aGDevil2k
Inconceivable Member
- Messages
- 3,342
Yes there isDo you think there is a chance ?
She may not win the state but there is a good chance. Don't listen to the guy who thought Trump rolled in the debate
Follow along with the video below to see how to install our site as a web app on your home screen.
Note: This feature may not be available in some browsers.
Yes there isDo you think there is a chance ?
A LOT of my patients assume I'm for trump.I think the “shy” Trump voter is a thing of the past. Every trump voter I know is very loud and obnoxious about it. Much more to have a shy Dem voter, particularly in areas like NC and GA imo
Especially since Trump has outsourced the turnout operation to Charlie Kirk of all people.Enthusiasm more important than polling
Turnout. The morning after we're going to be talking about which demographics turned out relative to which didn't (as strongly).I think the “shy” Trump voter is a thing of the past. Every trump voter I know is very loud and obnoxious about it. Much more to have a shy Dem voter, particularly in areas like NC and GA imo
I share your opinionTurnout. The morning after we're going to be talking about which demographics turned out relative to which didn't (as strongly).
Whatever (and how much) aggregate polling error will be shown, will be based on the ability or failure of the polling models to have correctly anticipated the turnout rates of the respective demographic groups.
At least that's my uninformed opinion.
well it is trafalgar.....The fact 42% of any sentient being group thought trump won that debate is disheartening
And it's on newsmax, meaning it's the absolute BEST number they could find for Trump.well it is trafalgar.....
What do you have against the Russell 2000? More of a large-cap gal?MOD NOTE - DUE TO MY IWN ERROR.
It's ok, you're still awesome.MOD NOTE - DUE TO MY IWN ERROR. I merged the 2024 Political Ads and 2024 Political Polls threads (had intended to merge the two political ads threads). Keeping this as political polling (the ads thread was way shorter and we can keep using the other one).
Sorry, no idea how I clicked the wrong box.
Seriously. I know how she clicked the wrong box -- she clicked the wrong box. She made a mistake, the same type of mistake that people commonly make. I would guess that every single person on this board has clicked the wrong box before, and probably multiple times. I know I have. I don't think it requires a mea culpa.
I think the main point - or at least a very, very, very important secondary point - of most jobs is not to fuck up.Seriously. I know how she clicked the wrong box -- she clicked the wrong box. She made a mistake, the same type of mistake that people commonly make. I would guess that every single person on this board has clicked the wrong box before, and probably multiple times. I know I have. I don't think it requires a mea culpa.
Now, I don't want to project too much, but it's true that deal attorneys have to be hyper-focused on tiny details. The main job of a deal lawyer is to not fuck up. So if you do fuck up, it's like a big deal. I wonder if that's what's happening here.
When I was teaching, I was going through with my class a merger agreement I pulled off the web. We were going through the "Material Adverse Effect" clause, which is a type of clause that is maddeningly frustrating. They usually have like quadruple or quintuple negatives, like "X is a material adverse effect unless it is Y, except that if it is Z, unless it is also not A," etc. In a long paragraph of a laundry list of shit, a word "not" had been omitted. It was a quadruple negative instead of the required quintuple. The result was a complete and utter fuck-up. The error meant that the buyer had basically no obligation to buy, which is the single biggest fuckup a deal lawyer can make (or at least one of them), and it was buried deep in a clause. I notified the partner on the transaction (because the agreement was only days old) and told him. Fortunately for them, the buyer was cool and agreed to amend it, but it was entirely possible that people would have lost their jobs and potentially their careers because of a single missing "not."
Point is, to be a good deal lawyer (which I'm guessing nycfan is), you have to learn to be really hard on yourself over tiny things.
To be fair, 75% of the participants in the last two debates for the most powerful political office in the world have totally fucked up, so we’ll have to see how important a criteria that really is.I think the main point - or at least a very, very, very important secondary point - of most jobs is not to fuck up.
Unless, I guess, you're a product beta tester...then the point probably is to fuck up.