1. I think the initial opposition to Hubert was in large measure about race. I get it -- no head coaching experience, etc. But the anti-Hubert crowd and the MAGA crowd on the old boards overlapped considerably.
Now I do not think that opposition to HD is really about race. I mean, it still is for the MAGAs, but there are strong race-neutral arguments for firing him. I don't know if I agree with those arguments, and there are strong arguments the other way, which I also don't know if I agree with -- but it seems clear to me that he's in the hotseat because of the outcomes, not his race.
2. The reality, I think, is that the coach matters less than people think. Scheyer in Derm underachieved with his players even worse than we did. Until this year. It turns out that having the best player in the country, along with two or three other lottery picks, is a key to being successful.
Last year Hurley was a world-beating coach, the best in the business. This year, UConn is #34 in kenpom, right behind UNC at #33. It turns out that having a couple of top 10 picks on your roster along with two high quality fifth year seniors in the backcourt is a key to being successful. It appears that Castle is going to be ROY in the NBA this year, or at least first team all rookie. He was UConn's third best player.
3. For all those who complain about HD's offense, it's also true that he's been saddled with a bunch of low-IQ players his entire time here. I have seen nothing from Withers that would lead me to believe he could effectively function in a more complex system. HD brought him in, knowing that his mental acuity was an issue; I suppose we can put that on HD's recruiting. But Caleb wasn't his fault -- another low-IQ player who had trouble buying into any system. EC makes a lot of dumb plays too.
4. I think what we need is a set of expectations from our coach -- sort of the way owners in the NBA can set down organizational policies that they expect the coach and GM to adhere to. The best teams in the NBA have a plan. This should be ours (it's not novel):
A. One non-shooter on the roster total. I suppose we could maybe exempt the center position (maybe) because perimeter oriented 5s are still fairly rare. But otherwise, everyone on the roster 1-4 has to be able to shoot well from outside. We can have a Trimble or an EC but not both. A Hans or a Deon, but not both. Not in today's game.
B. Also, no reliance on "he will develop a shot." For whatever reason, UNC has been terrible at developing shooters for . . . well, as long as I can remember. As great as Dean was in developing players, shooting was not his forte. We had too many guys come in as non-shooters and leave as non-shooters. Derrick Phelps, Brian Reese, King Rice, Ed Cota are a few names that come to mind under Dean. We all know the names under Roy. I can think of Shammond and Kenny Smith as guys who really improved their jumpers while at UNC. Maybe Kendall, in that he went from a guy you didn't have to guard outside to a guy who wasn't going to knock down shots but couldn't be left wide open.
The portal should mean that we don't need to take chances any more. Get guys from the portal who can shoot. Recruit guys who can shoot. No more guys who are effective without being able to shoot, or who will learn or will grow into their shots. No more.
C. No more reclassing. Flagg reclassed and it didn't hurt him at all, but he would have been the #1 draft pick last year, so he was very far ahead of the curve. But the senior season in high school is developmentally valuable -- especially for guys who maybe have never needed an outside shot but sure could benefit from them at the next level.
Now, maybe there are more examples of successful reclasses than I can think of right now, but I can think of a lot of top guys who weren't successful in college after reclassing. Duke had a string of PGs who reclassed, weren't very good, and then dumped after one season. One of them was Duval. I don't remember the others. GG Jackson. I would not consider EC to have been a successful college player at this point. And while injuries to guys like J Washington aren't about reclassing, they also show the developmental advantages of that senior season.
Of course, it depends on what the players are doing in their senior season. If HD told EC, "nah, stay in high school to develop your game," the next sentence should be, "and you should be focusing on your jump shot. You can get by guys and get to the rim. Don't. Or not nearly as much. Shoot." If the players are just going to do the same things they have been doing, I guess it's not that helpful. But that needs to be a conversation.