College Basketball 2025-26 season thread

[mpaer]

Somebody told me Bama shot 48 3s last night in beating aTm and their all game full court press

 

[Icky Mettle]

Somebody told me Bama shot 48 3s last night in beating aTm and their all game full court press

This is true. They hit 16 of them, so 33.3%.

 

[CarolinaFever]

Portland upset Gonzaga last night.

 

[aGDevil2k]

ESPN saying that we have a 78% chance to win in Chapel Hill is the dumbest damn thing. Our two teams never have that high of odds on the road in this series. Even years one is clearly way better (last year) - you don't count anything as "likely"
Gimmick stats are annoying

 

[Heelsandeers]

Last season 78% wouldn’t have been high enough. Never felt worse about Duke-UNC matchup in my life

Definitely a dumb number this year. Don’t think it will surprise too many if UNC wins Saturday

 

[SnoopRob]

Last season 78% wouldn’t have been high enough. Never felt worse about Duke-UNC matchup in my life

Definitely a dumb number this year. Don’t think it will surprise too many if UNC wins Saturday

I'm curious, what do you think the point spread should be for this game? And what do you think should be the percentage likelihood that the favored team wins?

 

[Bigs23]

A team favored by 5 wins about 67% of the time.

 

[aGDevil2k]

Last season 78% wouldn’t have been high enough. Never felt worse about Duke-UNC matchup in my life

Definitely a dumb number this year. Don’t think it will surprise too many if UNC wins Saturday

No reasonable person would be shocked. We aren't some Michigan like team. We are good. Very good. And very beatable as well.

 

[Batt Boy]

meanwhile, State beats SMU and has a higher net than we do

 

[Calheel]

No reasonable person would be shocked. We aren't some Michigan like team. We are good. Very good. And very beatable as well.

Michigan is just as beatable as Duke.

 

[Heelsandeers]

I'm curious, what do you think the point spread should be for this game? And what do you think should be the percentage likelihood that the favored team wins?

5 and 65% seems about right

 

[Calheel]

5 and 65% seems about right

The true money line on FanDuel right now is 265, which gives an implied win percentage for Duke of 72.6%

 

[Heelsandeers]

The true money line on FanDuel right now is 265, which gives an implied win percentage for Duke of 72.6%

Sounds like good UNC value

 

[SnoopRob]

5 and 65% seems about right

Those line up. Assuming you believe dook should be favored, you just think the line is too high right now.