Biorhythms for Clemson @UNC: 7 PM Start

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Win one more or Miami win or Clemson loss.

Correct me if I’m wrong. Which I may be.
That’s where I landed looking at the standings.

I know it’s not guaranteed, but given that Miami has 2 games to get 1 win, you have to like the chances that 1 of those games goes our way.
 
Good win, Heels!

Now I gotta figure out what we gotta do to get a double bye.

If Carolina beats dook, they get a double bye.
If Clemson loses to Georgia Tech, Carolina gets a double bye.
If Carolina doesn't beat dook, and Clemson beats GT, and Miami loses both, Carolina loses the tiebreaker to Miami and Clemson and would be the 5 seed.
 
So I used KenPom's likelihood of how each game would go and did some basic math...

The good news, we have a 73.4% of getting at least one of the games we need to get the double bye to go our way.

The bad news, the outcome we need is not the favorite in any of the four individual games.
 
So I used KenPom's likelihood of how each game would go and did some basic math...

The good news, we have a 73.4% of getting at least one of the games we need to get the double bye to go our way.

The bad news, the outcome we need is not the favorite in any of the four individual games.
Miami at home vs Louisville seems like a UM lean.
 
Bogavac got hot in the second half (after a lackluster first half and blah last game). That's the shooting we've been waiting to see all year. That Clemson squad is tough; this was a quality win without Wilson.

The silver lining to a fifth seed is getting an extra game for Caleb to get comfortable.
 
I borrowed this from another place and I haven’t verified it, but apparently the tiebreakers go deeper than we realized…

1) If Miami wins one more game, or if Clemson loses to GA Tech and we lose to dook, we’re a lock at 4. So if Miami beats SMU, that’s it.

2) We beat dook and Miami goes 0-2, we’re the 3.

3) If Miami goes 0-2, Clemson wins, and we lose to dook, we’re in a 3-way tie with them, and we are either the 3, 4, or 5 depending on the following outcomes:

—>3: state loses against Stanford (overrides any other scenario), or FSU beats Pitt and SMU

—>4: Pitt beats FSU + FSU beats SMU + WF beats Cal

—>5: SMU beats FSU, or Pitt beats FSU + Cal beats WF

…in short, we really want the Cardinal to do the best thing ever.
 
I borrowed this from another place and I haven’t verified it, but apparently the tiebreakers go deeper than we realized…

1) If Miami wins one more game, or if Clemson loses to GA Tech and we lose to dook, we’re a lock at 4. So if Miami beats SMU, that’s it.

2) We beat dook and Miami goes 0-2, we’re the 3.

3) If Miami goes 0-2, Clemson wins, and we lose to dook, we’re in a 3-way tie with them, and we are either the 3, 4, or 5 depending on the following outcomes:

—>3: state loses against Stanford (overrides any other scenario), or FSU beats Pitt and SMU

—>4: Pitt beats FSU + FSU beats SMU + WF beats Cal

—>5: SMU beats FSU, or Pitt beats FSU + Cal beats WF

…in short, we really want the Cardinal to do the best thing ever.
Any scenario involving State losing is always a contender to be the best. I could suffer through them losing all the rest of their games.
 
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