NFL 2025-26 Season

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Given that Stafford/Maye had played a combined 31 games prior to tonight, it’s amazing 1 game can shift the odds so dramatically.
It was really 2 games. Maye's 5-0 game and Stafford's 2-3 game. The main edge Stafford had on Maye was TD/INT ratio. This weekend really changed that rubric. Stafford is now 42/8 and Maye is 30/8. Stafford is also just a couple hundred yards ahead in passing (which is more than offset by Maye's rushing).

The only argument for Stafford at this point is that he's played a tougher schedule. Almost everything else favors Maye.
 
Maye has also taken the lead in passer rating - 112.9 to 108.8 for Stafford. Maye also leads the league in completion percentage (71.7% - which is currently sixth-best all-time for a single season) and yards per attempt (8.9).
 
It was really 2 games. Maye's 5-0 game and Stafford's 2-3 game. The main edge Stafford had on Maye was TD/INT ratio. This weekend really changed that rubric. Stafford is now 42/8 and Maye is 30/8. Stafford is also just a couple hundred yards ahead in passing (which is more than offset by Maye's rushing).

The only argument for Stafford at this point is that he's played a tougher schedule. Almost everything else favors Maye.
Maye’s most recent game was already factored into the odds at the time Stafford was -250
 
That game also had huge consequences for the panthers. Even if they lose to Tampa on Saturday they can now win the division if the falcons beat the saints next week.
 
It was really 2 games. Maye's 5-0 game and Stafford's 2-3 game. The main edge Stafford had on Maye was TD/INT ratio. This weekend really changed that rubric. Stafford is now 42/8 and Maye is 30/8. Stafford is also just a couple hundred yards ahead in passing (which is more than offset by Maye's rushing).

The only argument for Stafford at this point is that he's played a tougher schedule. Almost everything else favors Maye.
Maye also didn't play a full 3 quarters his last game because he was dominating the Jets.
 
Maye also didn't play a full 3 quarters his last game because he was dominating the Jets.
But this is the problem with Maye's candidacy: the Patriots have had the easiest schedule in the league by a fair margin. He did dominate the Jets. The Jets.

New England's strength of schedule is a pathetic .383. The Rams are .555. I don't believe Stafford should get it either (though i don't follow enough to know who might be other realistic candidates), but .555 and .383 is a big difference. Also Strength of Victory -- New England is at .365, meaning they have basically only beaten bad teams.

But Stafford did choke in an important game, which should exclude him. This is a problem with MVP voting. Stafford has been in the league a long time. He hasn't become a new player. He just had a hot streak without throwing interceptions -- but that's not who he is. He's an average interception QB, as we're seeing.
 
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