2024 Pre-Election Political Polls | POLL - Trump would have had 7 point lead over Biden

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aGDevil2k said:
And that's registered???

Likely voters would almost certainly be a bigger spread this year
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I’ve observed that the registered voter outcomes in a lot of the neutral polls have tended to be closer than the LV polls since at least 2016 … it has become increasingly difficult to model who will show up in each election cycle, and the LV models are somewhat less relevant during high turnout era we are in lately than they were during low turnout era from 1968-2012.
 
nycfan said:
Maryland:

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I like Larry Hogan. I wish more Republicans were like Larry Hogan. I wish more Senators, of both parties, were like Larry Hogan. I hope Larry Hogan is not elected to the US Senate. A Senator Hogan would vote in lock-step with the Republicans 99% of the time. Heroic as that 1% dissent might be, it would be an inconsequential "Look at me!" vote 100% of the time. Hogan would never cross the GOP on a critical Senate vote.
 
05C40 said:
I like Larry Hogan. I wish more Republicans were like Larry Hogan. I wish more Senators, of both parties, were like Larry Hogan. I hope Larry Hogan is not elected to the US Senate. A Senator Hogan would vote in lock-step with the Republicans 99% of the time. Heroic as that 1% dissent might be, it would be an inconsequential "Look at me!" vote 100% of the time. Hogan would never cross the GOP on a critical Senate vote.
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America has spent enough time trying to convince themselves "principled" GOP officials still exist. Unfortunately, they've shown time and again that they're unwilling to put country over party.
 
nycfan said:
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For all the talk about blacks and Latinos switching to Trump, those polls don't indicate it. Trump got about 6% of the black vote in 2016 and 8% in 2020, and he's getting only 7% here. Latinos gave Trump 29% of the vote in 2016 and 32% in 2020 and 35% here, which is about in the range of what GOP presidential candidates usually get from Latinos (30 to 35 percent). I'll be very surprised if in November Trump does any better with those two groups than he did in 2020 or 2016.
 
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HeelingAg said:
White, no college breaking +28 ttump has nothing to do with costs?
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You can get a high quality education by attending your local community college and then an instate institution for less than the cost of a used pickup truck.

Trump tells folks that the manufacturing jobs of the last century are coming back.

Those folks feel like they don’t need college.
 
farce© said:
Because Maryland voters understand a vote for Hogan is a vote for Republican majority in the Senate. It’s not personal Larry, you just made a poor choice of which team to join.
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If he's elected Hogan will just become the male GOP Senate version of Susan Collins, imo. Someone who votes with the party 95% plus and casts a few meaningless "throwaway" votes bucking the party to try and maintain the illusion of being an independent. He'll almost certainly vote the party line on all important matters, like Supreme Court nominees for example. And probably he'll come up with his own version of Collins' infamous "I'm so concerned" line whenever Trump or the GOP does something awful - right before he votes the party line anyway.
 
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