Russia - Ukraine “peace negotiations” | Limited Infrastructure Ceasefire fails(?)

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Back to the some analysts see Ukraine's Kursk operation as an unnecessary gamble.

(1) It diverted Russian resources away from the Eastern front and that front has broadly stabilized. Plus, Ukraine is actually making some minor but strategic gains there.
(2) Russia now has to protect its soft underbelly which is going to tie up even more resources over the course of this war.
(3) And, going forward, its hard to see how Russia can make a military breakthrough being that it is so stretched out.
 
nycfan said:




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Trump’s Plan to Discuss Ukraine’s Power Plants With Putin Prompts Questions​

The call, scheduled for Tuesday, will be the first known conversation between the two leaders since Mr. Putin laid out numerous conditions for a cease-fire with Ukraine.

www.nytimes.com

Trump’s Plan to Discuss Ukraine’s Power Plants With Putin Prompts Questions

The call, scheduled for Tuesday, will be the first known conversation between the two leaders since Mr. Putin laid out numerous conditions for a cease-fire with Ukraine.
www.nytimes.com www.nytimes.com

“…
Mr. Putin has not yet agreed to the 30-day cease-fire that U.S. officials proposed after talks with Ukrainian officials in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia. He has said the idea was “the right one and we definitely support it” — but laid out numerous conditions that could delay or derail any truce.

“There are questions that we need to discuss, and I think that we need to talk them through with our American colleagues and partners,” he told a news conference on Thursday.

… With its advance in Kursk, Russia can show Mr. Trump that it holds the momentum on the battlefield. Battlefield maps compiled by both Russian and Western groups analyzing combat footage and satellite images show that Russian forces have already crossed into Ukraine’s Sumy region from Kursk, in what analysts say may be an effort to flank and encircle the remaining Ukrainian troops in Kursk or open a new front in the war.

Mr. Zelensky has accused Russia to preparing to mount a larger offensive into the Sumy region, which is home to hundreds of thousands of people. Those actions, he said, indicated that Mr. Putin was not interested in peace.

Since the American proposal for a cease-fire, Mr. Zelensky said on Sunday night, “Russia stole almost another week — a week of war that only Russia wants.” …”
 
nycfan said:

Trump’s Plan to Discuss Ukraine’s Power Plants With Putin Prompts Questions​

The call, scheduled for Tuesday, will be the first known conversation between the two leaders since Mr. Putin laid out numerous conditions for a cease-fire with Ukraine.

www.nytimes.com

Trump’s Plan to Discuss Ukraine’s Power Plants With Putin Prompts Questions

The call, scheduled for Tuesday, will be the first known conversation between the two leaders since Mr. Putin laid out numerous conditions for a cease-fire with Ukraine.
www.nytimes.com www.nytimes.com

“…
Mr. Putin has not yet agreed to the 30-day cease-fire that U.S. officials proposed after talks with Ukrainian officials in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia. He has said the idea was “the right one and we definitely support it” — but laid out numerous conditions that could delay or derail any truce.

“There are questions that we need to discuss, and I think that we need to talk them through with our American colleagues and partners,” he told a news conference on Thursday.

… With its advance in Kursk, Russia can show Mr. Trump that it holds the momentum on the battlefield. Battlefield maps compiled by both Russian and Western groups analyzing combat footage and satellite images show that Russian forces have already crossed into Ukraine’s Sumy region from Kursk, in what analysts say may be an effort to flank and encircle the remaining Ukrainian troops in Kursk or open a new front in the war.

Mr. Zelensky has accused Russia to preparing to mount a larger offensive into the Sumy region, which is home to hundreds of thousands of people. Those actions, he said, indicated that Mr. Putin was not interested in peace.

Since the American proposal for a cease-fire, Mr. Zelensky said on Sunday night, “Russia stole almost another week — a week of war that only Russia wants.” …”
Click to expand...
“… The reference to “power plants” by Mr. Trump was the latest indication that they might factor into any such diplomacy around a cease-fire. While the president did not elaborate, his comments came on the same day Mr. Witkoff mentioned a “nuclear reactor” in an interview with CBS News.

