1moretimeagain
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“…“… The U.S. GENIUS Act—short for Guiding and Establishing National Innovation for U.S. Stablecoins—formalizes this transformation of money by creating a framework for regulated U.S. banks to issue dollar-backed stablecoins: digital tokens designed to reliably trade near their $1 par value because they are backed by real dollars or safe assets held in reserve.
These tokens can move instantly across the internet, often bypassing the traditional banking system and its know-your-customer rules. Many operate on decentralized blockchains where transactions are recorded on public ledgers maintained by distributed computer networks that span the globe—beyond the practical reach of any sovereign authority.
This removes the biggest obstacle holding back the development of stablecoins: the lack of a fully credible peg. Historically, stablecoin issuers lacked the financial wherewithal to credibly maintain their peg to the U.S. dollar and had no liquidity support from the U.S. Federal Reserve, unlike banks. As a result, stablecoins rarely lived up to their moniker: Several collapsed outright, while others have frequently depegged, trading below their $1 par value during periods of volatility.
Yet with banks potentially guaranteeing 1:1 redemption of stablecoins for dollars, these tokens would become functionally equivalent to other financial assets, such as time deposits or commercial paper, that are already recognized “cash equivalents” under international accounting standards. The largest U.S. banks are already working on plans to issue stablecoins….”
“… In May, Hong Kong’s Legislative Council passed the landmark Stablecoins Bill, allowing licensed entities to issue fiat-backed stablecoins, including those pegged to the Hong Kong dollar (itself pegged to the U.S. dollar) and the offshore renminbi (CNH). Oversight, licensing, and audits fall under the authority of the Hong Kong Monetary Authority.“…
China’s leadership views these developments with considerable apprehension—and for good reason. Bank-issued dollar stablecoins present a powerful use case as an infinitely divisible, programmable form of digital money that combines the dollar’s core strength—global liquidity—with the security and anonymity of blockchain-based ownership, akin to holding physical gold.
… The result is a new channel for transacting in dollars that the Chinese state cannot fully monitor, throttle, or shut down.
From the perspective of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP), dollar stablecoins are not just a potentially disruptive economic issue but also a political threat.
One of the pillars of the party’s political power is its ability to control the flow of money and preferentially allocate capital using China’s system of financial repression. The architecture of this system relies on strict capital controls to hold the capital of the Chinese people captive and funnel it into state-owned banks.
If the government can no longer effectively police access to foreign currency, then capital will steadily leak out, and the whole system of ensuring the loyalty of China’s elites to the CCP by selectively granting them access to cheap capital will break down.
… China’s export-oriented business community would likely be receptive to using bank-issued dollar stablecoins because of their potential to lower international transaction costs. It is conceivable that after gaining traction among businesses, dollar stablecoins could begin to displace the yuan in more everyday transactions—just as printed U.S. dollars already circulate widely in parts of Latin America.
While the loss of monetary sovereignty in China may seem like a distant threat, it is nonetheless an existential one—and the CCP knows it.…”