Iran Catch-All | IRAN WAR / 2nd US F-15 airman rescued

[Focker]

 

[nycfan]

On Hegseth:

 

[nycfan]

 

[nycfan]

 

[nycfan]

 

[nycfan]

Sooo Midnight Hammer strengthened them then?

 

[pspsps]

This is a hell of a read.

 

[StoneColdHeel]

I thought they were obliterated already a few months ago, too.

 

[nycfan]

 

[4thgenheel]

This is a hell of a read.

some points were made.

all of the main parties (iran, israel, us) in this episode are not to be trusted.

 

[Ddseddse]

Out of curiosity, how do we know the exfiltration was real? Would anyone put it past this administration to parade someone out in front of cameras claiming to be the missing soldier? I'm not saying that's what happened, but I don't trust anything coming from this administration and I like to see independent verification.

It's an unfortunate fact that conspiracies do occasionally exist in reality.

It is a very fortunate fact that, of the historical conspiracies that we've studied, the number of participants "in on the conspiracy" has typically been less than six, and rarely if ever number greater than a dozen. The real world fact is that conspiracies with greater numbers of participants almost universally collapse under their own weight with that many participants.

So the key litmus test we should all apply when asking ourselves these sort of questions is "how many people would need to be in on it for this to be true". My guess is that for a large SAR operation it would number in the thousands, so if there was some hanky panky going on here I would expect that we'd all hear about it sooner rather than later.

 

[BlueSteel]

Um, can we, like, eject this game or something and plug in a different one. This game sucks.

 

[nycfan]

 

[nycfan]

Um, can we, like, eject this game or something and plug in a different one. This game sucks.

I’ve never liked games where you play the villain.

 

[nycfan]

 

[superrific]

I’ve never liked games where you play the villain.

Guess you didn't like Plague, Inc.

 

[1moretimeagain]

Is that Intel or projection?

I believe that one. If I was the Iranian forces, I’d feel embarrassed.

 

[superrific]

It's an unfortunate fact that conspiracies do occasionally exist in reality.

It is a very fortunate fact that, of the historical conspiracies that we've studied, the number of participants "in on the conspiracy" has typically been less than six, and rarely if ever number greater than a dozen. The real world fact is that conspiracies with greater numbers of participants almost universally collapse under their own weight with that many participants.

So the key litmus test we should all apply when asking ourselves these sort of questions is "how many people would need to be in on it for this to be true". My guess is that for a large SAR operation it would number in the thousands, so if there was some hanky panky going on here I would expect that we'd all hear about it sooner rather than later.

Oh, I'm sure the operation happened. But how many people would know if the person was actually rescued?

I don't know, it was an idle observation that we should never, ever, ever take anything this administration says at face value. At the very least, we know they would do it if they could

 

[pspsps]

Luckily for Iran all they have to do is send Trump a feeler text this evening and they will get two more weeks. “Heyyyy Donny you up?”

 

[BlueSteel]

Wait, what? The only answer to this question should be an emphatic "YES, we stand by the rules... civilian targets, schools, hospitals are always off the table."