Economic News

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1. In this chaotic, nonsensical economic world, that seems to be the only reasonable decision.
2. An absolutely MASSIVE Twitstorm from the most powerful man in the history of the world is incoming.
3. This, plus the humiliation Trump suffered the other day while touring the Fed, significantly increases the risk Trump will fire Powell, which is probably the greatest risk we face at this moment of having an economic meltdown within the next 60 days.
 
... BUT for the first time since 1993, there has been more than one dissent from the Board of Governors.

Remember, everything Trump touches dies. Will Powell and the Federal Reserve be next?
I wonder if the dissenters are trying to position themselves to be the next Fed Chair. If so, being in favor of a quarter point reduction in rates seems insufficient. They should’ve called for reducing by 2 full percentage points.
 
... BUT for the first time since 1993, there has been more than one dissent from the Board of Governors.

Remember, everything Trump touches dies. Will Powell and the Federal Reserve be next?
I honestly wouldn't read too much into that. We're in unprecedented times. A credible case can be made for a rate reduction. I'll respect any credible economist who says our current economic data supports a rate reduction. I will NOT respect anyone who says we should cut rates because the EU has done so, or because cutting rates would spur economic growth.

We may look back on this moment a couple of years from now and conclude the Fed should have lowered the rate by a quarter point. But what cannot be disputed is that the uncertainty, and the lack of ability to know what is the rational decision, is 100% the result of the reckless, unforecastable policies that the guy who has bankrupted multiple casinos put into practice. The reality of a high risk-high reward situation is that the chances of a massive loss are far greater than the chances of a massive gain. I hope we win the bet and have a massive gain. But the odds are very much not in our favor.
 
Trump keeps saying there is NO inflation. You can not win any argument when your basic premise is completely wrong. Inflation has been over 3.5% for awhile and slowly increasing.

Also, Trump's primary reasoning for wanting lower rates is lower interest costs on our debt. That is not one of the Fed's mandates. If Trump is concerned about debt, perhaps he shouldn't have passed his Big Ugly Bullshit that will produce the largest increase to debt ever, while cutting many essential services.
 
Trump keeps saying there is NO inflation. You can not win any argument when your basic premise is completely wrong. Inflation has been over 3.5% for awhile and slowly increasing.

Also, Trump's primary reasoning for wanting lower rates is lower interest costs on our debt. That is not one of the Fed's mandates. If Trump is concerned about debt, perhaps he shouldn't have passed his Big Ugly Bullshit that will produce the largest increase to debt ever, while cutting many essential services.
This is the key to EVERY right wing talking point. You don't start with the reality, as supported by data. You start with the reality, skewed 90 degrees to the right. When that's the starting point of every debate, it's extraordinarily unlikely you'll ever need to return to reality, much less engage with arguments that have the potential to change your thinking.
 
... BUT for the first time since 1993, there has been more than one dissent from the Board of Governors.

Remember, everything Trump touches dies. Will Powell and the Federal Reserve be next?
Stock market is not happy today that they have to wait another month to slurp up that sweet cheap money, but my widow and orphan dividend paying stocks don't mind for today.
 



Initial jobless claims rose by only 1,000 to 218,000 in the week ended July 26, the Labor Department said Thursday. The data indicate a stable labor market with low layoff activity. Claims remain well below the 237,000 average in May and June.

Economists polled by The Wall Street Journal had estimated new claims would rise by 5,000 to 222,000.”

——

Businesses may not be hiring at a strong clip, especially at entry level, but so far they aren’t firing / laying off workers in large numbers, either.
 

Prices rose 2.6% in June compared with a year ago, the Commerce Department said Thursday, up from an annual pace of 2.4% in May. Excluding the volatile food and energy categories, prices rose 2.8% in the past year, the same as the previous month, which was revised higher. The figures are above the Fed’s 2% goal.
...
The government’s measure of gas prices jumped 0.9% from May to June, while grocery costs rose 0.3%. Many longer-lasting goods that are heavily imported saw clear price increases, with furniture prices up 1.3% just last month, appliances up 1.9%, and computers up 1.4%.
...
The cost of some services fell dramatically last month, offsetting some of the price pressures from goods. Air fares dropped 0.7% from May to June, while the cost of hotel rooms plunged 3.6% just in one month.

Thursday’s report also showed that consumer spending rose 0.3% from May to June, a modest rise that suggests Americans are still spending cautiously. Adjusted for inflation, the increase was just 0.1%, the government said.

Americans’ incomes also picked up just modestly, rising 0.3% last month, a rebound after a 0.4% drop in May. But adjusted for inflation and taxes, incomes were flat in June.

Consumers have been cautious all year. On Wednesday, the government said the economy expanded at a 3% annual rate in the second quarter, a solid showing but one that masked some red flags. Consumer spending, for example, rose at a lackluster 1.4% pace, after an even smaller gain of 0.5% in the first three months of the year. A sharp drop in imports in the April-June quarter, which followed a surge in the first quarter, provided a big lift to the government’s calculation of U.S. gross domestic product.
 

1. It would appear the left's "tariffs are going to cause rampant inflation" claims were wrong


4. Winning

FIFY
 
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