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Woof. No kidding. The glass-hall-full optimist in me likes to think it's the former but.....Great buying opportunity or falling knife? You be the judge
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Woof. No kidding. The glass-hall-full optimist in me likes to think it's the former but.....Great buying opportunity or falling knife? You be the judge
Nazis did have a larger base of support at their peak than Trump has or will ever have.Trump got elected to avoid prison. He has no plan and neither does his administration. It’s a collection of misfits.
Unfortunately things need to be completely broken before we can truly rebuild. The mystique of “GOP good, Democrats bad” has been engrained in the conservative psyche for so long that unmitigated disaster might be the only way to mentally decouple people from this ideology.
Germany was entranced by Nazi’s until their country was in ruin. It might take that level of destruction with the modern American conservative.
I don’t think so. In my opinion this is going much further down unless Trump has a mea culpa moment. And that is assuming he isn’t doing this on purpose.Is it too late to bail out?
Do i hold now and hope for a rebound?
For me money market type options in 401k and international stocks and keeping an eye on international contagion.Those that are selling/moving money out of stocks, are you talking about index funds (large cap, small cap, etc.)?
Bullsh*tness is in the air.With the positive-ish headlines re: Canada, Ukraine, I thought the market reversal would close on the highs and end the sell off, at least short term. Not so much, though.
Peter Navarro led his 4 pm CNBC interview with “Bullishness is in the air.”
Yes, Pete, that’s just how a 500 point Dow drop feels at this point,
Thank you for the explanation!Moving long term around is typically a bad idea. It may very well be a bad idea right now, but the prior principle also always assumed a good faith American government, and American international hegemony (at least post ww2). This is not a good faith American government and they are actively retreating from hegemony via economic arson, so IMO things have severely changed.
Mind you, I’m in a financial position where maintaining returns above inflation is perfectly fine by me, so take my conservative bias with a grain of salt. I was fortunate to have a good amount of discretionary income during the 08-09 market collapse, and was an aggressive buyer of tech and a couple of energy stocks that did very well. I was buying and buying when others were retreating, so, I’ve been on the other end, and the ‘08 me would rib today me for being a chicken little.
I’d be surprised to see the market cut in half, like ‘09, but I think the real buying opportunities remain in the distance, bc the chaos won’t stop, and I think Don and Elon are eager to use violence.
There are big arguments about this on Reddit.I’ve always thought long-term investments should not be moved around (much); that one of the worst things to do is to dump the stocks in times of downturn. I invest in five index funds, and was planning to do so for the remainder. Are y’all saying this is a bad idea now? (Sorry, I don’t know much about the market, so please forgive my ignorance.)
My strategy basically. My only difference is I was basically 100% in equity index funds but have changed my allocation to 75-25 equity vs fixed income. This way I have locked in some of my gains, have funds I can convert to cash to try to time the dip and simply sleep better if the market really crashes.I’ve always thought long-term investments should not be moved around (much); that one of the worst things to do is to dump the stocks in times of downturn. I invest in five index funds, and was planning to do so for the remainder. Are y’all saying this is a bad idea now? (Sorry, I don’t know much about the market, so please forgive my ignorance.)
For me it's VFIAX, VSMAX, VGSLX, VTIAX, and VEMAX. I'm about 25 years from retirement...hopefullyMy strategy basically. My only difference is I was basically 100% in equity index funds but have changed my allocation to 75-25 equity vs fixed income. This way I have locked in some of my gains, have funds I can convert to cash to try to time the dip and simply sleep better if the market really crashes.
My index funds are VTSAX, SWPPX, VFIAX, QQQ and VTIAX
Income funds are FBND, SWAGX, FBNDX and cash in a money market
I also have a smaller amount of individual stocks and others for what ifs. I find myself getting excited when the market crashes as I want to see Trump's support erode but also see it as a long term opportunity to make money by converting income to equity. My only concern is I am five years away from cashing in so hope we don't see a 2007 crash and slow recovery.
It's also being discussed by the bogleheads on their forum.There are big arguments about this on Reddit.
I think in general it is a bad idea to move money around often. I think it is a terrible idea to sell based on nothing but the falling values.
But I think if you truly believe the economic situation will significantly deteriorate, then I think it is fine to move money around. The way I look at it is that doing so should be a truly rare thing and done full well knowing you could lose some gains.
I moved money 3 times all three before any market downturns.
One was in 2007.
In late 2016 I moved to safety. I just wasn’t sure what was going to happen with Trump and by the time I moved back in I lost maybe 7% gains. I was ok with that decision and outcome.
Now.
The key is that I don’t make a habit of doing it and I only do it if I think the upside far outweighs the downside.
And, no, I am not remotely rich. In 2007 I didn’t move enough to safety nor did I buy near bottom. But it did work out for the better.
Such a hard dilemma. You hear rule #1: Preserve Capital! Then all the other rules are things about how timing the market is impossible.I’ve always thought long-term investments should not be moved around (much); that one of the worst things to do is to dump the stocks in times of downturn. I invest in five index funds, and was planning to do so for the remainder. Are y’all saying this is a bad idea now? (Sorry, I don’t know much about the market, so please forgive my ignorance.)