The Weather Thread | San Francisco under rare tornado warning

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My brother-in-law and sister-in-law live two rows back from the beach in St. Pete. They only just got their power back a couple of days ago from Helene. Hopefully they are making preparations already to either evacuate down to Fort Myers where her parents live, or to Fernandina Beach where my mother-in-law and father-in-law have a place.
 
Let's hypothetically say you had a trip planned to a certain area near Orlando that is "magical" starting on Wednesday. Best bet to cancel or try to wait and see if any parts of the trip are salvageable?
 
Forecasted to become a cat 4 hurricane now but weaken to a cat 3 before landfall. Still, that's a major, and hopefully it will weaken like it's forecasted.
 
GQNC said:
I didn’t thumbs up your post because I like plants and would prefer to get an inch of rain every 7-8 days. I installed a personal weather station at my house (central Piedmont NC) 3-1/2 years ago and upload data to Weather Underground and Ambient Weather. Two years ago it measured 43+ inches of rain, last year 44+ inches, and 45+ this year already. That only includes a bit over 2” associated with Helene.

This is a very short measuring period to establish trend, but my data is pointing toward a general rainfall increase (in my area) with the warming weather patterns. Also, in each of the past few years, either November or December has been one of the highest rainfall months of that year. This year? We’ll see.
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Same.. My weather station also does the same systems and the tracking is similar

But given growing season is ending, and given how much rain we had in September (9 days after Helene and the ground is still wet) we could go weeks and be more than fine
 
I’m surprised to see this storm forecasted to strengthen as it passes through the Gulf. If my understanding is correct, hurricanes cool the water it passes above making it less likely for a subsequent weather system in the same area to reach hurricane strength.
 
lightbluenc said:
Let's hypothetically say you had a trip planned to a certain area near Orlando that is "magical" starting on Wednesday. Best bet to cancel or try to wait and see if any parts of the trip are salvageable?
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Buy the trip insurance and cancel
 
aGDevil2k said:
Same.. My weather station also does the same systems and the tracking is similar

But given growing season is ending, and given how much rain we had in September (9 days after Helene and the ground is still wet) we could go weeks and be more than fine
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Tell me more about the weather station?
 
1moretimeagain said:
I’m surprised to see this storm forecasted to strengthen as it passes through the Gulf. If my understanding is correct, hurricanes cool the water it passes above making it less likely for a subsequent weather system in the same area to reach hurricane strength.
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The Gulf is warm as hell.
 
CFordUNC said:
My brother-in-law and sister-in-law live two rows back from the beach in St. Pete. They only just got their power back a couple of days ago from Helene. Hopefully they are making preparations already to either evacuate down to Fort Myers where her parents live, or to Fernandina Beach where my mother-in-law and father-in-law have a place.
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CFord,

I just heard on NPR that local authorities in Fort Meyer are calling for a complete evacuation on Monday.

I also wouldn’t look at Ferdandina Beach as a bail-out location. Barrier island in Florida?
 
Zoo_View said:
CFord,

I just heard on NPR that local authorities in Fort Meyer are calling for a complete evacuation on Monday.

I also wouldn’t look at Ferdandina Beach as a bail-out location. Barrier island in Florida?
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Thanks a ton, Zoo. I really appreciate it. I’m sure they will get it all figured out. I’ll probably touch base with him tomorrow just to check in but they are both smart and won’t try to stupidly ride out a storm that they have no business trying to ride out.
 
Carolina Fever said:
I think Milton is going to become a cat 5 and make landfall as a cat 4.
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What a “holy fucking shit, WTF is going on?!” moment that would be. According to news station linked below, Tampa has ONE direct hit from a Cat 3 (formed south of Yucatán), in 1921, and ONE cat 1 in 1852! Otherwise, it’s all tropical depressions and storms.

www.wkbn.com

Tracking Milton: When’s the last time Tampa Bay was directly hit by a hurricane?

The National Hurricane Center is keeping a close watch on what is now Tropical Storm Milton, likely to become a Hurricane Sunday night.
www.wkbn.com
 
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