California Fires - Politics of Blame

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A fair amount of over-sensationalizing in those tweets. Nothing is get wiped off the map. There are houses burning, but they will be rebuilt. The vast majority of the acreage burning right now is in the Will Rogers/Santa Monica Mountains. The wind is blowing it down the hill quickly, so it will take out some of the houses, but this is simply a fact of life in LA now. The winds are stronger than usual, but this is all stuff Cal Fire and LA Fire has ample experience and equipment to handle.

The big concern with the fast moving fires is making sure people don't get gridlocked trying to get out -- that is what killed every body in Lahaina and Paradise. It sounds like people made the smart decision to abandon their cars and just hoof it out.
 
A fair amount of over-sensationalizing in those tweets. Nothing is get wiped off the map. There are houses burning, but they will be rebuilt. The vast majority of the acreage burning right now is in the Will Rogers/Santa Monica Mountains. The wind is blowing it down the hill quickly, so it will take out some of the houses, but this is simply a fact of life in LA now. The winds are stronger than usual, but this is all stuff Cal Fire and LA Fire has ample experience and equipment to handle.

The big concern with the fast moving fires is making sure people don't get gridlocked trying to get out -- that is what killed every body in Lahaina and Paradise. It sounds like people made the smart decision to abandon their cars and just hoof it out.
If you’re at the point of abandoning your vehicle and hoofing it, the shit has exploded all over the fan and you might not be able to make it to safety.

A buddy’s son and his girlfriend are in NoMo (no clue where that is). They’ve bailed and are heading to my buddy’s home in Manhattan Beach.
 
NoMo is north of Montana which is a main east/west artery through northern Santa Monica. It’s pretty much adjacent to Pacific Palisades to the south/southeast along the coast.

The winds shouldn’t blow things down into that area and Brentwood. I’d think they’d be blowing more westward like a standard Santa Ana. But I guess the landscape of the canyons and wind shifts mean anything in that area could be threatened. But typically fires like these burn toward the water. Which isn’t good news for the Palisades however.
 
NoMo is north of Montana which is a main east/west artery through northern Santa Monica. It’s pretty much adjacent to Pacific Palisades to the south/southeast along the coast.

The winds shouldn’t blow things down into that area and Brentwood. I’d think they’d be blowing more westward like a standard Santa Ana. But I guess the landscape of the canyons and wind shifts mean anything in that area could be threatened. But typically fires like these burn toward the water. Which isn’t good news for the Palisades however.
You’ll get spot fires all the way to the ocean due to the wind. The question is always whether those spot fires start to burn out of control.

There is already another big fire 50 miles to the east in Altadena and my guess is another one or two will crop up tonight (the fire bugs love this shit).

But that is pretty much standard fare for the big Santa Ana gust days. You are going to lose hundreds of homes.
 
If you’re at the point of abandoning your vehicle and hoofing it, the shit has exploded all over the fan and you might not be able to make it to safety.

A buddy’s son and his girlfriend are in NoMo (no clue where that is). They’ve bailed and are heading to my buddy’s home in Manhattan Beach.
Those hill side streets are very narrow and all you need is some idiot getting stuck on a three point turn to screw it up for everyone upslope.

Also, LA is a follow along community if there ever was one. Once that first person abandons his car, everyone is going to do the same (not that they have much choice if the person abandoning his car leaves it in the middle of the street blocking traffic.)
 
You’ll get spot fires all the way to the ocean due to the wind. The question is always whether those spot fires start to burn out of control.

There is already another big fire 50 miles to the east in Altadena and my guess is another one or two will crop up tonight (the fire bugs love this shit).

But that is pretty much standard fare for the big Santa Ana gust days. You are going to lose hundreds of homes.
By “fire bugs,” do you mean arsonists?
 
Obviously, it COULD be natural causes. The wind will blow down the power lines that haven’t been placed underground yet (and then PG&E or SCE is sued for billions). But I always place by default blame on arsonists until proven otherwise.

15 million people in SoCal and only takes one pyro to start something like this. And there are a lot of people with small lives that want to see a fire so they feel like they mean something.
 
You’ll get spot fires all the way to the ocean due to the wind. The question is always whether those spot fires start to burn out of control.

There is already another big fire 50 miles to the east in Altadena and my guess is another one or two will crop up tonight (the fire bugs love this shit).

But that is pretty much standard fare for the big Santa Ana gust days. You are going to lose hundreds of homes.
And a third fire near Burbank now. We may be up to a half dozen by the morning.
 


“… Powerful Santa Ana winds were expected to continue for much of Los Angeles and Ventura counties through Wednesday and into Thursday, with gusts up to 70 miles an hour in some areas.

“Conditions today look extremely bad, possibly even worse than yesterday,” Frank Pereira, a meteorologist with the National Weather Service, said.

“We expect very strong sustained winds to continue at least into Thursday, which of course with the very dry conditions means things will remain extremely dangerous. It’s not until later in the week when the winds will slacken and efforts to fight these fires will get a bit easier,” he said. …”
 

Residents flee as wind-fueled wildfires destroy homes in Los Angeles County​


Nearly 100,000 residents under evacuation advisories due to Eaton fire​


"This entire street is up in flames": Wind gusts spread fire across Pasadena neighborhood​




"Tornado-like" winds are only going to get worse, says fire captain​


 
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