Miami Biorhythms -- Noon Start

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donbosco

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North Carolina (18-11, 11-6 ACC) vs. Miami (6-22, 2-15 ACC)
Saturday, March 1 — Noon
Chapel Hill, N.C. — Smith Center
TV: ESPN (Dave O'Brien, Jon Crispin)
Radio: Tar Heels Sports Network (Jones Angell, Tyler Hansbrough)

UNC Tar Heels:
Cadeau #3 P = 90, E -= 100, I = 0, X = 50
Davis #4 P = 40, E = 0, I = 40, X = 40
Jackson #11 P = 100, E = 70, I = 0, X = 50
Washington #13 P = 10, E = 100, I = 0, X = 5
Powell #9 P = 100, E = 70, I = 25, X = 60
Trimble #7 P = 55, E = 95, I = 40, X = 45
Withers #24 P = 100, E = 20, I = 0, X = 50
Lubin #22 P = 90, E = 100, I = 25, X = 55
Claude #0 P = 0, E = 30, I = 100, X = 50
Brown #2 P = 100, E = 20, I = 55, X = 75
Tyson #5 P = 100, E = 100, I = 25, X = 60

Coach Davis Wisdom = 40

Miami Hurricanes
1 Lynn Kidd P = 55, E = 5/, I = 0, X = 25
2 Brandon Johnson P = 100, E = 10, I = 30, X = 65
3 Jalil Bethea P = 5, E = 80, I = 60, X = 30
11 A.J. Staton-McCray N/A
99 Divine Ugochukwu P = 95, E = 50, I = 85, X = 90
23 AUSTIN SWARTZ P = 30, E = 100, I = 0
10 PAUL DJOBET P = 0, E = 0, I = 90, X = 45
15 KIREE HUIE 6-9, 1.5, 1 Sr

Coach Bill Courtney Wisdom = 50

Look-In: This hurricane has been little more than a soft breeze so far this season. There is little reason to imagine anything different today in Chapel Hill. Miami’s best have checked out it seems – Nigel Pack hasn’t played since early in the season and Matt Cleveland has missed the last two games, leaving Lynn Kidd as their leading scorer (11.5 ppg) and rebounder (7.5 rpg). He’s not versatile and all of his points come from close-in. Brandon Johnson at 6-8 plays a forward slot and garners 7.7 ppg and rebounds for 6.5. The guards are Jalil Bethea (Fr, 6-5, 7 ppg), A.J. Staton-McCray (6-4, 7.5 ppg), and All-Namer Divine Ugochukwu (Fr, 6-2, 5.5 ppg). Concord’s Austin Swartz comes off the bench to score 5.3 per game. This team beat Notre Dame and Syracuse this year along with Fairleigh Dickinson, Coppin State, and Binghampton along with someone else. The only thing these guys do well is shoot free throws.

Frontcourt: Lubin is strong and fired up and Washington is only fired. James Brown has some solid looks. Hope that he gets some minutes. Claude is a smart guy.

Wings: Jackson is athletic and maybe more important, he’s got a good deal of ‘want to.’ Powell matches Jackson. Withers is there with them save the enthusiasm.

Guards: Cadeau is physical and fired. R.J. Davis appears subdued. Seth Trimble has good all-arounds.

Overall: Carolina is below the fold intellectually today. Smart is not on the chart. There is a good deal of athleticism on the other hand of the soaring kind and the Positivity quotient is also high. The low Intel Arc puts some extra burden on the coaches to make the right calls with line-ups today. There may be thoughtless fouls and random passes and subbing to curtail both will be important. The prognostication looks pretty sloppy in truth. That said, the positive energy of the main nine (save Davis and Withers) is high so the first ten minutes just may be a whirlwind. Team effort appears in the cards, no one too far above or below the others. Very athletic but not that clever. Las Vegas calls it Carolina by 18.5. The Biorhythms go with UNC by 20.
 
Remember when Trump wanted to try to blow up a hurricane with a nuclear weapon?

We should do the real world, successful version of that today.
 
I don’t understand why we moved *down* in the Bracketology projections. We were the Next Team Out and Wake Forest was the Last Team In earlier this week, and then Wake suffered a Q3 home loss to Virginia and UNC won at Q2 Florida State. Now we are behind Georgia in the “First Four Out” category?
 
I don’t understand why we moved *down* in the Bracketology projections. We were the Next Team Out and Wake Forest was the Last Team In earlier this week, and then Wake suffered a Q3 home loss to Virginia and UNC won at Q2 Florida State. Now we are behind Georgia in the “First Four Out” category?
Because Georgia beat Florida
 
That was a pretty good half of basketball. I hope we can do it again in the second, we really need to blow them out for advanced metrics purposes.
So much of the current winning streak has been based on statistically aberrant 3 point shooting and rebounding. And that pattern is continuing today.
 
I don’t understand why we moved *down* in the Bracketology projections. We were the Next Team Out and Wake Forest was the Last Team In earlier this week, and then Wake suffered a Q3 home loss to Virginia and UNC won at Q2 Florida State. Now we are behind Georgia in the “First Four Out” category?
You're talking about Lunardi, right?

Lunardi isn't interested in consistency or accuracy at this point in the cycle. Right now his main concern is driving clicks and moving Indiana into the field & leaving Carolina out engages 2 large fan bases to interact with this work. (Georgia beat #3 Florida between the projections you're citing, for a bubble team that's a big deal and a reason to move up.) Moving Indiana up a number of spots for defeating Penn State (15-14, 5-13) was the silly move that has no real rationale.

Lunardi does this every year at this time, moving teams around aimlessly to drive engagement and then he'll true up with predictions with the last 1-2 brackets on/before Selection Sunday so that his last bracket is as accurate as possible.
 
So much of the current winning streak has been based on statistically aberrant 3 point shooting and rebounding. And that pattern is continuing today.
I'm not sure the rebounding is statistically atypical. We've moved to a large lineup and we're obviously pushing rebounding as a main focus. Against the teams we've been playing, it's not surprising that using a bid lineup and focusing on rebounds would lead to much higher rebound numbers.

The 3-point shooting is a bit out of line for this team, but it's possible that we're simply progressing toward the mean of where we can be. But you're right that this shooting likely won't last forever and we're gonna have to be prepared if/when it ends.
 
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