I think those are pretty optimistic assumptions. It all depends on where public perception of the Trump admin is. I see lots of reasons to expect that Trump could be pretty unpopular 15 months from now, but I don't think it's a foregone conclusion.
I'm also not convinced Lara Trump will run...
SCOTUS didn't technically "rule against" universal injunctions. It essentially said that a universal injunction would only be appropriate if required to give complete relief to the parties before the court. (Of course no one really has any clue whether and when that will be, because the court...
As a matter of political theory, I understand your first point. Like super, I simply don't think we're there in practice. I do not think the Supreme Court exercises as clear and consistent a "veto" as you're suggesting (certainly it should not be viewed as having a veto power on par with, say...
I get that. And again, there's no way to know. I'm just saying I'm skeptical that all the coalition-building in the world would have been successful in this instance.
I hear that argument. And there's no real way for us to decide this argument because no real way to know. Let's just say I'm skeptical that even if any obstacle of judicial review were removed, there would have ever been a real way to pass a wealth tax. It would have been a flat no from every...
I hear you. And as I said, it's not like we can prove this one way or another. But I really don't think fear of Court striking something down was chilling legislative solutions to student loan debt relief. Dems simply did not have the votes in Congress for that policy. The Biden admin had no...
I tend to agree with this Axios article that the race will likely be Cooper vs. Lara Trump, unless one of them surprisingly decides not to run:
https://www.axios.com/2025/07/01/north-carolina-senate-roy-cooper-lara-trump
I would favor Cooper here unless the political climate is such that Trump...