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The admin won't lift a finger to coerce him. Watch. We're paying El Salvador $6million for the "favor" of holding some prisoners. This admin's favorite weapon of coercion, one it's already used many times over on states and universities, is withholding funds until the target adopts a more agreeable and deferential position. Let's see if the admin withholds money from El Salvador until they return Abrego Garcia. I bet they won't. Meanwhile, the admin will happily withhold $1.5million in funding from Maine prisons over transgender issues.I'm wondering if Buckle will play ball.
I feel like the USSC really should have considered that giving a President immunity means that he can functionally ignore any order they issue before, you know, giving him immunity.The admin won't lift a finger to coerce him. Watch. We're paying El Salvador $6million for the "favor" of holding some prisoners. This admin's favorite weapon of coercion, one it's already used many times over on states and universities, is withholding funds until the target adopts a more agreeable and deferential position. Let's see if the admin withholds money from El Salvador until they return Abrego Garcia. I bet they won't. Meanwhile, the admin will happily withhold $1.5million in funding from Maine prisons over transgender issues.
While I agree with you entirely, it's also true that the president has had the ability to ignore court orders for a long time. I don't think immunity changed that calculus.I feel like the USSC really should have considered that giving a President immunity means that he can functionally ignore any order they issue before, you know, giving him immunity.
SCOTUS seems to be adopting the more circumscribed approach of the most conservative opinion from theDC4th Circuit. The notion that “facilitating” the return of Abrego Garcia is more clear than “effectuating” his return is … puzzling and lacking any direction as to the distinction or what constitutes sufficient effort to facilitate his return. It creates the need for further hearings before the facilitation can be ordered. Then what? Back up to DC Circuit and SCOTUS to sort out the meaning of facilitation, right?
I don't see any upside in this for Trump. Yes, it tangentially concerns immigration, which is theoretically his strong suit, but it also highlights two of Trump's weaknesses: incompetence and arrogance.Yes, I imagine we are due for some sort of Kabuki Theater production from the Trump Admin and El Salvador, where the Trump admin pretends to try to get the guy back and says El Salvador says "We, the sovereign government of El Salvador, believe it is an intrusion on our national sovereignty for you to demand the return of this person; no take backs" and the admin then throws up its hands and says "we tried." Meanwhile behind the scenes they are furiously texting El Salvadorian officials on Signal saying "we're gonna ask for this guy back but don't give him back, here's what you need to say." And then it will work its way back up to the Supreme Court to decide how convincing the administration is.
I think that's a different guy. They are doing many of these bullshit deportations at once.Now he's not just a member of the gang, he's a "ringleader"
I hope you're right and they just bring him back (which obviously El Salvador would do if they asked). But Trump doesn't think about news cycle stuff rationally like that (and he doesn't see incompetence and arrogance as weaknesses he has anyway). This is a pure power grab situation, and the chance of getting a ruling that in any way allows them to disappear people to El Salvador and be able to claim they can't get them back is hugely beneficial to what he and his Project 2025 goons want to be able to do.I don't see any upside in this for Trump. Yes, it tangentially concerns immigration, which is theoretically his strong suit, but it also highlights two of Trump's weaknesses: incompetence and arrogance.
Keeping this issue in the news won't help his cratering approval numbers.
But the Supreme Court said that they couldn't disappear people.I hope you're right and they just bring him back (which obviously El Salvador would do if they asked). But Trump doesn't think about news cycle stuff rationally like that (and he doesn't see incompetence and arrogance as weaknesses he has anyway). This is a pure power grab situation, and the chance of getting a ruling that in any way allows them to disappear people to El Salvador and be able to claim they can't get them back is hugely beneficial to what he and his Project 2025 goons want to be able to do.