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IF (big if ) we can take back the House and the Senate, I think we can survive until the end of his term.We have 2.75 more years of this shit
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IF (big if ) we can take back the House and the Senate, I think we can survive until the end of his term.We have 2.75 more years of this shit
Frankly I was taken a bit aback by him saying something about 'those who engage in war, Jesus doesn't hear their prayers' or something. There's something called the 'just war' doctrine.'
He does what he wants without Congressâ approval. He doesnât even need senate confirmation because he does an end run around that. What limits do you think a hostile Congress would put on him? Itâs not like there would be a veto proof majority in both houses.IF (big if ) we can take back the House and the Senate, I think we can survive until the end of his term.
Frankly I was taken a bit aback by him saying something about 'those who engage in war, Jesus doesn't hear their prayers' or something. There's something called the 'just war' doctrine.'
I would hope the Senate majority would block all judge nominations and confirmations including SCOTUS nominations. Are you suggesting that he could do an end around on that ?He does what he wants without Congressâ approval. He doesnât even need senate confirmation because he does an end run around that. What limits do you think a hostile Congress would put on him? Itâs not like there would be a veto proof majority in both houses.
On point 1, if the Democrats somehow get 51 senators, then that could spell an end to most Trump judges, especially Sup Ct justices, but not sure how that makes 2.75 years of Trump go by any faster. Trump does Trump stuff regardless of the courts, and he will have a safe majority on the Supreme Court for the remainder of his term (absent some kind of assassination plot). This is more of an issue for after Trump leaves and his lasting legacy. Doesn't really impact what Trump does for next 2.75 years.I would hope the Senate majority would block all judge nominations and confirmations including SCOTUS nominations. Are you suggesting that he could do an end around on that ?
I would hope the House speaker would not allow bullshit crazy harmful bills from even coming to the floor for a vote. Are you suggesting Trump could do an end around that ?
Hope so. Also, on Biden's worst day, he never put the USA in as much danger as Trump does on a weekly basis.If Trump keeps deteriorating at this pace, there might be enough Dem Senators plus scared Republicans to convict him in the Senate. By August he will be drooling.
Please note I said survive the rest of Trump's term. Ending another two years of Trump's incompetent judicial nominees and preventing Trump from replacing Alito and Thomas with 40yos who would be at least as horrible would be a good thing, no ?On point 1, if the Democrats somehow get 51 senators, then that could spell an end to most Trump judges, especially Sup Ct justices, but not sure how that makes 2.75 years of Trump go by any faster. Trump does Trump stuff regardless of the courts, and he will have a safe majority on the Supreme Court for the remainder of his term (absent some kind of assassination plot). This is more of an issue for after Trump leaves and his lasting legacy. Doesn't really impact what Trump does for next 2.75 years.
On point 2, bills are largely all messaging bills at this point. Nothing gets through Congress other than CRs to keep the government funded for a few months. That is unlikely to change even with Democratic control of the senate due to filibuster (and Democrats will keep the filibuster until they also have control of the Whitehouse).
If Alito and Thomas retire this year, democratic control in January 2027 wonât help.Please note I said survive the rest of Trump's term. Ending another two years of Trump's incompetent judicial nominees and preventing Trump from replacing Alito and Thomas with 40yos who would be at least as horrible would be a good thing, no ?
On point 2 again noting I said survive the rest of Trump's term, I would not expect the Senate or the House to do more than be a bulwark to protect the country from further damage and hope in 2028 we will once again elect a Dem president who will clean up a GQPer president's mess like Obama and Biden did.
1. I have my doubts that both Alito and Thomas will retire this year. I think it is likely one does.If Alito and Thomas retire this year, democratic control in January 2027 wonât help.
And on point 2, Iâm trying to make clear that Congress isnât a bulwark. Under Trump, Congress is basically irrelevant. It doesnât stop him in any meaningful way.
1. I think it is more likely that both Alito and Thomas retire than Dems gain 4 seats. That would mean we flipped Ohio, Alaska, Maine and NC. Thatâs possible but so is both of those guys retiring.1. I have my doubts that both Alito and Thomas will retire this year. I think it is likely one does.
2. Under Trump, the GOP Congress is basically irrelevant. With a majority the Dems could exert control like defunding all his shit. Granted it would not rein him in completely or even mostly, but it remains to be seen whether the Dem Congress will be irrelevant.
Ok you are making clear that it is your opinion that the House and the Senate would not serve as a bulwark over the next 2 years. I respectfully disagree. My opinion is it will matter. Otherwise, what is the point in voters turning out to vote in order to change Congress in the midterms ?If Alito and Thomas retire this year, democratic control in January 2027 wonât help.
And on point 2, Iâm trying to make clear that Congress isnât a bulwark. Under Trump, Congress is basically irrelevant. It doesnât stop him in any meaningful way.
I don't think two Supreme Court justices have ever retired at the same time. Plus if they both retire then the court will be down to 7 members for a while. That would imperil their ironclad 6-3 majority. Now they'd be an ACB or Roberts flip away from losing a case.1. I think it is more likely that both Alito and Thomas retire than Dems gain 4 seats. That would mean we flipped Ohio, Alaska, Maine and NC. Thatâs possible but so is both of those guys retiring.
2. Dems arenât going to be able to defund because Rs wonât vote for that in the senate. We will just have a bunch of shutdowns and CRs and Trump will steal money and spend it on what he wants anyway - just like he always does.
On the point of voting this November, there isnât much point - at least if the goal is to make Trump less bothersome over his last 2.75 years. Iâm still rooting for a blue wave. Among other things, incumbency is usually an advantage in reelection, which helps in 28, and senators are six year terms, so these elections will outlast Trump. And it will help blunt Trump from doing anything that requires legislation to reverse. But at the end of the day, Trump has decided he doesnât need Congress and the Supreme Court has largely let him get away with it.Ok you are making clear that it is your opinion that the House and the Senate would not serve as a bulwark over the next 2 years. I respectfully disagree. My opinion is it will matter. Otherwise, what is the point in voters turning out to vote in order to change Congress in the midterms ?
With regard to Thomas and Alito retiring this year, the clock is ticking. Let's say they retire before the November election. Would the GQPer Senate want to vote on new replacements given the mood of the country going into November ? Maybe or maybe not . Would the GQPers in the Senate be enthusiastic in pushing through confirmations in the last 60 days of their majority ? Maybe or maybe not.
At any rate I like that we can exchange differences of opinion on this board![]()
The positions would be filled before next term.I don't think two Supreme Court justices have ever retired at the same time. Plus if they both retire then the court will be down to 7 members for a while. That would imperil their ironclad 6-3 majority. Now they'd be an ACB or Roberts flip away from losing a case.
I think you were the one pointing out that the Dems are currently betting favorites (slightly) to win the Senate this year. NC is already won, basically. Maine maybe not quite yet but there's a reason it flipped to Lean Dem. The challenge is to find two others, but there are candidates: Ohio, Texas, Iowa, Alaska.
You know well the effect of correlations and national environment. It's only going to get worse from here for the GOP.
Not necessarily the start of the next term, and not over the summer when they go gonzo with the shadow docketThe positions would be filled before next term.