That appeared be a reference to the Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant in southern Ukraine, which Russia seized early in the war and still controls.

The six-reactor plant, Europe’s largest, has not supplied power to Ukraine’s grid since its capture. Its proximity to frontline fighting has long raised concerns about the risk of a radiological disaster.

…
At the same time, energy experts say, the nuclear plant is in poor condition after three years of war and restoring full operations would require a lot of time and investment from Russia. That could mean Russia might see an incentive to try to trade it for something else, such as the easing of Western sanctions on the Russian economy, experts say.

Victoria Voytsitska, a former lawmaker and senior member of the Ukrainian Parliament’s energy committee, noted that Moscow had long sought to resume oil and gas exports to Western countries. Those exports, a crucial source of revenue for Russia’s government, largely stopped after the war began, as European countries moved to wean themselves off Russian energy supplies and imposed sanctions on Russian energy companies.”

——
Putin almost seems to be enticing Trump with some shared American-Russian deal for the nuclear plant that Russian already controls ( that would likely involve the USA shouldering restoring it) and calling that a Russian concession to get other advantages in the peace deal.
 
Tomorrow will be hard to take. But Putin knows whatever counteroffer he makes, that Ukraine won't accept. And he's fine with that.

But he needs money bad. So you can bet they will discuss some kind of deal for a money transfer. The creativity between Putin and Trump will be astounding.
 

U.S. to Withdraw From Group Investigating Responsibility for Ukraine Invasion​

The decision is the latest indication of the Trump administration’s move away from holding President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia accountable for crimes committed against Ukrainians.

“The Justice Department has informed European officials that the United States is withdrawing from a multinational group created to investigate leaders responsible for the invasion of Ukraine, including President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia, according to a letter sent to members of the organization on Monday.

The decision to withdraw from the International Center for the Prosecution of the Crime of Aggression against Ukraine, which the Biden administration joined in 2023, is the latest indication of the Trump administration’s move away from President Joseph R. Biden Jr.’s commitment to holding Mr. Putin personally accountable for crimes committed against Ukrainians.

The group was created to hold the leadership of Russia, along with its allies in Belarus, North Korea and Iran, accountable for a category of crimes — defined as aggression under international law and treaties that violates another country’s sovereignty and is not initiated in self-defense.…”

www.nytimes.com

U.S. to Withdraw From Group Investigating Responsibility for Ukraine Invasion

The decision is the latest indication of the Trump administration’s move away from holding President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia accountable for crimes committed against Ukrainians.
www.nytimes.com www.nytimes.com
 
nycfan said:

U.S. to Withdraw From Group Investigating Responsibility for Ukraine Invasion​

The decision is the latest indication of the Trump administration’s move away from holding President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia accountable for crimes committed against Ukrainians.

“The Justice Department has informed European officials that the United States is withdrawing from a multinational group created to investigate leaders responsible for the invasion of Ukraine, including President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia, according to a letter sent to members of the organization on Monday.

The decision to withdraw from the International Center for the Prosecution of the Crime of Aggression against Ukraine, which the Biden administration joined in 2023, is the latest indication of the Trump administration’s move away from President Joseph R. Biden Jr.’s commitment to holding Mr. Putin personally accountable for crimes committed against Ukrainians.

The group was created to hold the leadership of Russia, along with its allies in Belarus, North Korea and Iran, accountable for a category of crimes — defined as aggression under international law and treaties that violates another country’s sovereignty and is not initiated in self-defense.…”

www.nytimes.com

U.S. to Withdraw From Group Investigating Responsibility for Ukraine Invasion

The decision is the latest indication of the Trump administration’s move away from holding President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia accountable for crimes committed against Ukrainians.
www.nytimes.com www.nytimes.com
Click to expand...
While this decision is predictably pathetic, do we really need to study who’s at fault for Russia’s invasion of Ukraine? I mean, the question begs the answer.
 


I anticipate that the read-out of Trump’s now completed call with Putin might suggest otherwise, but we’ll see.
 
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