2025 & 2026 Elections | Blue Wave 2025 results

  • Thread starter Thread starter nycfan
  • Start date Start date
  • Replies: 2K
  • Views: 52K
  • Politics 

... AND polls underestimated this month's blue tsunami beatdown by more than 5 points. Ultimately, the only poll that counts is on election day ... unless, of course, pubes tinker with voting machines and election locations and ballots and voting districts and .... ???
 

Democrats eye Trump country for a special election surprise​

The upcoming special election to replace retired Rep. Mark Green is bringing top Democratic names to a district Donald Trump carried by more than 20 points.


——
A Trump +20 district in Tennessee? Optimistic is one word, but high on their own supply seems more likely.

“… Recent internal polling from Democrats has Behnwithin 8 to 10 points of her Republican opponent Matt Van Epps, which she said places her in “striking distance.” DNC Chair Ken Martin also traveled to the state last weekend to campaign for Behn.…”

It seems more like the realistic goal would be to get the margin to single digits.
 

Democrats eye Trump country for a special election surprise​

The upcoming special election to replace retired Rep. Mark Green is bringing top Democratic names to a district Donald Trump carried by more than 20 points.


——
A Trump +20 district in Tennessee? Optimistic is one word, but high on their own supply seems more likely.

“… Recent internal polling from Democrats has Behnwithin 8 to 10 points of her Republican opponent Matt Van Epps, which she said places her in “striking distance.” DNC Chair Ken Martin also traveled to the state last weekend to campaign for Behn.…”

It seems more like the realistic goal would be to get the margin to single digits.
“… But even with Republicans on edge, there is plenty of evidence that the party still has an advantage. Earlier this year, Democrats were hopeful they could flip similarly Trump-heavy districts in Florida, and one survey from Trump’s pollster Tony Fabrizio even showed them with an advantage.

In the end, Republicans Randy Fine and Jimmy Patronis cruised to double-digit victories in the Sunshine State — underperforming Trump’s 2024 margins but still winning comfortably, despite being massively outraised and outspent.…”

One Does Not Simply Lord Of The Rings GIF
 
If the oyster farmer/veteran dude (Platner) hadn't made those offensive tweets then given the current political climate he would have been perfectly positioned to beat Mills in the Dem primary next year and beat Collins in the general - he was young, dynamic, a fresh face and clear "outsider", and a military vet, all of which would likely have had a powerful appeal over two aging and establishment pols. But since he basically eliminated himself (and rightfully so) then Democrats are yet again going to be stuck running an elderly (late 70s) Establishment pol against another Establishment pol, and her chances are likely no more than 50/50 at best. And Maine is a must-win state if Democrats are to have any chance of winning back the Senate next year. In fact, if Democrats can't start winning states like Maine their chances of ever retaking the Senate are iffy at best.
 
Back
Top