2024 Pre-Election Political Polls | POLL - Trump would have had 7 point lead over Biden

[BillyL]

Only 50% of 18-34 years olds? That doesn’t seem right.

I'm not either, something is wrong here . . very wrong.

 

[Bigs23]

Only 50% of 18-34 years olds? That doesn’t seem right.

50 to 40. Is plus +10 way off?

 

[Kingpin]

50 to 40. Is plus +10 way off?

Yes, IMO. I would expect at least 60-40 if not more.

 

[Bigs23]

Yes, IMO. I would expect at least 60-40 if not more.

Could certainly be that.

 

[nycfan]

Harris leads Trump in new Nebraska 2nd District poll • Nebraska Examiner

Vice President Kamala Harris leads former President Donald Trump in a new Nebraska 2nd District poll 50%-42%, with a 3.8% margin of error.

nebraskaexaminer.com

“A new poll in Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District shows Vice President Kamala Harris has reinvigorated local Democrats, infusing them with renewed hope.

The survey by conservative pollster Remington Research Group taken Aug. 14-17 indicates that Harris leads former President Donald Trump in the district 50%-42%, with a 3.8% margin of error.

…
The survey’s 8-percentage-point gap at the top resembles the recent voting record of the swing district, including the 52%-46% 2nd District win for President Joe Biden in 2020.

But it is the widest gap in five 2nd District presidential polls the Examiner has reviewed during the 2024 cycle. Most showed Trump narrowly leading or narrowly trailing Biden. …”

 

[aGDevil2k]

The only issue with the 18-34 year olds is they are the ones really being hit hard by the housing price issues. It's ridiculously hard for them to enter the housing market for starter homes. But hopefully they see Trump and the GOP will just make it worse because they don't care one bit

 

[Kingpin]

The only issue with the 18-34 year olds is they are the ones really being hit hard by the housing price issues. It's ridiculously hard for them to enter the housing market for starter homes. But hopefully they see Trump and the GOP will just make it worse because they don't care one bit

True. I thought I heard that Harris is proposing a tax break for first time home buyers up to $25K. That is a start of a Congress is elected that would pass it

 

[altmin]

 

[heelfan108]

The only issue with the 18-34 year olds is they are the ones really being hit hard by the housing price issues. It's ridiculously hard for them to enter the housing market for starter homes. But hopefully they see Trump and the GOP will just make it worse because they don't care one bit

Yup, I started a housing crisis thread here, but it gained little traction. If you already own a home, most people don't want housing to become affordable.

 

[Kingpin]

Yup, I started a housing crisis thread here, but it gained little traction. If you already own a home, most people don't want housing to become affordable.

At the very least rents need to come down, and that begins with zoning and building Apts. As interest rates fall housing prices will stabilize/fall and new starts begin again

 

[hedge]

You guys are all first order wimps.
I've had 2 colonoscopies over the years with no anesthesia at all out of professional curiosity.

Man, I would never eschew that sweet, sweet propofol...

 

[Wheels81]

 

[lawtig02]

Few things in life, save of course really good H&B, would make me happier than a 319-219 EC asskicking.

 

[Ddseddse]

We're officially a swing state! Feels like a big step forward from where we were in 2020. (Though I think the best measure of a swing state if the volume of advertising and we're crushing it by that metric too).

 

[Ddseddse]

Few things in life, save of course really good H&B, would make me happier than a 319-219 EC asskicking.

 

[Rock]

As an aside, that tweet coming from Bradley Whitford, I just started my fourth or fifth go through of the West Wing. I'm good for a rewatch every four or five years.

 

[akillesheel]

As an aside, that tweet coming from Bradley Whitford, I just started my fourth or fifth go through of the West Wing. I'm good for a rewatch every four or five years.

can't think of Whitford these days without thinking of his role in Get Out. "Would've voted for Obama a third time if I could" - just a classic line. Even funnier knowing he didn't realize it was a joke/satire.

 

[nycfan]

Willie Horton part two (after trying Swifboating part two and birtherism part two and slut shaming and other recycled efforts)

 

[nycfan]

 

[UNCMSinLS]

Interesting, particularly since Crystal Ball tends to be pretty slow and deliberative about changing a characterization.