superrific
Inconceivable Member
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- 3,267
I'm violating my own rule about "don't look for meaning in the early vote" but this isn't quite about that. Rather, there are some questions prompted by looking at that count. First, here's the link to NC early voting data.
1. I was intrigued by GOP claims that men are voting more than they did in 2020, given that I had seen that women were voting more than they did in 2020. And it turns out both are right! So far, women have been 51.92% of the early vote (up from 50.4% of total vote in 2020), and men 41.82% (up from 41.4%, so the XX/XY gender gap is even bigger now than total vote in 2020). So how is this possible? Almost 9% of registered voters are "undesignated" by sex. And they turned out about halfway between XX and XY turnout in 2020. But this year, so far, undesignated turnout is sharply down. That's how both men and women can be gaining.
SO -- what does "undesignated" mean? Trans? Didn't check the box on the form (which I thought was required in many places, maybe not NC)? It seems too big to be trans . . .
2. Race. White voter turnout is lower relative to black turnout so far than in 2020 total results. Yet white votes are a higher % of total votes. That's because "other" is really dropping the ball. Who is other? It's not Hispanics -- they are addressed under the "ethnicity" framework. According to the 2020 results, "other" includes Asians, biracial, Am Indian, "other" and "undesignated." There were very few Am Indians in the total vote (35K voters, or 0.6% of the total), but maybe even less turnout so far? I assume Am Indians are predominantly Lumbee. Do they vote early?
Asians was also a small category (70K votes statewide in 2020) and "two or more races" was much smaller than I anticipated (only 28K in the state; I guess the one-drop rule still lives). So the "other" category is predominantly "undesignated" and . . . "other." Over 100K votes from "other" in 2020.
Any ideas as to who "other" refers to, if not Asians, Am Indians, Pac Islanders (340 total votes in 2020), Hispanics, Blacks, bi-racial, or white? And what about undesignated? I've noticed no spot for Arabs. I know there are some government databases that still count Middle Easterners as white for demographic purposes, but they don't see themselves as white so maybe that's the other category? Also, what about Jews? Is it possible some of them consider themselves to be "other"?
Whoever "other" is, they are so far doing a bad job of voting.
3. What does the ballot actually look like re: RFK Jr? I ask because "We The People" have gotten 379 votes, for a 30% turnout. This is obviously of no consequence for the election, but I'm curious. How does one vote We The People? Are they even on the ballot with a candidate? Should we assume those 379 votes are probably going to the GOP (not that it matters)?
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1. I was intrigued by GOP claims that men are voting more than they did in 2020, given that I had seen that women were voting more than they did in 2020. And it turns out both are right! So far, women have been 51.92% of the early vote (up from 50.4% of total vote in 2020), and men 41.82% (up from 41.4%, so the XX/XY gender gap is even bigger now than total vote in 2020). So how is this possible? Almost 9% of registered voters are "undesignated" by sex. And they turned out about halfway between XX and XY turnout in 2020. But this year, so far, undesignated turnout is sharply down. That's how both men and women can be gaining.
SO -- what does "undesignated" mean? Trans? Didn't check the box on the form (which I thought was required in many places, maybe not NC)? It seems too big to be trans . . .
2. Race. White voter turnout is lower relative to black turnout so far than in 2020 total results. Yet white votes are a higher % of total votes. That's because "other" is really dropping the ball. Who is other? It's not Hispanics -- they are addressed under the "ethnicity" framework. According to the 2020 results, "other" includes Asians, biracial, Am Indian, "other" and "undesignated." There were very few Am Indians in the total vote (35K voters, or 0.6% of the total), but maybe even less turnout so far? I assume Am Indians are predominantly Lumbee. Do they vote early?
Asians was also a small category (70K votes statewide in 2020) and "two or more races" was much smaller than I anticipated (only 28K in the state; I guess the one-drop rule still lives). So the "other" category is predominantly "undesignated" and . . . "other." Over 100K votes from "other" in 2020.
Any ideas as to who "other" refers to, if not Asians, Am Indians, Pac Islanders (340 total votes in 2020), Hispanics, Blacks, bi-racial, or white? And what about undesignated? I've noticed no spot for Arabs. I know there are some government databases that still count Middle Easterners as white for demographic purposes, but they don't see themselves as white so maybe that's the other category? Also, what about Jews? Is it possible some of them consider themselves to be "other"?
Whoever "other" is, they are so far doing a bad job of voting.
3. What does the ballot actually look like re: RFK Jr? I ask because "We The People" have gotten 379 votes, for a 30% turnout. This is obviously of no consequence for the election, but I'm curious. How does one vote We The People? Are they even on the ballot with a candidate? Should we assume those 379 votes are probably going to the GOP (not that it matters)?