Let me premise this by saying it's waaaaaaay too early for me to even be thinking about "I told you so's." However... so far this coaching search is going exactly how I feared... and precisely why I was hesitant to see the trigger pulled on HD.
Biiiiiiiiig swing and a miss on all our Tier 1 options. Stevens politely turns us down before we can even really start. Lloyd leverages our offer for negotiations. May does not seem to even consider us.
Now on to Billy D... at first glance he sounds like a slam dunk option. But when you dig in, he's been unsuccessful in the NBA pro model, hasn’t coached in college in 10+ years, and arguably almost all the top tier coaches from his era have retired (many well before their time), because of inability and/or unwillingness to adapt to the pro model at the college level.
Add on to this that Billy D is making public comments about not being willing to start conversation until the NBA season is over in a week and the transfer portal opening tomorrow. Even if we do get Billy D, coming from the NBA he comes with zero current players transferring to stay with him... and zero pipeline with any current high school or foreign players.
I'm hoping Tanner is staying busy while this circus is playing out, but we are already tap dancing on the line of next year being a throw-away season... and there is still not a visible path for who our next coach will be.
If we swing and miss on Billy D as well (or give up on waiting out the next week), next up apparently is Byington or McCollum. Both intriguing options, but neither a slam dunk. And frankly, we have no idea whether they want this job or (similar to TJO) would prefer to do their thing somewhere where they get constant fan and admin adoration for what they do... whereas at UNC every time they fart in public there will be 27 articles and multiple 100+ page fan threads on maybe they are not the right person for the job.
So way too early for "I told you so's"? Absolutely. But going exactly as I feared so far? Absolutely.