superrific
Master of the ZZLverse
- Messages
- 11,678
1. It's really a lot like timeouts. You see timeouts working sometimes, and you fall into the common cognitive trap of selective memory -- i.e. you remember the incidents that confirm your thesis (timeouts work), and don't pay attention when they don't.
The only way to assess whether timeouts work is to do a statistical analysis. And statistical analyses have shown that timeouts do not stop "momentum," in part because momentum doesn't really exist. I know, you're going to say, "but, but . . ." and the answer is that scoring runs by one team happen about as much as you'd expect randomly. And when presented with the evidence, you waved it away. You said, it depended on the quality of the team talk, that Coach K's timeouts worked because somehow magically he said something in the huddle that was I guess irreproducible. That, of course, is bullshit. And you were putting it forward to avoid having to admit you were wrong.
2. This is the same pattern over and over again with MAGA. You think A is going to happen because Trump says it; then Z happens, as experts and smart people said; and then you try to make an excuse for why Z happened, or claim that it was really B, or any number of other dodges.
3. If there is one takeaway for you from this dystopia of an administration, maybe it should be this: listen to people who know more than you. Judge speakers by their competence, not their ideology. Stop being personally insulted by reality. For instance, Sarah Palin attended several non-competitive colleges and graduated, I think, from Idaho. Conservatives were offended when we pointed out her lack of education and connected it to the lunatic things she said. You might want Idaho grads to be as competent and intelligent as Harvard grads, but it simply isn't true. It's not even close. Is there an Idaho grad smarter than some Ivy Leaguer? Sure. But on average it's not close.
So ask yourself, why do so many people on your side come from bad universities? Bondi went to Stetson, I think. Rubio to Miami (OH). Kash Patel, to Pace U Law. Again, most generalizations are false in some specifics. Hegseth went to Princeton. But by and large, Dems are educated. AOC, for instance, went to Boston U -- you'd never know that listening to the Fox News ranting. It wasn't always like this.
It also doesn't have to be like that in the future. The reason that educated people are Dems is that you chased out all the educated Pubs. It was Bobby Jindal who said, "I'm tired of us being the party of stupid." Chris Christie decried the "crazies" who didn't like that he appointed a Muslim to the NJ bench. Well, can you name two people who are no longer people in conservative politics?
4. If you can't change this habit of yours, then none of your fake mea culpas will come to anything. I will not have any respect for a person who thumbs their nose at experts and instead embraces quackery and ignorance.
The only way to assess whether timeouts work is to do a statistical analysis. And statistical analyses have shown that timeouts do not stop "momentum," in part because momentum doesn't really exist. I know, you're going to say, "but, but . . ." and the answer is that scoring runs by one team happen about as much as you'd expect randomly. And when presented with the evidence, you waved it away. You said, it depended on the quality of the team talk, that Coach K's timeouts worked because somehow magically he said something in the huddle that was I guess irreproducible. That, of course, is bullshit. And you were putting it forward to avoid having to admit you were wrong.
2. This is the same pattern over and over again with MAGA. You think A is going to happen because Trump says it; then Z happens, as experts and smart people said; and then you try to make an excuse for why Z happened, or claim that it was really B, or any number of other dodges.
3. If there is one takeaway for you from this dystopia of an administration, maybe it should be this: listen to people who know more than you. Judge speakers by their competence, not their ideology. Stop being personally insulted by reality. For instance, Sarah Palin attended several non-competitive colleges and graduated, I think, from Idaho. Conservatives were offended when we pointed out her lack of education and connected it to the lunatic things she said. You might want Idaho grads to be as competent and intelligent as Harvard grads, but it simply isn't true. It's not even close. Is there an Idaho grad smarter than some Ivy Leaguer? Sure. But on average it's not close.
So ask yourself, why do so many people on your side come from bad universities? Bondi went to Stetson, I think. Rubio to Miami (OH). Kash Patel, to Pace U Law. Again, most generalizations are false in some specifics. Hegseth went to Princeton. But by and large, Dems are educated. AOC, for instance, went to Boston U -- you'd never know that listening to the Fox News ranting. It wasn't always like this.
It also doesn't have to be like that in the future. The reason that educated people are Dems is that you chased out all the educated Pubs. It was Bobby Jindal who said, "I'm tired of us being the party of stupid." Chris Christie decried the "crazies" who didn't like that he appointed a Muslim to the NJ bench. Well, can you name two people who are no longer people in conservative politics?
4. If you can't change this habit of yours, then none of your fake mea culpas will come to anything. I will not have any respect for a person who thumbs their nose at experts and instead embraces quackery and ignorance.
