Trump47 Foreign Policy Catch-All | Vance in Munich

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Trump is the source of reports about blowing Iran to smithereens but fine. The goal of a long and lasting peace in the ME is obviously laudable.
 
A “Verified Nuclear Peace Agreement” sounds a lot like what we had before.
You mean this meaningless piece of shit: The Iran Nuclear Deal: What's Wrong With It And What Can We Do Now?

He is talking about one that actually has some teeth to it and would actually achieve the goal of preventing them from having a bomb. Not the bullshit Obama rolled out. You know, limited access to inspections. Call ahead to reserve inspection time like they are reserving dinner reservations. Easing of sanctions to free up billions to spend on terror. But hey, at least we could call it a deal right?
 

”… the Trump administration’s bellicose approach to traditionally pro-American countries such as Canada or Denmark is unprecedented. Not only do U.S. partners have to worry that the United States is no longer trustworthy (because Trump thinks rules are meaningless and has no qualms about promising to do something on Tuesday and taking it back on Friday), but they also have to worry that the United States is actively malevolent.

When the president threatens to retake the Panama Canal or conquer Greenland or make Canada the 51st state—no matter what existing treaties require or what Panama, Denmark, or the Greenlanders have to say about it—all countries must worry that they might be next.

As balance-of-threat theory predicts, some leaders in these countries are already advocating concerted efforts to resist Trump’s dangerous agenda. … Such efforts are bound to increase if Trump continues down his current path, and some countries are going to look for help from Beijing, if only to gain more leverage against Washington.

… This is a sea change in U.S. foreign policy, and it will inevitably narrow the perceived differences between the United States and its principal great-power rivals. America’s Asian partners have been eager to cooperate with Washington (and adjust some of their policies to keep U.S. leaders happy) because they are worried about the regional balance of power and wanted the United States to help maintain it.

If the United States starts acting like Russia and China, however, and if it keeps threatening new trade wars, the advantages of being closely tied to Washington will diminish. States accustomed to following the U.S. lead will hedge and explore other strategies to protect themselves from U.S. whims. …”
 
this world would be such a better place if someone could eliminate all the major organized religions that promise an eternal afterlife....starting with islam. religions are nothing but country clubs full of elitists who think they have exclusive rights to an afterlife.....just pure societal conditioned stupidity.
 
“… In short, one of the more enduring and powerful theories of world politics suggests that Trump’s radical approach to foreign policy is going to backfire. He may win a few concessions in the short term, but the long-term results will be greater global resistance and new opportunities for America’s rivals.

Here’s where the theory of collective goods kicks in, however, and it points in the other direction. Taming American power requires coordinated action and a willingness to bear the costs of opposition. Getting other states to line up against Trump will take time, and some governments will be tempted to free-ride and hope that somebody else does the heavy lifting. Under these conditions, the United States can play divide-and-conquer and try to peel some states away by offering individual concessions.

The difficulty of organizing a balancing coalition should not be underestimated—especially for countries whose political systems are themselves under strain—and that’s undoubtedly what Trump is counting on.

But note: Keeping the world “off-balance” requires the selective use of U.S. power and a considerable amount of self-restraint. It means not looking for every opportunity to humiliate weaker countries or their leaders.

Other countries must be convinced Washington will keep its promises and that cutting a deal or making a concession won’t simply invite new demands.

Unfortunately, exercising restraint, keeping promises, and treating others with respect have never been part of Trump’s playbook, and the marginally competent people he’s appointed while he guts the ranks of the civil service make it even less likely that U.S. foreign policy will be conducted with finesse.

Nobody doubts that the United States has a mailed fist, but we are about to discover what happens when the velvet glove is removed.

As realists have warned for decades, and as a parade of past aggressors reminds us, states that use big-stick diplomacy to browbeat and punish others eventually overcome any initial reluctance to balance and the obstacles to collective action and end up with fewer friends, more enemies, and far less influence.

