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I’ve observed that the registered voter outcomes in a lot of the neutral polls have tended to be closer than the LV polls since at least 2016 … it has become increasingly difficult to model who will show up in each election cycle, and the LV models are somewhat less relevant during high turnout era we are in lately than they were during low turnout era from 1968-2012.And that's registered???
Likely voters would almost certainly be a bigger spread this year
Now that's a worthwhile thread topicThis shit happens when higher ed gets prohibitively expensive.
Wasn't that last year?Someone mentioned how well Harris was doing in Iowa. Did anyone catch the reaction to Trump at the Iowa State football game?
A diversifying nation terrifies uneducated, sheltered white menWTF is wrong with so many white men?
What?This shit happens when higher ed gets prohibitively expensive.
Less-educated white men are scared of being treated as equal. They have enjoyed their white privilege and don't want to lose it. That, and toxic masculinity.WTF is wrong with so many white men?
Maryland:
America has spent enough time trying to convince themselves "principled" GOP officials still exist. Unfortunately, they've shown time and again that they're unwilling to put country over party.I like Larry Hogan. I wish more Republicans were like Larry Hogan. I wish more Senators, of both parties, were like Larry Hogan. I hope Larry Hogan is not elected to the US Senate. A Senator Hogan would vote in lock-step with the Republicans 99% of the time. Heroic as that 1% dissent might be, it would be an inconsequential "Look at me!" vote 100% of the time. Hogan would never cross the GOP on a critical Senate vote.
White, no college breaking +28 ttump has nothing to do with costs?What?
The cost of college has little to do with the education gap in voting allegiance.
You can get a high quality education by attending your local community college and then an instate institution for less than the cost of a used pickup truck.White, no college breaking +28 ttump has nothing to do with costs?
If he's elected Hogan will just become the male GOP Senate version of Susan Collins, imo. Someone who votes with the party 95% plus and casts a few meaningless "throwaway" votes bucking the party to try and maintain the illusion of being an independent. He'll almost certainly vote the party line on all important matters, like Supreme Court nominees for example. And probably he'll come up with his own version of Collins' infamous "I'm so concerned" line whenever Trump or the GOP does something awful - right before he votes the party line anyway.Because Maryland voters understand a vote for Hogan is a vote for Republican majority in the Senate. It’s not personal Larry, you just made a poor choice of which team to join.