2025 & 2026 Elections

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CFordUNC said:
She’s going to lose Virginia by 20 points or more. She’s essentially Mark Robinson without the Nude Africa subscription (that we know of).
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Yeah, she genuinely doesn’t seem like she would have a Nude Africa skeleton in her closet.
 
CFordUNC said:
She’s going to lose Virginia by 20 points or more. She’s essentially Mark Robinson without the Nude Africa subscription (that we know of).
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A bit of a knowing hyperbole I presume, but yes, a black woman running on the GOP ticket, in a purple state, who has the charisma of boiled cabbage isn't likely to win.
 
It is fascinating to me how NC , now Va , just offer nothing as a candidate for Gov
In Nc I "kind of " assume no Pub wants to be a Governor since the legislture basically ignored everything Pat McCroy asked for.........
In his first week in office they took his (Art Popes) budget and tossed it in the bin
 
nycfan said:
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As has been pointed out here repeatedly, the reason Democrats are doing so poorly is because their base voters are frustrated and mad at them because of how they've approached dealing with Trump, not because their policies are unpopular or voters in general have turned against them. There are other polls showing that Democrats are actually quite eager to go to the polls next year and vote against Trumper candidates. The real issue, imo, isn't whether there will be a large anti-Trump vote in next year's elections (I think there will be), the question is whether Republicans at the national and state levels will manage to rig the votes and gerrymander districts to the point that the actual vote won't matter. They're already hard at work on doing so, as in Texas.
 
aGDevil2k said:
SC loves their crazy.

It's so wild to me how different of a state it is from North Carolina
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I have some friends in SC and they don't think she'll win the GOP primary, they think the favorite is SC Attorney General Alan Wilson, or maybe GOP Rep. Ralph Norman. The current Lt. Governor, Pamela Evette, is also running, but they think that SC GOP primary voters will prefer Wilson. As I don't live in SC I have no idea who will win the GOP nomination, although I'm quite certain that the candidate that does win the GOP nomination will beat their Democratic opponent and be the next governor.
 
Thought this was an interesting notion.

"Counterargument to this…Whoever Trump gets behind ahead of 2028 will win the GOP primary running away, likely with more than 50% of the vote in early contests—no matter who independents support. It won’t be a real contest because there isn’t a serious debate in the party over ideas. That’s why the contenders are all focused on getting Trump’s support—not the support of his voters. They estimate (likely accurately) that base primary voters will ultimately just do what Trump says. The party is captured.The Democratic primaries on the other hand will most likely be very competitive, involve significant and serious policy disagreements among many candidates, and likely be decided on razor-thin margins relative to the GOP. The Democratic Party is the party seriously redefining itself right now and independents are much more likely to help steer it away from the radicalism of Mamdami/Warren by giving an extra 5-10% to a sober standard-bearer. Independents who engage the Democratic Party in this way do the country an equal service and are more likely to influence the outcome."

 
CFordUNC said:
Thought this was an interesting notion.

"Counterargument to this…Whoever Trump gets behind ahead of 2028 will win the GOP primary running away, likely with more than 50% of the vote in early contests—no matter who independents support. It won’t be a real contest because there isn’t a serious debate in the party over ideas. That’s why the contenders are all focused on getting Trump’s support—not the support of his voters. They estimate (likely accurately) that base primary voters will ultimately just do what Trump says. The party is captured.The Democratic primaries on the other hand will most likely be very competitive, involve significant and serious policy disagreements among many candidates, and likely be decided on razor-thin margins relative to the GOP. The Democratic Party is the party seriously redefining itself right now and independents are much more likely to help steer it away from the radicalism of Mamdami/Warren by giving an extra 5-10% to a sober standard-bearer. Independents who engage the Democratic Party in this way do the country an equal service and are more likely to influence the outcome."

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this is what republicans want to see happen. dems nominate a republican-lite who fails to beat the MAGA candidate at their own game.
 
akillesheel said:
this is what republicans want to see happen. dems nominate a republican-lite who fails to beat the MAGA candidate at their own game.
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That's an interesting point I hadn't considered. I think because I am center-center right on a lot of things (though, obviously, vote Democratic these days), that I extrapolate what appeals to me personally and assign it to the rest of the Democratic voting base. But I can also see why that could be erroneous strategy.
 
akillesheel said:
this is what republicans want to see happen. dems nominate a republican-lite who fails to beat the MAGA candidate at their own game.
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Generally agree, however, middle-ground Joe was elected largely because he seemed a stable and boring administrator in a time of chaos and incompetence.

I think a presumed ‘28 election will be revolutionary election. Yet, don’t put it past Trump to have this country literally burning in the midst a bird flu pandemic and nationwide measles outbreak. In that case, Roy Cooper might just be the guy.
 
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