2024 Pre-Election Political Polls | POLL - Trump would have had 7 point lead over Biden

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Mulberry Heel said:
After the 2016 nightmare, and Trump doing better than expected in 2020, I'm not going to feel confident or comfortable until all of the votes are counted and Harris has been officially certified as the winner by Congress and the Electoral College in January 2025. It does look bad for Trump right now, but as we've seen over the past month the momentum in campaigns can change on a dime in modern politics. If Harris or Walz has a disappointing debate performance or some right-wing media outlet digs up some dirt on Harris on Walz or something else unexpected happens then her momentum could come to a halt rather quickly. Having said all that, I would rather be in her position than Trump's right now.
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Spot on Mulberry. I think a lot of people went to bed thinking Hillary would be elected and woke up to a surprise. You never know
 
Rock said:
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As others have talked about in other threads, I think the notion that NC is turning bluer because of people moving here from other states is incorrect. There are plenty of red voters amongst those New Yorkers and Floridians that move here.

NC is purple because we have a large minority population. NC will only go blue if that bloc goes to the polls. It wasn't going to happen with Biden; it may happen with Harris.
 
WBroylesH said:
As others have talked about in other threads, I think the notion that NC is turning bluer because of people moving here from other states is incorrect. There are plenty of red voters amongst those New Yorkers and Floridians that move here.

NC is purple because we have a large minority population. NC will only go blue if that bloc goes to the polls. It wasn't going to happen with Biden; it may happen with Harris.
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I hope we see Harris and walz in person in NC in fairly short order. That would significantly benefit to build momentum here.
 
Mulberry Heel said:
After the 2016 nightmare, and Trump doing better than expected in 2020, I'm not going to feel confident or comfortable until all of the votes are counted and Harris has been officially certified as the winner by Congress and the Electoral College in January 2025. It does look bad for Trump right now, but as we've seen over the past month the momentum in campaigns can change on a dime in modern politics. If Harris or Walz has a disappointing debate performance or some right-wing media outlet digs up some dirt on Harris or Walz or something else unexpected happens then her momentum could come to a halt rather quickly. Having said all that, I would rather be in her position than Trump's right now.
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!
 


In the past, this pollster's results tend to lean R in past elections, but this lead is similar to what they found right after Harris became the likely nominee when Biden withdrew (after having Biden trailing Trump) ...
 
CLT Heel said:
I hope we see Harris and walz in person in NC in fairly short order. That would significantly benefit to build momentum here.
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Same here. They were supposed to hear last week but the storm caused them to cancel. I was really hoping for a quick reschedule before the convention.
 
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I feel like this is one of his worst, most egregious lie tweets of all time. Pollsters are changing their methods and standards from three weeks ago? Right at the time he started losing in the polls?

He is freaking. out.
 
Rock said:
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I feel like this is one of his worst, most egregious lie tweets of all time. Pollsters are changing their methods and standards from three weeks ago? Right at the time he started losing in the polls?

He is freaking. out.
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He’s in absolute panic mode right now. This is what compulsive liars do when the walls start closing in. The lies become more and more outrageous and unbelievable.
 
Trump’s campaign reminds me of when I was a with the football team at UNC and we played at Clemson one year, and we went into the halftime locker room either tied or slightly ahead and just completely feeling ourselves, and then Clemson changed their game plan at halftime and started feeding Sammy Watkins and DeAndre Hopkins literally every play and they scored like 35 points in a 10 min span in the 3rd quarter and just absolutely kicked our ass. I remember being on the sideline at Death Valley and everyone just kind of standing around looking completely dazed during that onslaught. That’s got to be what it feels like to be part of the Trump campaign right now as they are getting hit and pummeled over and over and over and appear totally powerless to stop it
 
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nycfan said:


In the past, this pollster's results tend to lean R in past elections, but this lead is similar to what they found right after Harris became the likely nominee when Biden withdrew (after having Biden trailing Trump) ...
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You know my feelings about polls but a couple of things about this poll confirm my predictions from months ago:

1) Kennedy likely wouldn't get 5%; and
2) any of the other third-party candidates would be lucky to get 1%.
 
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