a key spokesman for climate change skepticism, especially for older people in the area.

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But the majority of responses are thanking him and decrying the need for him to make such a request.
 
Meteorologist Matthew East just posted this on Facebook.

8:30am Tuesday: Looking at #Milton this morning, I think it has a good chance to strengthen again today. It has completed an eyewall replacement cycle and conditions are favorable for the next 24 hours or so. Think it could achieve Cat 5 again before weakening on its approach to Florida.
 
Cantore just talking with a guy in a boat in Tampa who is going to ride it out

My guess is the guy is dead in 48 hours
 
Here is a recent post from a meteorologist on SouthernweatherRX.com
The usual suspects- dry air and shear. i still maintain that when this thing deteriorates it will deteriorate fast

you can feel it in the air this morning. woke up and the house was sitting at 65 (no heat on). i think it's inevitable dry air gets ingested tomorrow on the southeast side- all models show this- the question to me is how long it can maintain its structural integrity
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the impacts will be similar but i don't agree verbatim with the "the impacts will be the exact same" message- personally i think there's a big difference between a ragged but intact storm coming ashore vs. a half-icane that has been decaying for a little bit
 
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