Thom Tillis will not run for reelection in 2026

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Mulberry Heel said:
Praise the Lord, does this mean that he's running? I doubt he could win even the GOP primary against real competition (say, Lara Trump) but at least he might damage her or any other GOP nominee for the general campaign. Or so we can hope.
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I don't think Robinson could win a precinct in his own church at this point. He has 0.0% chance of hurting any Republican in the primary.
 
Patb78 said:
Considering the giant KKK sign that used to be just outside of Smithfield I wouldn’t doubt it.
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Those signs were up for years at the city limits, they were finally taken down in 1977 I think. I believe they said something like "The KKK Welcomes You to Smithfield" along with "Help the KKK fight Communism and Integration." Which is just more evidence of the longstanding tendency of conservatives to equate progressive social or economic change they don't like with Communism/Marxism/Socialism etc.
 
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Mulberry Heel said:
LOL. Sounds like bluster to me - if Tillis was trailing by 9 to 13 points, and Cooper runs, I don't think an even more far-right Trump loyalist will do much better, including Lara Trump.
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MAGA was making noise about not turning out for Tillis. GOP assumes a Trump lackey nominee will fix that problem. I think it will help but not sure about whether it will drive up MAGA turnout enough or not without Trump himself on the ballot … could Lara Trump fix THAT issue for them?
 
superrific said:
1. Remember turnout. Trump won in 2024 because he turned out low propensity voters. They are unlikely to turn out again with Trump not on the ballot, and even if they do, are they going to be happy with him after all this bullshit? So even with the same overall popularity, the Dems can expect to pick up three points or so.

2. Do you really think Trump isn't going to plummet further? I mean, I suppose the economy could stay afloat but signs are not good.

3. Trump is training a laser target on rural North Carolina. Between the FEMA bullshit -- and the disappearance of FEMA -- and the Medicaid/SNAP cuts, are people really going to turn out for him? Are they going to get that much mileage from trans a second election in a row? I'm skeptical.
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I will just say, as to #3: Trump has been screwing poor Americans for a decade now, and they never seem to care. The day may come when it finally happens, but I'm not holding my breath.
 
rodoheel said:
I will just say, as to #3: Trump has been screwing poor Americans for a decade now, and they never seem to care. The day may come when it finally happens, but I'm not holding my breath.
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I probably need to finally get that point through my skull.
 
The only way for Trump to lose support among rural Americans is for urban Americans to start fawning all over him. His ascendance is and always has been "us vs them" and they don't care how bad the outcome is for rural America so long as it also hurts urban America.
 
CFordUNC said:
I probably need to finally get that point through my skull.
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I’ve given up. These are people who support an orange makeup wearing, pants shitting, diaper wearing, horrible comb over having,pussy grabbing, racist, gold toilet using guy who has stiffed everyone who’s ever worked for him, ran casino into the ground as a super alpha business guy protector of women, man of the people.
It defies everything and makes me hate the US
 
rodoheel said:
I will just say, as to #3: Trump has been screwing poor Americans for a decade now, and they never seem to care. The day may come when it finally happens, but I'm not holding my breath.
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Honestly think Trump has been screwing poor Americans' grandkids. I don't think poor Americans are really feeling many issues with Trump policies. The tax breaks for rich people have been paid for with debt and poor people haven't really lost many services. There is some grumbling about wealth inequality but it doesn't seem to stick to a billionaire president for some reason. Maybe because Democrats haven't done a particularly good job of addressing it either.

All that may change if the Medicaid cuts come through, but I suspect Congress will fix it when rural hospitals threaten to close like they did last time. The covid response definitely affected a lot of people but I think a lot of poor people give Trump a pass because either they blame Fauci for the shut down or they actually appreciate that Trump came through with the covid vaccine pretty quickly. No idea how people can both praise him for the parts of the covid response they like and not blame him for the parts of the covid response they didn't like even though he was in charge.

I just can't think of anything that poor people care about that Trump has made worse for them. I mean I can think of lots of things but I can't think of anything that they would attribute to Trump.
 
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gtyellowjacket said:
Honestly think Trump has been screwing poor Americans' grandkids. I don't think poor Americans are really feeling many issues with Trump policies. The tax breaks for rich people have been paid for with debt and poor people haven't really lost many services. There is some grumbling about wealth inequality but it doesn't seem to stick to a billionaire president for some reason. Maybe because Democrats haven't done a particularly good job of addressing it either.

All the that may change if the Medicaid cuts come through, but I suspect Congress will fix it when rural hospitals threaten to close like they did last time. The covid response definitely affected a lot of people but I think a lot of poor people give Trump a pass because either they blame Fauci for the shut down or they actually appreciate that Trump came through with the covid vaccine pretty quickly. No idea how people can both praise him and blame him.

I just can't think of anything that poor people care about that Trump has made worse for them. I mean I can think of lots of things but I can't think of anything that they would attribute to Trump.
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Unfortunately I think you are right. Every word of this.
 
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