Revenue has stayed right at 17% of GDP, which has been the 50 year average. The issue has been expenses.
Sigh. Here we go again. D = A-B, but somehow the value of A can't be touched because the problem is B.
1. real federal spending increased about 29% from 2019 to 2024. 56% or whatever number you quoted was nominal. So the increase of 2.4T in nominal spending was actually about 1.5T in real terms.
2. Mandatory expenses --i.e. SS, Medicare and to a lesser extent Medicaid -- rose by 1.4T.
3. Interest on the debt rose $550B.
So of the nominal spending about 2T of the 2.4T was mandatory expenses plus interest. Another $100B from veterans affairs, because medical care for wounded vets is also becoming more expensive. There was also an increase in defense department.
4. So that's pretty much all of the increase: interest, inflation, SS, Medicare, Medicaid and VA.
5. The idea that tax receipts aren't at issue is laughable. Maybe if we hadn't cut taxes in 2017, we'd have been working with a baseline deficit of $100B instead of $1T. Maybe if we hadn't cut taxes so many times, the total debt -- and thus the interest paid on it -- wouldn't be so large.
It's not as if the increases in SS and Medicare were unforeseen. Everyone knew it was coming. The GOP slashes taxes anyway.
6. I am always amused when the "gotta run government like a business" folks somehow fail to comprehend the revenue side of things. Like, if my company is losing money, the first thing to do is increase my revenues if I can. If I'm instead laying off employees while letting 15% of my receivables go uncollected, I'd say the employees should be pissed. What do you think?