2025 & 2026 Elections | Blue Wave 2025 results

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Mulberry Heel said:
If the oyster farmer/veteran dude (Platner) hadn't made those offensive tweets then given the current political climate he would have been perfectly positioned to beat Mills in the Dem primary next year and beat Collins in the general - he was young, dynamic, a fresh face and clear "outsider", and a military vet, all of which would likely have had a powerful appeal over two aging and establishment pols. But since he basically eliminated himself (and rightfully so) then Democrats are yet again going to be stuck running an elderly (late 70s) Establishment pol against another Establishment pol, and her chances are likely no more than 50/50 at best. And Maine is a must-win state if Democrats are to have any chance of winning back the Senate next year. In fact, if Democrats can't start winning states like Maine their chances of ever retaking the Senate are iffy at best.
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I'm not sure Platner has doomed his candidacy much less eliminated himself from the race. He leads Mills by 2pts in the latest Dem primary poll that came out two days ago. He continues to enjoy SRO crowds at his town halls.

My guess is there are not that many young progressives in Maine who have "rightfully eliminated" him from the race. He did a mea culpa and has brought the issue up at every town hall. I think Maine Dems and Mainers in general are more than willing to forgive what he said 10 years ago after coming back from the war.

The fact the leads the current Maine governor by 2 points today is kind of amazing. He is an unknown who never has held political office. I think the closeness of the polls is due to high name recognition of Governor Mills, and the fact that 3 other Dem candidates dropped out last week to endorse Mills. To me, that smacks of establishment Dem fear of Platner. The more Mainers become aware of Platner and his bio and policy proposals, that 2 pt margin may expand a few points before next year's primary. I think Mainers will embrace a redemption candidate.

Full disclosure I am from NC but contributes to the Platner campaign monthly. I follow his campaign and see he is getting huge crowds ( by Maine standards ) and is getting increasing small donor contributions despite the offensive tweets from 10 years ago for which he informs town hall attendees and makes continuing apologies.
 
heelinhell said:
I'm not sure Platner has doomed his candidacy much less eliminated himself from the race. He leads Mills by 2pts in the latest Dem primary poll that came out two days ago. He continues to enjoy SRO crowds at his town halls.

My guess is there are not that many young progressives in Maine who have "rightfully eliminated" him from the race. He did a mea culpa and has brought the issue up at every town hall. I think Maine Dems and Mainers in general are more than willing to forgive what he said 10 years ago after coming back from the war.

The fact the leads the current Maine governor by 2 points today is kind of amazing. He is an unknown who never has held political office. I think the closeness of the polls is due to high name recognition of Governor Mills, and the fact that 3 other Dem candidates dropped out last week to endorse Mills. To me, that smacks of establishment Dem fear of Platner. The more Mainers become aware of Platner and his bio and policy proposals, that 2 pt margin may expand a few points before next year's primary. I think Mainers will embrace a redemption candidate.

Full disclosure I am from NC but contributes to the Platner campaign monthly. I follow his campaign and see he is getting huge crowds ( by Maine standards ) and is getting increasing small donor contributions despite the offensive tweets from 10 years ago for which he informs town hall attendees and makes continuing apologies.
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I haven't really been following the race since his comments and posts were made public, so the fact that he's still in the running also proves my point about voters desperately looking for someone beyond the old-timers and establishment pols in nearly every state. I don't think it's all that surprising that a complete outsider like Platner is doing so well, as he is exactly what so many voters seem to be clamoring for now - someone who is not a part of the political establishment, a fresh face, younger, dynamic, who can connect to the average voter and what they're experiencing right now in this economy and low point in American history. Candidates like Platner (but hopefully without the personal controversies) would likely do well in Democratic primaries in almost any state right now, imo, especially if they are running against a status quo, aging establishment Democrat.
 
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Kingpin said:
Anyone want to enlighten me on why this is? After last election in Nov and No Kings, I would expect the opposite
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The party out of power almost always struggles to raise money - and the Democrats control nothing at the national level.

There is no Democratic majority leader or Speaker to twist arms and open wallets…..no committee chairs…..no President.
 
nycfan said:
IMG_1151.jpeg

www.nytimes.com

Congressional Republicans Begin to Look Beyond Trump

Election defeats earlier this month and the approach of 2026 have G.O.P. lawmakers cautiously asserting themselves.
www.nytimes.com www.nytimes.com
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“… Mr. Trump’s previously ironclad grip on the Republican Congress might even be weakening earlier than usual, before the more typical loss of power by a sitting president following midterm elections. Republicans are reacting in real time to the drubbing their party took in off-year elections earlier this month, defeats that were much worse than anticipated.

Polling also shows Mr. Trump and his party in a weakened state on a number of fronts headed into a 2026 election cycle that will determine control of Congress, with Americans citing rising costs and a dour view of the economy that Mr. Trump had pledged to fix to their benefit.

The president continues to hold an outsized grip on his party given his massive popularity with his far-right base, and observers are quick to caution that his political strength has survived through many episodes when it had appeared to be waning.

But even Republicans concede that there is a shift underway that was probably inevitable, given the history of presidential power and the rapidity with which it can dissipate.…”
 


Once Katie Porter’s campaign imploded, things have opened up in the CA gubernatorial race …
 
Calheel said:
The irony is that things like Prop 50 will motivate Republican Californians to move to Texas. Now Texas is saying it doesn’t want those people.
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Especially when Newsom lied about it.

Prop 50 redistricting was supposed to happen only if Texas did their redistricting.

It was all a lie.

www.cbsnews.com

What happens to California's redistricting after Texas' congressional maps were struck down in court?

The court ruling came after California voters formally approved a ballot measure that was introduced to counteract Texas' redistricting.
www.cbsnews.com www.cbsnews.com
 
ZenMode said:
Especially when Newsom lied about it.

Prop 50 redistricting was supposed to happen only if Texas did their redistricting.

It was all a lie.

www.cbsnews.com

What happens to California's redistricting after Texas' congressional maps were struck down in court?

The court ruling came after California voters formally approved a ballot measure that was introduced to counteract Texas' redistricting.
www.cbsnews.com www.cbsnews.com
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Who promised that? If they did, did they have the authority to make it or the power to enforce it? If they did, why did it even need to be voted on and not just announced as a fait accompli? You sure don't understand much about how things work, do you or even the meaning of simple words like proposition. It's really NOT a synonym for promise.

In the farrago of lies by the Republican Party, this is small change even if you are accidentally correct.
 
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ZenMode said:
Especially when Newsom lied about it.

Prop 50 redistricting was supposed to happen only if Texas did their redistricting.

It was all a lie.

www.cbsnews.com

What happens to California's redistricting after Texas' congressional maps were struck down in court?

The court ruling came after California voters formally approved a ballot measure that was introduced to counteract Texas' redistricting.
www.cbsnews.com www.cbsnews.com
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Texas went ahead with their redistricting. They didn’t back off, they were put in a holding pattern until SCOTUS weighs in. Most figure SCOTUS will side with Texas.

So was Newsom supposed to back off because of what will amount to be a temporary judicial ruling against Texas?
 
finesse said:
Who promised that? If they did, did they have the authority to make it or the power to enforce it? If they did, why did it even be voted on and not just announced as a fait accompli? You sure don't understand much about how things work, do you or even the meaning of simple words like proposition. It's really NOT a synonym for promise.

In the farrago of lies by the Republican Party, this is small change even if you are accidentally correct.
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It's how the bill was originally written and presented. As the article says, lawmakers removed the wording.

In other words, it was all a lie.
 
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