2025 & 2026 Elections

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The FCC regulated broadcast TV (under a dubious theory about public licenses for airwaves) but not cable networks.

In any event, the government can regulate publication of false facts (and Fox has already had to pay $750 million on that score), but it can't make Fox air "straight news".
I'd be happy with punishing lies. I don't think we would need "straight news" if we could weed out the misinformation.

That's the difference between the present moment and newspapers of yesteryear. With video editing, insights from psychology, and 24/7 availability, the propaganda news is just more ubiquitous, pervasive and effective in manipulation.
 
Elon Musk gave out $1m checks on Sunday to two Wisconsin voters, declaring them spokespeople for his political group, ahead of a Wisconsin supreme court election that the tech billionaire cast as critical to Donald Trump’s agenda and “the future of civilization”.

“It’s a super big deal,” he told a roughly 2,000-person crowd in Green Bay on Sunday night, taking the stage in a yellow cheesehead hat. “I’m not phoning it in. I’m here in person.”


Musk and groups he supports have spent more than $20m to help conservative favourite Brad Schimel in Tuesday’s race, which will determine the ideological makeup of a court likely to decide key issues in a perennial battleground state. Musk has increasingly become the center of the contest, with liberal favourite Susan Crawford and her allies protesting Musk and what they say is the influence he wants to have on the court.

“I think this will be important for the future of civilization,” he said. “It’s that’s significant.”

He noted that the state high court may well take up redistricting of congressional districts, which could ultimately affect which party controls the US House.

“And if the [Wisconsin] supreme court is able to redraw the districts, they will gerrymander the district and deprive Wisconsin of two seats on the Republican side,” Musk claimed. “Then they will try to stop all the government reforms we are getting done for you, the American people.”

A unanimous state supreme court on Sunday refused to hear a last-minute attempt by the state’s Democratic attorney general to stop Musk from handing over the checks to two voters, a ruling that came just minutes before the planned start of the rally.

Two lower courts had already rejected the legal challenge by Democrat Josh Kaul, who argues that Musk’s offer violates a state law. “Wisconsin law prohibits offering anything of value to induce anyone to vote,” Kaul argued in his filing. “Yet, Elon Musk did just that.”

But the state supreme court, which is now controlled four-to-three by liberal justices, declined to take the case as an original action. The court gave no rationale for its decision. All four liberal justices have endorsed Dane County Judge Susan Crawford, the Democratic-backed candidate.
 
There may be a canary or two in the coal mine tomorrow...

The Wisky state supreme court race will probably be determined by turnout. Trump got a lot of support from farmers in the rural areas. Will the farmers be voting to support Trump's trade war ?

The Florida Congressional seat is in a district Trump carried by around 30 points... so if the Dem gets within single digits ?

Either way, we will get a better idea of what may come in the midterm elections 🤔
 
I find it hard to believe that the GOP candidate would prevail in this environment.

That said, it is a state level race for Supreme Court. The things pissing off voters right now aren't things the state supreme court can do anything about. So maybe it will be decided on state issues. I'm sure the Republican is running on an anti-trans, anti-DEI bullshit platform.

I would look at the house races as better bellweathers of where we are.
 
I find it hard to believe that the GOP candidate would prevail in this environment.

That said, it is a state level race for Supreme Court. The things pissing off voters right now aren't things the state supreme court can do anything about. So maybe it will be decided on state issues. I'm sure the Republican is running on an anti-trans, anti-DEI bullshit platform.

I would look at the house races as better bellweathers of where we are.
It will be a pretty good barometer on abortion -- more than anything else.

It will also impact how many Republican-majority house districts are in Wisconsin, which is an issue that is breaking through a little more than it would in a typical state supreme court election.
 


Trafalgar is a Red shift pollster but still.

Trafalgar and Rasmussen seem to be very GQP/MAGA/conservative leaning polls

Like I said before it will depend upon the voter turnout tomorrow. I'm hoping the rural voters will stay home and not vote to support cutting their Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid, and tariffs that will hurt farmers.
 
It will be a pretty good barometer on abortion -- more than anything else.

It will also impact how many Republican-majority house districts are in Wisconsin, which is an issue that is breaking through a little more than it would in a typical state supreme court election.
It’s also a good barometer on how much Elon’s money and presence matters, for better or worse. He is pouring money into this.
 
Tonight is going to be interesting :)

The Fla Congressional special election race that Trump carried by 30 points has a poll showing the MAGA GQPer is up by only 4 points
Should the wisky state supreme court race go Dem ?

then it's on like neckbone😜

 
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