2024 Pre-Election Political Polls | POLL - Trump would have had 7 point lead over Biden

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politicalwire.com

Kamala Harris Still Has an Electoral College Problem

Nate Silver's latest forecast finds Kamala Harris is a slight favorite over Donald Trump to win the popular vote, 54% to 46%.However, she’s a modest underdog to Trump in the Electoral College, 38% to 61%.Key takeaway: "If an election were held today, we’d enter the evening with a lot of
politicalwire.com politicalwire.com

Nate Silver:
Kamala Harris is a slight favorite over Donald Trump to win the popular vote, 54% to 46%.


However, she’s a modest underdog to Trump in the Electoral College, 38% to 61%

www.natesilver.net

Harris is in much better shape than Biden. But she has one big problem.

It’s the Electoral College.
www.natesilver.net www.natesilver.net
 
pretty much every election since Roe V Wade was overturned, the Dems have dramatically outperformed the polls.
I still don't think the pollsters have caught up and the momentum is all on Harris side at least for now.
 
uncgriff said:
pretty much every election since Roe V Wade was overturned, the Dems have dramatically outperformed the polls.
I still don't think the pollsters have caught up and the momentum is all on Harris side at least for now.
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Freedom.........................
 
In a perfect world, the Trump campaign now has to expend a lot of money, time, energy, and resources that it wasn't planning on having to spend in places like North Carolina, Georgia, and even Ohio and Florida, any of which potentially flipping would make for an easy and early election night.
 
Zoo_View said:
Wisconsin is both whiter and less black than Michigan.
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Yes, but they typically vote within 2-3 points of each other (or have since at least 2008)
So if Michigan was really +12 i’d expect Harris to at least have a 5+ lead in Wisconsin
 
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