theel4life
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+3 with entire field
I definitely agree that Trump (and the GOP generally) has had a far more difficult time defining Harris or Walz than they did with Hillary or even Biden, but, assuming that the DNC goes well, I think his last chance to maybe turn things around will be his first debate with Harris. Both that debate and the vice presidential debate will likely be their last chances to regain some momentum. If Harris or Walz has a poor performance then both right-wing media like Fox and Trump's campaign will be all over it. But if they both do well then it's hard to see another major event (barring an "October surprise" scenario, which I don't think is going to happen this year) that could inject some life into what has been a surprisingly lifeless Trump/Vance campaign thus far.Let’s see what other polls say but the main takeaway right now is that Kamala appears to be winning the battle to define herself. Trump is fighting desperately to paint her as a stupid, lazy commie, but most voters aren’t buying it. A strong performance at the DNC this week and Trump’s window may be almost closed.
No way Trump and Vance do better in the debates than Harris and Walz. Harris being a woman of color dominating Trump is going to bring out the worst of him in the debates.I definitely agree that Trump (and the GOP generally) has had a far more difficult time defining Harris or Walz than they did with Hillary or even Biden, but, assuming that the DNC goes well, I think his last chance to maybe turn things around will be his first debate with Harris. Both that debate and the vice presidential debate will likely be their last chances to regain some momentum. If Harris or Walz has a poor performance then both right-wing media like Fox and Trump's campaign will be all over it. But if they both do well then it's hard to see another major event (barring an "October surprise" scenario, which I don't think is going to happen this year) that could inject some life into what has been a surprisingly lifeless Trump/Vance campaign thus far.
Agree, but that’s why it’s so freaking stupid to be setting the bar so low. Harris is not stupid. Anyone who has seen her speak in the last 20 years knows that. I find it extraordinarily unlikely she’ll come across as stupid at the debate. So why in the everloving hell is Trump going on and on at every rally and press conference about how stupid she is? Unlike Biden, Harris doesn’t have to clear the “is she still capable bar.” She just has to clear the “is she ready” bar. But that’s not at all what Trump and his campaign have been talking about.I definitely agree that Trump (and the GOP generally) has had a far more difficult time defining Harris or Walz than they did with Hillary or even Biden, but, assuming that the DNC goes well, I think his last chance to maybe turn things around will be his first debate with Harris. Both that debate and the vice presidential debate will likely be their last chances to regain some momentum. If Harris or Walz has a poor performance then both right-wing media like Fox and Trump's campaign will be all over it. But if they both do well then it's hard to see another major event (barring an "October surprise" scenario, which I don't think is going to happen this year) that could inject some life into what has been a surprisingly lifeless Trump/Vance campaign thus far.
The downballot leads by Dems in Sun Belt states should scare the GQP twice as much.Should make Republicans awfully nervous… What new poll numbers signal for Trump…
New polling from The New York Times and Siena College show Kamala Harris making significant gains in Arizona, Georgia, Nevada and North Carolina, important swing states that seemed to be under Trump’s grip just a few weeks ago.
But screw a bunch of polls. The only one that matters is the polling place we show up at to vote.
No way Trump and Vance do better in the debates than Harris and Walz. Harris being a woman of color dominating Trump is going to bring out the worst of him in the debates.
Agree. If Pubs had strong Senate candidates in swing states, a declining Trump would be at risk of pulling them down. And if Trump were running well, bad Senate candidates in swing states would be at risk of pulling him down. But Pubs are now staring in the face of absolutely atrocious Senate candidates in swing states AND a declining Trump. There’s literally nothing they can do about the former at this point, and given Trump’s stubbornness and proclivity for self-immolation, the odds are the latter doesn’t get better either.The downballot leads by Dems in Sun Belt states should scare the GQP twice as much.