Biorhythms for First Round NCAAT Game vs VCU: 6:50 Start

Pretty simple stuff. You are not competing for Championships with a 6'7" Van Lubin playing C and you are not going to compete for Championships with no PG. Thats why we have zero NCAAT wins the past two years. I've been shocked all year at just how bad our PG position has been. Shocked that it could be that devoid of talent at UNC. That's all on HD just like not having a C last year.

FWIW we are getting ready to see just how much pull RW still has. Hoping the new admin will give a huge FU to RW and his remaining Carolina Way big donor fan club.
 
Since the NCAAT started having at-large bids in 1975 the only stretches we went two seasons or more in a row without winning an NCAAT game (not including the First Four), were:

1978-1980 BUT in 1979 and 1980 we got fist round byes and lost in the second round. So if you count a bye as win, then that stretch wouldn’t count.

2002-2003 (no NCAAT appearances)

2020-2021 BUT there was no NCAAT in 2020. Granted, we would not have made it if there were.

2025-2026
 
Momentum also doesn't affect long shots, short shots, layups and free throws. It also doesn't affect turnovers, defensive effort and bad passes that much. Yes, I'm totally disgusted by the outcome but that's only because , after it looked like our coaches had sat in on all the VCU meetings, we crapped the bed. One less turnover or one more made shot and we wouldn't be in this state.

Fwiw, if I was coach, had a 19 point lead less that 10 minutes to go and another game in two days, I'd have slowed the game down as well.

The other three people on the court made some unforced errors as well but, in context, not going there after our TEAM meltdown.
For the first almost 30 minutes the Heels looked as prepared as they had all season. There seemed to be no way they were going to lose that game.
 
Momentum also doesn't affect long shots, short shots, layups and free throws. It also doesn't affect turnovers, defensive effort and bad passes that much. Yes, I'm totally disgusted by the outcome but that's only because , after it looked like our coaches had sat in on all the VCU meetings, we crapped the bed. One less turnover or one more made shot and we wouldn't be in this state.

Fwiw, if I was coach, had a 19 point lead less that 10 minutes to go and another game in two days, I'd have slowed the game down as well.

The other three people on the court made some unforced errors as well but, in context, not going there after our TEAM meltdown.
Slowing the game down was a sound strategy. It took one helluva of an effort to fuck it up.
 
I think it's time to accept that this is Carolina basketball now. Pretty soon, we'll be one of the locker rooms ESPN flashes to on Selection Sundays when their team squeaks into the tournament and goes berserk celebrating it.
 
Eh, where I come from, you blow a 19 point lead you don't get to complain about the refs. I mean, that's espically egregious, but if we had taken care of business that one bad call wouldn't have mattered one whit. We just didn't play well enough to give us the right to complain about that call. Just my opinion.
It also wouldn't have ended the game unless we made some FTs
 
I noticed the double dribble live, but never rewound to look at it again. We can’t say it would’ve ended the game, but that should’ve been called.
Don't be totally inept and lose a 19 point lead and turnover the ball on a 5 second call instead of taking a TO and it wouldn't have come down to that.
 



That real? I lost my livestream when the score was 73-75 UNC (4:12 on the clock) and had to go to the radio. For some reason (network blocking?) I could not dial in on WCHL and had to listen to the national radio broadcast.
 
Eh, where I come from, you blow a 19 point lead you don't get to complain about the refs. I mean, that's espically egregious, but if we had taken care of business that one bad call wouldn't have mattered one whit. We just didn't play well enough to give us the right to complain about that call. Just my opinion.
I agree. I didn't notice it in real time and it never gets called anymore.
 
A lot of times in successful huge comebacks officiating is a factor

Just one of those things and obviously beyond control. Unlike missing FTs and turning it over a bunch of times

So many plays down the stretch that could have won them that game
 
This sums it up and seemed to be the same story against SMU, MSU and Stanford....

From IC article:
Against VCU, Seth Trimble spent most of the first half trying to make life tough on Rams leading scorer Terrence Hill Jr. Through 20 minutes, Hill had 11 points on 50 percent from the floor. He ended with 34 and was 7-for-10 from three.

The difference? In the second half, the Tar Heels went away from that. They switched on screens and gave him advantageous matchups.

"I felt like we started switching things a lot more in the last half after their big hit two threes," senior captain Seth Trimble said in the locker room postgame. "It went downhill from there."

Trimble repeatedly pointed to UNC's switching as a turning point, clearly frustrated with the lack of adjustments.

"Every time (Terrance Hill Jr.) got a switch he really liked, he took advantage of it," Trimble said. "It's probably one of the most frustrating parts of this game, he was still having a great game, but I thought I was doing somewhat of a good job containing him and making things tough. I'm never going to pinpoint things on my teammates, that's not the reason why we lost, but when we went away from that I feel like it made it easier for him, for sure."

VCU didn't just benefit — it attacked those matchups relentlessly. UNC went away from what worked — and paid for it.
 
The difference? In the second half, the Tar Heels went away from that. They switched on screens and gave him advantageous matchups.

"I felt like we started switching things a lot more in the last half after their big hit two threes," senior captain Seth Trimble said in the locker room postgame. "It went downhill from there."

Trimble repeatedly pointed to UNC's switching as a turning point, clearly frustrated with the lack of adjustments.

"Every time (Terrance Hill Jr.) got a switch he really liked, he took advantage of it," Trimble said. "It's probably one of the most frustrating parts of this game, he was still having a great game, but I thought I was doing somewhat of a good job containing him and making things tough. I'm never going to pinpoint things on my teammates, that's not the reason why we lost, but when we went away from that I feel like it made it easier for him, for sure."
I think this type of reasoning is exactly why these discussions can be toxic. Don't take Seth's opinion at face value. He has a pretty strong bias, and plus he's talking in a circumstance where he's upset and emotional.

"We started switching things a lot more after their big hit two threes." Yes. That's what you do. Imagine if we didn't switch and their big hit 5 more threes! People might not have liked that.

Too often, people don't think about the opportunity costs. There are tradeoffs. Just because a strategy didn't work doesn't mean it's stupid. It doesn't even mean it was wrong. If you offer me 10:1 odds on a fair coin, I will take that bet every time and it's clearly right of me to do so. And if I lose all my money on 5 losing bets in a row, it was still smart of me. It was just unfortunate.

That's the problem in post hoc rationalizations and analyses.
 
Back
Top