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You're overestimating our talent outside of Wilson & Veesaar.Let's go with average P4 team then. But, I'd argue this roster, without those two, still has enough talent to be an (slightly?) above average ACC team.
I'd put us somewhere middle of the pack in the ACC talent-wise without Wilson & Veesaar and that's without considering how unbalanced losing those 2 makes us as we're without a reliable inside presence.
State is a good team this year, albeit very inconsistent.
There's a reason we were a significant underdog by tip-off.