2024 Political Polls

[nycfan]

Yowza.

I want to believe, but…

Definitely an outlier, but consistent with pro-Harris trend of other polls.

 

[aGDevil2k]

Definitely an outlier, but consistent with pro-Harris trend of other polls.

Trafalgar, IA and TIPP are coming to show you what a red wave* looks like.

 

[lawtig02]

It’s looking to me like the debate gave Harris a 2-3 point bump nationally. That’s enormous this late in a cycle, and especially in this cycle. Will be watching closely for the battleground polls over the next couple of days.

 

[Ddseddse]

In related news, 43 of 45 (95%) of corporations surveyed said they liked to either keep or grow their profit margins, thank you very much.

 

[nycfan]

Trafalgar - Nevada

 

[nycfan]

Alaska:

 

[JCTarheel82]

These recent Trafalgar polls have been brutal for Pubs, especially their Senatorial candidates.

 

[nycfan]

This is a fairly low-rated pollster but anyway:



This finding from this poll is striking (not sure why they even asked):

“… Other highlights from the poll include:

- A combined 63 percent of respondents believe Matthew Crooks did not operate alone when he shot at Trump in June. A 37 percent minority believe he did.

Nine percent believe Cooks operated with the “Deep State,” 3 percent with Secret Service, 2 percent with a foreign nation, 1 percent with the CIA and 48 percent are unsure who he cooperated with, but they don’t believe he acted alone.

Only 16 percent of Republicans believe Crooks operated alone. A higher percentage of GOP voters, 20 percent, believe Crooks was operating with the “Deep State.”

Among Democrats, 54 percent believe Crooks acted alone. …”

 

[nycfan]

Rasmussen:



Last poll had it 50-48 Harris.

 

[nycfan]

Another Red Wave pollster

 

[nycfan]

 

[aGDevil2k]

So basically the red polls are coming to swing the bottom line as they do...

And even they aren't able to lie that much

 

[nycfan]

 

[Mulberry Heel]

If Lake loses by as much as I think she will, then Harris will likely win Arizona. Like Robinson in NC, I think she'll drag the whole GOP ticket down with her.

 

[CHAMTRAIN]

Nate is on crack.

The 61% chance that Harris wins the popular vote is the one that gets me...

 

[nycfan]

 

[nycfan]

 

[nycfan]

“… Morning Consult pollsters surveyed 11,022 likely U.S. voters from Sept. 13-15 in the poll, which had an unweighted margin of error of +/-1 percentage point.

• Morning Consult notes that its survey showing support for Harris at 51% compared to 45% for Trump was a "new record" for the Democratic presidential nominee.
• "Her 51% of support among likely voters, which is also at a record high, is driven largely by her best figures to date among Democrats, Biden 2020 voters, liberals, women, 18- to 34-year-olds and millennials," it said. …”

https://www.axios.com/2024/09/17/harris-leads-trump-poll-after-debate-record?utm_campaign=editorial&utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social

 

[mpaer]

“… Morning Consult pollsters surveyed 11,022 likely U.S. voters from Sept. 13-15 in the poll, which had an unweighted margin of error of +/-1 percentage point.

• Morning Consult notes that its survey showing support for Harris at 51% compared to 45% for Trump was a "new record" for the Democratic presidential nominee.
• "Her 51% of support among likely voters, which is also at a record high, is driven largely by her best figures to date among Democrats, Biden 2020 voters, liberals, women, 18- to 34-year-olds and millennials," it said. …”

https://www.axios.com/2024/09/17/harris-leads-trump-poll-after-debate-record?utm_campaign=editorial&utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social

This would be pleasant

 

[Ddseddse]

This would be pleasant

Bout the same as Hillary had going in. Eyes on the prize.