2024 Pre-Election Political Polls | POLL - Trump would have had 7 point lead over Biden

[Kingpin]

This is actually how Georgia used to hold "elections" for most statewide offices, including governor. They had a "county unit" system where each county in GA was given a certain number of votes, and small rural counties were deliberately given greatly exaggerated votes while cities like Atlanta were deliberately given a much lower number of county votes. So a GA county with 10,000 people received about the same number of votes for governor as Atlanta, which back then had 450,000 to 500,000 people. It was about as blatantly undemocratic as you can get, and was definitely designed to give all the power in state government to rural areas at the expense of urban ones. The US Supreme Court finally ruled this system as unconstitutional and overturned it sometime in the 1960s I believe.

Today, the SCOTUS would rubber stamp that BS.

 

[altmin]

Today, the SCOTUS would rubber stamp that BS.

Hell, Thomas and Alito would give them pointers on how disenfranchise more in their concurrence.

 

[superrific]

It's hard to fathom Rosen is that far ahead of Harris

It's harder to fathom that NC has passed Georgia

There are outlier polls everywhere. Why would it be harder to poll a state with one big city as opposed to two or three?

 

[aGDevil2k]

There are outlier polls everywhere. Why would it be harder to poll a state with one big city as opposed to two or three?

Well if they try for geographical variation they can fail in proportional data capture

 

[1moretimeagain]

Vibe Check

 

[nycfan]

+3 with entire field

 

[theel4life]

 

[Centerpiece]

Should make Republicans awfully nervous… What new poll numbers signal for Trump…
New polling from The New York Times and Siena College show Kamala Harris making significant gains in Arizona, Georgia, Nevada and North Carolina, important swing states that seemed to be under Trump’s grip just a few weeks ago.

But screw a bunch of polls. The only one that matters is the polling place we show up at to vote.

 

[CFordUNC]

 

[CFordUNC]

 

[CFordUNC]

 

[CFordUNC]

 

[lawtig02]

Let’s see what other polls say but the main takeaway right now is that Kamala appears to be winning the battle to define herself. Trump is fighting desperately to paint her as a stupid, lazy commie, but most voters aren’t buying it. A strong performance at the DNC this week and Trump’s window may be almost closed.

 

[CallMeTyler]

+11 over Trump for mental sharpness?

I dare to disagree - lest we forget: person, woman, man, camera, covfefe! You don't just pull this out of your ass. That's brainpower!

 

[CFordUNC]

 

[Enigma94]

Those same polls were being used to dunk on Democrats just a few weeks ago. These people can’t open their mouth without lying.

 

[CFordUNC]

 

[Mulberry Heel]

+3 with entire field

"Trump's evolving strategy against Harris." LOL. It's abundantly clear, based on his speeches like last night in PA, that neither Trump nor his campaign staff have developed any kind of effective or coherent strategy to attack Harris, at least not yet. Right now they're just throwing stuff against the social media wall to see if any of it sticks. Just today one of Trump's campaign officials tweeted out that "rumors" and "gossip" have it that Harris has a drinking problem. It's absurd, but they're just throwing crap out there to see if any of it works. There is no "evolving" strategy - Trump is likely incapable of anything that organized, and as usual he doesn't seem to be listening to his staff - he apparently got mad when he heard that some of his top campaign officials were meeting with some reporters, so he threw his weird press conference at Mar-a-Lago a couple of days ago to steal the spotlight.

 

[milom98]

I tortured myself this morning by watching some Fox News just to see what they were talking about and the overall narrative is that Harris is slipping in the polls and Trump is really ahead in the race. Basically saying that the public has now seen enough of Harris and are running back to Trump.

 

[Mulberry Heel]

Let’s see what other polls say but the main takeaway right now is that Kamala appears to be winning the battle to define herself. Trump is fighting desperately to paint her as a stupid, lazy commie, but most voters aren’t buying it. A strong performance at the DNC this week and Trump’s window may be almost closed.

I definitely agree that Trump (and the GOP generally) has had a far more difficult time defining Harris or Walz than they did with Hillary or even Biden, but, assuming that the DNC goes well, I think his last chance to maybe turn things around will be his first debate with Harris. Both that debate and the vice presidential debate will likely be their last chances to regain some momentum. If Harris or Walz has a poor performance then both right-wing media like Fox and Trump's campaign will be all over it. But if they both do well then it's hard to see another major event (barring an "October surprise" scenario, which I don't think is going to happen this year) that could inject some life into what has been a surprisingly lifeless Trump/Vance campaign thus far.