Recent content by Calheel

So 4 democrats have won: Carter, Clinton, Obama and Biden. Only 50% of the winners had "it" per your analysis. The "it" isn't why any of those candidates won. Each case involved voting against the other party. One thing Carter, Clinton and Obama shared was youth and few negatives due to a...

I mentioned he was the worst on my list. But I’d still pick him over Newsom. Fetterman’s negatives could be managed with a good campaign. Newsom’s are baked in and would be deadly in the swing states. Of course, Fetterman is never going to run and would never win the nomination so it is a...

Have you noticed that "generic" democrat always does better in polling than any named democrat? That is because generic has no negatives -- none. I want a 2028 candidate that is as close to generic democrat as possible. I don't need charisma. I don't need appeal. I want an absence of...

Trump is brain damaged and was elected twice. Brain damage is not that big of a deal in today’s political environment. Closing churches during Covid is a much bigger issue.

Fetterman is a 10x better candidate than Newsom. If Newsom runs, they will pound that he is anti-religious and cite his restrictions on churches during Covid. There is just so much negative material out there on Newsom. Republicans would vastly prefer to run against Newsom than Fetterman.

That describes an awful lot of elections in our history.

I know Fetterman is really hated on this board and rightfully so. He really seems like he would be a hit with Joe and Eileen Bailey - ie a Republican. But strategically, he would be a reaonable candidate for Democrats. On the downside, he has significant physical and mental health questions...

I think Republican governor from the South or Midwest would be the most likely candidate.

Part of the reason I dislike Newsom is that he is a phony. But at least half of my political dislike of him is that he is a real risk to win the democratic nomination and lose the general election. Anything I can do to spread the gospel against Newsom is a political positive.

This has nothing to do with who I would personally prefer to be president. If we could just appoint a prime minister, like in a parliamentary system, I’d feel completely different. But Democrats must win the presidency in 2028. We need the absolute easiest possible candidate to elect. One...

I predict it will be a disaster if we run Gavin Newsom and I’m prefectly fine never finding out because we come to our senses and don’t nominate him. I have zero interest in finding out whether I am wrong by way of a real-life experiment. I was adamant about not running Kamala when most on the...

You have a chance to hit it. Just place the bat in bunt position and hope it makes contact. Maybe just a 1% chance but it is at least possible. If you are too scared to stand in the box just close your eyes.

Then we will lose in 2028. It’s that simple.

My Jew decoder ring is not as good as yours. So, we will need to strike those. I did expand my South/Midwest definition a few posts up. Non-observant Christian is fine. White bred personified is fine. New Mexico is fine. Connecticut is fine (the only states where that would matter are NC...

You're theory is that independents vote for a candidate. My theory is that independents vote against a candidate. Obama had "it" but he also benefitted tremendously from anti-Bush sentiment. Gore did not have "it" but neither did GWB. But Gore suffered from Clinton fatigue. I don't think...