2026 Midterm Elections

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Nearly every poll shows that actual GOP policies are highly unpopular with most of the public, and getting more so. That hasn't stopped them from winning elections thanks to culture-war issues, Democratic campaign failures, and a superior GOP campaign organization that plans long-term (think Project 2025) and which has deep pockets and an increasingly friendly/bosiding news media to support their campaigns. But once they actually get elected, in the 21st Century they've turned out to be incompetent at governing and gradually alienate more and more people, which leads to major defeats, first in off-year elections and then presidential elections. It happened in Dubya's second term in the 2006 midterms and then with Obama's election in 2008. It happened in Trump's first term in the 2018 midterms and then with Biden defeating him in 2020. And now it's happening again this year. Republicans are a very effective out-of-power party in opposition, but as a governing party they've been a disaster since Dubya's first term, because their policies don't work for most people and are usually enforced by incompetent bunglers.

Having said that, the memory of the average modern voter is about that of a housefly, so as soon as a Democratic president enters office the GOP immediately goes back on the offensive, pretends that every disaster they've dumped onto the Democratic president's lap is not their fault or doing, and too many voters with amnesia forget just how awful the previous GOP administration was and start voting them back into office again. It's a vicious cycle, and has been going on since Clinton's presidency.
 
Nearly every poll shows that actual GOP policies are highly unpopular with most of the public, and getting more so. That hasn't stopped them from winning elections thanks to culture-war issues, Democratic campaign failures, and a superior GOP campaign organization that plans long-term (think Project 2025) and which has deep pockets and an increasingly friendly/bosiding news media to support their campaigns. But once they actually get elected, in the 21st Century they've turned out to be incompetent at governing and gradually alienate more and more people, which leads to major defeats, first in off-year elections and then presidential elections. It happened in Dubya's second term in the 2006 midterms and then with Obama's election in 2008. It happened in Trump's first term in the 2018 midterms and then with Biden defeating him in 2020. And now it's happening again this year. Republicans are a very effective out-of-power party in opposition, but as a governing party they've been a disaster since Dubya's first term, because their policies don't work for most people and are usually enforced by incompetent bunglers.

Having said that, the memory of the average modern voter is about that of a housefly, so as soon as a Democratic president enters office the GOP immediately goes back on the offensive, pretends that every disaster they've dumped onto the Democratic president's lap is not their fault or doing, and too many voters with amnesia forget just how awful the previous GOP administration was and start voting them back into office again. It's a vicious cycle, and has been going on since Clinton's presidency.
I have said it over and over that the GQP is a savvy and ruthless opposition party, but they are a clueless and horrible governing party.
The Democratic party is an excellent governing party, but is horrible as a messaging opposition party and never miss an opportunity to miss an opportunity...but maybe that is beginning to change ?
 
deeply concerned and troubled Senator Collins is running scared. She has launched a 2 million ad buy to attack Graham Platner who is leading her by 7 points in the latest poll.
I really do think that if he wins the primary that her days in Washington will be over in January 2027. Collins was already going to struggle even with an older and more status quo Democratic opponent as this is a rough political climate for Republicans in swing states, but she would have still had a decent chance to win. Platner is kind of a nightmare candidate for her, in that he's much younger and more dynamic and is a clear outsider in a political climate that heavily favors outsiders and fresh faces. I also know that there are concerns that he might become another Fetterman if elected, but in terms of having the best chance to win the election and beat Collins he definitely seems to have the edge over Mills, imo.
 
I really do think that if he wins the primary that her days in Washington will be over in January 2027. Collins was already going to struggle even with an older and more status quo Democratic opponent as this is a rough political climate for Republicans in swing states, but she would have still had a decent chance to win. Platner is kind of a nightmare candidate for her, in that he's much younger and more dynamic and is a clear outsider in a political climate that heavily favors outsiders and fresh faces. I also know that there are concerns that he might become another Fetterman if elected, but in terms of having the best chance to win the election and beat Collins he definitely seems to have the edge over Mills, imo.
Worry that Platner is another Fetterman, Sinema and Manchin type candidate.
 
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