I wouldn’t have thought it possible for the United States to permanently alienate its closest neighbors and many long-standing partners, but that is precisely where we are now headed. …”
 
If US policy is now that international borders are malleable - and, clearly, that is our new policy - we need to move all the fabrication plants out of Taiwan like yesterday.

The second and third order effects of this policy shift are going to be breathtaking.
 
You mean this meaningless piece of shit: The Iran Nuclear Deal: What's Wrong With It And What Can We Do Now?

He is talking about one that actually has some teeth to it and would actually achieve the goal of preventing them from having a bomb. Not the bullshit Obama rolled out. You know, limited access to inspections. Call ahead to reserve inspection time like they are reserving dinner reservations. Easing of sanctions to free up billions to spend on terror. But hey, at least we could call it a deal right?
Iran’s nuclear program has advanced since don’s veto of the nuclear deal.
 

Rubio Snubs G-20 Meeting Citing South Africa’s Focus on Equality​

  • Trump vowed to cut off funds to South Africa over new land law
  • Rubio also cites country’s effort to address racial inequality
Awesome. So we’ve now imported South Africa’s racists and are substantially to the right of the country that held onto apartheid longer than almost any other.
 

Panama’s President Denies U.S. Claim of Free Canal Passage for American Ships​

State Department has been trying to negotiate concessions after Trump said he wants the U.S. to control the waterway​


"Panamanian President José Raúl Mulino on Thursday denied the State Department’s claim that his country had agreed to allow U.S. government vessels to transit the Panama Canal for free.

“I am incredibly surprised by yesterday’s statement,” Mulino told a news conference in Panama City. “They’re making an important, institutional statement from the entity that governs U.S. foreign policy…based on a falsity. And that’s intolerable.”

Mulino said he had told Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth the day before that he doesn’t have the legal authority to waive transit fees for anyone, describing the U.S. announcement as “lies and falsehoods.” He said he had asked Panama’s ambassador in Washington to dispute the State Department’s claim.

The announcement came three days after Secretary of State Marco Rubio visited the country to meet with Mulino and tour the canal. In a post on X on Wednesday night, the State Department declared U.S. government ships would be able to access the waterway “without charge fees, saving the U.S. government millions of dollars a year.” ..."
 
He's going to unite a lot of the ME over Gaza as well as well as much of Europe.
I think we need to give Trump the credit he deserves. A lot people say he’s divisive, but he may be the biggest uniter of any president we’ve ever had. He’s united nearly the entire world … against America.
 


“…
On Friday, Mulino faces his biggest test since becoming president last summer, in a phone call with Trump, who has made putting the Panama Canal under U.S. control a priority. Trump’s threat has cast Panama into crisis as it confronts its greatest ally over a waterway that is the country’s symbol of independence and generator of wealth. Mulino has vowed that the canal will remain in Panama’s hands.

A pragmatist, Mulino is aware of the asymmetry in power between the U.S. and Panama, a country of four million people that uses the U.S. dollar as its currency and has no regular army, said John Feeley, the former U.S. ambassador to Panama. He said Mulino relies on lawyerly reasoning and doesn’t engage in “populist flag waving.”

… Ultimately, he has little leverage beyond a personal appeal to Trump, some concessions and the rule of law—something he is used to as a lawyer. …”
 
Dozens of countries, including Germany, South Africa and Mexico, said Friday that President Donald Trump’s decision to sanction the International Criminal Court would “erode the international rule of law.”

The joint statement by 79 countries came hours after Trump signed an executive order slapping financial sanctions and visa restrictions against ICC staff and their family members, alleging the court has improperly targeted the United States and Israel.


“Such measures increase the risk of impunity for the most serious crimes and threaten to erode the international rule of law, which is crucial for promoting global order and security,” the 79 countries, including Canada and France, said in a statement publicly released by numerous governments.

The statement added that “sanctions could jeopardize the confidentiality of sensitive information and the safety of those involved—including victims, witnesses, and court officials, many of whom are our nationals.”

 
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