2024 Political Polls
- Thread starter nycfan
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quakerdevil
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Roe changed everything.
Abortion and weed on the ballot. There is hope.
heelinhell
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recent poll has Cruz up by 3pts...
I don't know if Cruz is worried, but at this point I bet he is a bit concerned
rodoheel
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You know I'm more of a pessimist by nature. I agree with the first part of your premise - that Harris is leading and that lead appears to be growing. I do not agree with the second part - that "it would take one of the most dramatic reversals fortunes that we have ever seen in modern American politics for Donald Trump to regain the edge." There's a long time until the election and the Harris momentum will likely not continue all the way until election day. There's any number of things - bad economic news, international tension/conflict, major domestic incident, a bad debate performance by Kamala, etc - that could cause momentum to shift back; or, negative campaigning directed against Kamala and Walz could start to sit in and have more of an effect. Kamala's apparent lead right now is not as big as Clinton's was in the fall of 2016 when everyone thought she had the election sewed up. A "reversal of fortune" from this current posture would not be as dramatic as Trump's win in 2016, or even as dramatic as what we've seen in the last few weeks after Biden was replaced as the candidate. So I can't sign on to this sort of "it's all over barring a miracle" rhetoric. Still a long way to go; everything has gone great for Kamala so far but the election is still going to come down to a handful of states that will likely be fairly close.
1moretimeagain
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Florida has demonstrated a remarkable ability to vote for Democratic policies when they’re directly on the ballot, while simultaneously electing the politicians that oppose those policies.
CFordUNC
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I hear you for sure! I've always really appreciated your views and perspective on this stuff. It's good to have folks to keep me grounded!
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Last month we got Obama Care lol
Paine
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Basically already legal with THCa, but I get what you’re saying lol.
CFordUNC
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Really insightful read about how Harris is polling with Latinos. The TL;DR of this piece is that while there is still work to be done in shoring up this important voting bloc, the Democrats are "back in business" as the article says.
"With the entrance of Kamala Harris, we are seeing results that are back in a historically normal range. Relative to Biden, she sees rebounds across Latino subgroups, with the largest among young people. As one swing Latina woman put it in a recent Pennsylvania focus group, Harris is “a light at the end of the tunnel” for many who were torn about their vote choice.
In short: Democrats are back in business.
At the same time, Harris still has more work to do: our polling suggests she is tracking short of Biden’s 2020 support levels among Latinos by a few points. Her consolidation of discontented Latinos has been quick and dramatic, and our research suggests she has room for more movement. But neither side can afford to take these voters for granted over the last 80 days.
The kind of Latino voters who could tip the outcome in not only Arizona and Nevada but also Wisconsin and Pennsylvania do not closely follow election news. They don't have hard partisan identities. They are experts in their lives but not in politics. And if history is any guide, many of them won’t make up their minds — about whether to vote, or who to vote for — until closer to the election."
www.weareequis.us
"With the entrance of Kamala Harris, we are seeing results that are back in a historically normal range. Relative to Biden, she sees rebounds across Latino subgroups, with the largest among young people. As one swing Latina woman put it in a recent Pennsylvania focus group, Harris is “a light at the end of the tunnel” for many who were torn about their vote choice.
In short: Democrats are back in business.
At the same time, Harris still has more work to do: our polling suggests she is tracking short of Biden’s 2020 support levels among Latinos by a few points. Her consolidation of discontented Latinos has been quick and dramatic, and our research suggests she has room for more movement. But neither side can afford to take these voters for granted over the last 80 days.
The kind of Latino voters who could tip the outcome in not only Arizona and Nevada but also Wisconsin and Pennsylvania do not closely follow election news. They don't have hard partisan identities. They are experts in their lives but not in politics. And if history is any guide, many of them won’t make up their minds — about whether to vote, or who to vote for — until closer to the election."
Memo: A Latino Reset | Equis Research
www.weareequis.us
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I don't believe NC has a mechanism for getting propositions on the ballot via petition. The legislature has all the power to pass a law or not, or to put a proposition before the electorate or not. If a majority of the legislature opposes something, they are not going to risk a loss by putting it up for a vote by the electorate.
aGDevil2k
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Is that the official thing for Delta 8/10?
Paine
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THCa is the acidic form of THC (delta 9, aka just normal weed). When the plant is burned/heated, the THCa converts into THC.
The 2018 Farm Bill required THC levels in industrial hemp to be below certain levels, but people are skirting that by keeping the plants/bud refrigerated (since the THCa concentrations fall at lower temps, and then raise again when warmed.)
Basically, THCa is just THC when heated. Different from Delta 8 but they came about through the same legal loopholes if I understand correctly.
I don’t notice a difference between THCa in NC and legal weed I can get in other states. Sometimes, NC weed is even better. Delta 8 is a different high though, not as strong.
If you partake, check out WNC CBD online. Great strains there and they grow out of Asheville.
KishiKaisei
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KishiKaisei
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Not I. I gave up the election for dead.
Ii
When UNCpink was proclaiming that moment as the end of politics, I was saying that it would soon be forgotten and there was a lot more campaign left to be run.
I had hoped for a stronger replacement candidate, but so far, Kamala has exceeded my expectations. To the extent I am surprised, that is the only part.
me, me.
When UNCpink was proclaiming that moment as the end of politics, I was saying that it would soon be forgotten and there was a lot more campaign left to be run.
I had hoped for a stronger replacement candidate, but so far, Kamala has exceeded my expectations. To the extent I am surprised, that is the only part.
heelinhell
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I am !
I posted over and over again that Trump would be trailing Harris in the blue wall states by the time she and Walz were nominated in Chicago.
You don't have to believe me ; just go over to the old zzlp board and read them for yourself.