NCAAT thread (It's ON!)

Peppers49 said:
The best part of this play is that Dicky V is so lost in his rambling tangent that the other two announcers either don’t realize what happened or can’t figure out how to interject to make a comment about it lol.
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This has been the Dickie V experience for about the last 30 years
 
Duke has slightly better odds than Michigan/Arizona. No meaningful difference

It does seem like those factor in Ngongba returning

Small Boozer looking good against Clemson/Virginia alleviates a lot of the Foster concern
 
dukeman92 said:
Duke needs Ngongba. Foster hasn't played two games like the two Cayden just played in his career. They will definitely miss his leadership and defense, and I understand your point, but Duke is razor thin up front without Pat. And they do not have anyone else who brings what he brings to the court.



Which is absolutely insane.
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Oh they need Ngbonga to make a run, no doubt. But they should be fine with Brown at the 5 for the first weekend. Makes them razor thin at two spots. Cam can at least slide down and play the 5 in a pinch. Not a lot of alternatives for Cayden...and no help on the horizon.

I was always perplexed they didn't snag a vet guard in the portal who could actually play for depth.
 
By the way, I saw an ad saying that Kalshi was having a billion-dollar bracket busting competition. Anyone who submits a perfect bracket gets $1B.

This shit should be illegal. Yes, I know the odds are way longer than a billion to one. It is very unlikely to happen. But still:

1. There is no way Kalshi has a billion dollars, and I very much doubt they are insuring this bet. So they are promising a payout they can't possibly deliver.

2. The incentives here are scary. Suppose there is a perfect bracket up to the Final Four. Three games for a billion dollars. The incentive for corruption is off the charts. Refs will get bribed or threatened. Players could get Kerriganed. I mean, it's rare that anyone ever has a billion dollars riding on the outcome of a single game or even three.
 
CRHeel94 said:
Oh they need Ngbonga to make a run, no doubt. But they should be fine with Brown at the 5 for the first weekend. Makes them razor thin at two spots. Cam can at least slide down and play the 5 in a pinch. Not a lot of alternatives for Cayden...and no help on the horizon.

I was always perplexed they didn't snag a vet guard in the portal who could actually play for depth.
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You and me both.


BTW Will Wade was an absolute fuckwad to his team last night. "We need better players"

Asshole. Maybe they need a human as a coach
 
aGDevil2k said:
You and me both.


BTW Will Wade was an absolute fuckwad to his team last night. "We need better players"

Asshole. Maybe they need a human as a coach
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It’s like Coach Smith said (and I’m paraphrasing) “If you win it’s on the players. If you lose it’s on the coach.”
 
superrific said:
By the way, I saw an ad saying that Kalshi was having a billion-dollar bracket busting competition. Anyone who submits a perfect bracket gets $1B.

This shit should be illegal. Yes, I know the odds are way longer than a billion to one. It is very unlikely to happen. But still:

1. There is no way Kalshi has a billion dollars, and I very much doubt they are insuring this bet. So they are promising a payout they can't possibly deliver.

2. The incentives here are scary. Suppose there is a perfect bracket up to the Final Four. Three games for a billion dollars. The incentive for corruption is off the charts. Refs will get bribed or threatened. Players could get Kerriganed. I mean, it's rare that anyone ever has a billion dollars riding on the outcome of a single game or even three.
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At least we won't have to worry about any of our guys getting Kerriganed.
 
superrific said:
By the way, I saw an ad saying that Kalshi was having a billion-dollar bracket busting competition. Anyone who submits a perfect bracket gets $1B.

This shit should be illegal. Yes, I know the odds are way longer than a billion to one. It is very unlikely to happen. But still:

1. There is no way Kalshi has a billion dollars, and I very much doubt they are insuring this bet. So they are promising a payout they can't possibly deliver.

2. The incentives here are scary. Suppose there is a perfect bracket up to the Final Four. Three games for a billion dollars. The incentive for corruption is off the charts. Refs will get bribed or threatened. Players could get Kerriganed. I mean, it's rare that anyone ever has a billion dollars riding on the outcome of a single game or even three.
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1. Kalshi has a market cap of $11 billion, so they probably could get financing for a $1 bil liability.

2. The odds of a perfect bracket (random picks only) is 1 in 9.2 quintillion and (using strategy) is 1 in 120 billion.

3. The odds of a perfect bracket up to the Final Four (using strategy) would be 1 in 15 billion.

I think there are much, much greater risks to life and limb than the perfect bracket. You can start with bets on when we bomb Iran.
 
superrific said:
By the way, I saw an ad saying that Kalshi was having a billion-dollar bracket busting competition. Anyone who submits a perfect bracket gets $1B.

This shit should be illegal. Yes, I know the odds are way longer than a billion to one. It is very unlikely to happen. But still:

1. There is no way Kalshi has a billion dollars, and I very much doubt they are insuring this bet. So they are promising a payout they can't possibly deliver.

2. The incentives here are scary. Suppose there is a perfect bracket up to the Final Four. Three games for a billion dollars. The incentive for corruption is off the charts. Refs will get bribed or threatened. Players could get Kerriganed. I mean, it's rare that anyone ever has a billion dollars riding on the outcome of a single game or even three.
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On the NCAA website, they say the odds of a perfect bracket if each game is a coin flip, is 1 in 9.2 quintillion (9.2 billion billions). If someone is knowledgeable about college basketball, they estimate the odds at 1 in 120 billion.

www.ncaa.com

The absurd odds of a perfect NCAA bracket

The odds of filling out a perfect NCAA bracket are about 1 in 9,223,372,036,854,775,808. That’s 9.2 quintillion and 23 percent less than the chance of picking one of the 7.5 quintillion grains of sand on the planet we picked at random.
www.ncaa.com www.ncaa.com
 
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