2024 Pre-Election Political Polls | POLL - Trump would have had 7 point lead over Biden

[mpaer]

Sounds like a reasonable
My hopes are with Penn , my heart is with NC-Georgia has done it in the past?

 

[BillOfRights]

trump has to go 3 for 3. Harris only needs one if she gets the other 4 battlegrounds (MI, WI, NV, AZ).

 

[quakerdevil]

I believe PA will be tight, MI seems likely for Harris, but WTF is going on with WI???

It's odd because there were several polls a few weeks back which had her at like +4 IIRC

 

[aGDevil2k]

Wisconsin polling has always been wonky. I think it is interesting that Trump doesnt seem to go to Wisconsin at all. He really is trying for the east coast stand. Doing a rally in NY yesterday was weird as hell though

 

[lawtig02]

Wisconsin polling has always been wonky. I think it is interesting that Trump doesnt seem to go to Wisconsin at all. He really is trying for the east coast stand. Doing a rally in NY yesterday was weird as hell though

Especially since Dobbs, WI polls have tended to undercount Dems. It’ll be close but I’m not too concerned about Kamala’s chances there.

 

[dukeman92]

Color me concerned.

 

[uncjhodges]

That NYT poll is ludicrous. There is zero chance we are tied nationally but up 4 in PA.
Michigan seems good.
Have to get Nevada
Then Wisconsin or Arizona and then
Going to come down to getting 1 of NC, PA, GA

This system is so fucking stupid

 

[Centerpiece]

Who?

They were both trolling - the Croats and the heel from Woodson Illinois.
Put ‘em both on ignore

 

[CFordUNC]

 

[dukeman92]

I think Harris will win the popular vote by 5 million or more votes. Unfortunately that means diddly squat.

 

[nycfan]

JFC! Whatever these folks "didn't see" from Harris they surely saw from Trump. I mean, this is getting ridiculous. I can't fathom how anyone who is truly "undecided" watched that debate and came away thinking that Trump would be better for them in any way.

The media generally (and NYT specifically) have a vested interest in soliciting this response (I don’t know enough about her) unless and until said media gets the interviews they want with the candidate to properly inform their readers.

It is also seems IMO that Harris has been far too limited in her major media and small media interviews and it is starting to cost her, whether that is fair or not. Certainly it is not an issue the media is going to just drop.

 

[dukeman92]

I agree. And I’ve said as much. She needs to get out there and do some town halls and some national interviews.

 

[nycfan]

 

[nycfan]

 

[nycfan]

 

[nycfan]

 

[superrific]

This nowcasting shit is increasingly annoying. The model had Kamala at 64% likelihood yesterday; now it's a 60% likelihood. There is a zero percent chance that the model is accurate to that fine detail at this stage of the race. What we're seeing might turn out to be a trend but as of now, it's 12 hours and thus just noise really.

 

[superrific]

What do these hashtags mean? I've seen #N, #B, #A in the political polls posts.

 

[nycfan]

What do these hashtags mean? I've seen #N, #B, #A in the political polls posts.

Pollster rating (not sure by which outlet).

 

[nycfan]