Iran Catch-All | IRAN WAR

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It won't stop the leaks. In his first term his administration leaked info to the media like a sieve. In Trump 2.0 it's been even worse, because more of the people around him (like Hegseth) are incompetent bunglers - Hegseth actually announced military secrets to friends and family on social group chats.

The Senate Intelligence Committee will continue to receive briefings as dictated by the National Securities Act in 1947.

I realize Trump has this thing about Rule of Law.

Per ChatPGT:

The Senate Intelligence Committee—formally the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence (SSCI)—receives classified briefings through a structured and secure process designed to protect national security information while enabling oversight of U.S. intelligence activities.

1.

Classified briefings provided to the SSCI typically come from:

  • Intelligence Community (IC) Agencies:
    • CIA, NSA, DIA, FBI, NRO, NGIA, and ODNI (Office of the Director of National Intelligence)
    • These agencies are required to keep the SSCI “fully and currently informed” of intelligence activities, including covert actions, per the National Security Act of 1947.
  • The White House / National Security Council (NSC):
    • Particularly in cases involving presidential findings for covert actions or emergency decisions.
  • Department of Defense and State Department:
    • When intelligence operations overlap with military or diplomatic activity.
  • Inspector Generals (IGs):
    • IGs from within the intelligence agencies may brief the committee on whistleblower complaints or internal reviews.
  • Special Counsel or DOJ:
    • In cases of intelligence-related legal investigations (e.g., FISA abuses, election interference).

2.

  • Secure Facilities (SCIFs): Briefings take place in Sensitive Compartmented Information Facilities, like the SCIF in the U.S. Capitol or Senate Office Buildings. These rooms are hardened against eavesdropping and unauthorized access.
  • Written Reports: Agencies often submit classified documents, cables, or memoranda for committee review.
  • Oral Testimony: Senior intelligence officials or cabinet-level figures appear in person to deliver updates or testify under oath.
  • Code Word-Level Access: Senators on the SSCI have clearance up to Top Secret/Sensitive Compartmented Information (TS/SCI) and sometimes access to SAPs (Special Access Programs) or compartmentalized briefings.

3.

  • Oversight Mandate: The SSCI was created in 1976 to oversee and make continuing studies of the intelligence activities and programs of the United States Government.
  • Reporting Requirements: Intelligence agencies must report:
    • Significant anticipated intelligence activities
    • Ongoing covert actions (under the “Gang of Eight” rule when full committee notification is not feasible)
    • Failures or abuses (e.g., surveillance errors, mishandling of intelligence)
 
This is so freaking annoying.

1. The truth is it will be a while before we know for sure what impact the bombing had on Iran's nuclear timeline.
2. Trump and Hegseth are the ONLY ones who have been making definitive statements about the impact, which are definitionally premature.
3. CNN and the NYT were only reporting on an initial assessment from Trump's own intelligence team.
4. Trump's defensiveness about this and his desire to confirm what he wants to be true is causing us to release a vast amount of extremely sensitive information that never should be disclosed to the public.

In short, I continue to hope Iran's military-based nuclear program was set back for years. I'm concerned about the initial assessments that it was not. But regardless of that, Trump and Hegseth continue to violate their duties to the American people and compromise our security unnecessarily on a daily basis, all for the sake of vanity.
 


US, European intel clashes over damage to Iran’s nuclear program


“… A leaked Defense Intelligence Agency report had suggested the US strikes set back Tehran’s ambitions by only a few months, but the CIA on Wednesday said more up-to-date intelligence indicated key facilities were destroyed and would take years to rebuild.

Meanwhile, a preliminary intelligence assessment provided to European governments suggested that Iran’s enriched uranium stockpile was not concentrated in Fordo, and had been distributed to other locations ahead of the US strikes, the Financial Times reported.…”

——
During the Biden Administration, US Intel proved repeatedly that it was FAR superior to a lot of European intel with respect to Russia/Ukraine and to a lesser extent regarding the Middle East. Who knows now …
 


US, European intel clashes over damage to Iran’s nuclear program


“… A leaked Defense Intelligence Agency report had suggested the US strikes set back Tehran’s ambitions by only a few months, but the CIA on Wednesday said more up-to-date intelligence indicated key facilities were destroyed and would take years to rebuild.

Meanwhile, a preliminary intelligence assessment provided to European governments suggested that Iran’s enriched uranium stockpile was not concentrated in Fordo, and had been distributed to other locations ahead of the US strikes, the Financial Times reported.…”

——
During the Biden Administration, US Intel proved repeatedly that it was FAR superior to a lot of European intel with respect to Russia/Ukraine and to a lesser extent regarding the Middle East. Who knows now …

Assuming that CIA analysis is as fishy as it seems, this is problematic to say the least. The people in the intelligence committees need to know the truth so that they can make good decisions. Hiding the true results out of pride is a dangerous game.

Even if Iran wasn't on the fast track to get nukes before this, they certainly are now.
 
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