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2025 & 2026 Elections

  • Thread starter Thread starter nycfan
  • Start date Start date
  • Replies: 420
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  • Politics 
Mulberry Heel said:
Certainly changing demographics and a backlash over covid have played a major role in Florida becoming a deep red state, but the long-term incompetence and dumpster fire aspect of the Florida Democratic Party certainly hasn't helped. Even before the changes since covid Florida's Democrats had a long record of bungling and self-inflicted disasters. This is a state party that hasn't elected a governor since 1994, a US Senator since 2012, doesn't control a single elected statewide office, and hasn't controlled either house of the state legislature in nearly three decades. In 2018 they did come very close to winning the governor and senate races, but that's about the only bright spot.

In 2022 they ran an over-the-hill, well past-his-prime Republican-turned-Democrat for governor and not surprisingly got crushed, and as of right now one of their leading candidates for governor next year is - wait for it - yet another Republican-turned-Democrat. It's very unlikely that Florida Democrats are going to win running candidates that are basically Republican Lite, as Florida voters will simply vote for the real thing rather than the blander, "diet" substitute. The Florida GOP organization is vastly superior to the Democratic one in almost every way, and until that changes their fortunes won't start to change either.
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You drastically over inflate the influence of National and State Political Parties.

Parties have rarely determined nominees or policies for decades.
 
Zoo_View said:
You drastically over inflate the influence of National and State Political Parties.

Parties have rarely determined nominees or policies for decades.
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I don't agree, especially when it comes to Florida, but I have no interest in arguing the point with you late on a Saturday night, so I'll leave it at that.
 
Zoo_View said:
You drastically over inflate the influence of National and State Political Parties.

Parties have rarely determined nominees or policies for decades.
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Exactly. Party organization and candidate quality can make some differences at the edges (2024 NC governor race proves that) but Florida's party affiliation changes suggest some deeper demographic change.

I'd think the most logical argument would be that more Republicans than Democrats have moved to Florida in the last decade. That would be my first supposition to explain the changes.
 
Centerpiece said:
Wait, Florida has some Democrats residing there?
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The Floridians I know (my parents graduated from High School in Alachua County in the mid-late-‘50’s)……so, they’re OLD……..
Most were Conservative Democrats (I.e.; segregationists)…….some as the years went by quit being assholes……..not one is a Trumplican. Plenty of Trumplicans are assholes who grew up in Florida; plenty are from northern climes who flew Confederate battle flags or applauded those who did.
 
Growing up, I remember thinking Florida was this magical amazing place (80s). That mindset for many is long gone. Florida is now regarded as the place for Florida Man, other insanity, old people, and big conservative government

That has definitely changed who looks to move to Florida
 
aGDevil2k said:
Growing up, I remember thinking Florida was this magical amazing place (80s). That mindset for many is long gone. Florida is now regarded as the place for Florida Man, other insanity, old people, and big conservative government

That has definitely changed who looks to move to Florida
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Patton Oswalt once said the only reason anyone should ever go to Florida is to identify the body of their missing daughter.

Dark, but probably true.
 
Calheel said:
Exactly. Party organization and candidate quality can make some differences at the edges (2024 NC governor race proves that) but Florida's party affiliation changes suggest some deeper demographic change.

I'd think the most logical argument would be that more Republicans than Democrats have moved to Florida in the last decade. That would be my first supposition to explain the changes.
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All the pubs in the country should just move to Florida and Texas, leaving all other states more open to actual policy thought.

Then it will be easier to succeed.
 
UNCatTech said:
All the pubs in the country should just move to Florida and Texas, leaving all other states more open to actual policy thought.

Then it will be easier to succeed.
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They are moving- from blue states. Won’t help politically because it just makes those states bluer and Fla and TX redder
 
The Wilmimgton to Myrtle Beach area is Blowing up -mostly retirees Little subdivions every half mile
It will be intereting to see who "they are" The tiny subset I know are all retired Govt workers-Dems
 
mpaer said:
The Wilmimgton to Myrtle Beach area is Blowing up -mostly retirees Little subdivions every half mile
It will be intereting to see who "they are" The tiny subset I know are all retired Govt workers-Dems
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The articles I’ve read about Brunswick County’s recently arrived retirees is that they’re anti-tax Trumplicans. The county last had a Democrat win a majority in 1980. It’s 60% plus Trump.

Horry County, SC, voted 68% for Trump. Seven of its ten SC House seats are GOP; three of its five SC Senate seats are as well.

That area is increasingly anti-government white retirees.
 
Zoo_View said:
The articles I’ve read about Brunswick County’s recently arrived retirees is that they’re anti-tax Trumplicans. The county last had a Democrat win a majority in 1980. It’s 60% plus Trump.

Horry County, SC, voted 68% for Trump. Seven of its ten SC House seats are GOP; three of its five SC Senate seats are as well.

That area is increasingly anti-government white retirees.
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uggghhh
 

Mamdani surges in new poll, leading Cuomo for first time in New York mayor’s race​

The former governor has topped every voter survey since entering the race, but the democratic socialist is gaining on him.


“… The survey, conducted by Public Policy Polling for Democrat Justin Brannan’s city comptroller campaign, found Mamdani beating Cuomo 35 percent to 31 percent — a difference that is narrowly within the 4.1 percent margin of error.

[Other polling shows Cuomo with a lead of 2-12 points head to head, but more than two candidates are running]

… What was once a long-shot candidacy by the 33-year-old candidate has evolved into a competitive effort to lead the nation’s largest city.

Cuomo has sharpened his attacks against Mamdani in recent days by questioning his thin resume and ability to lead a complex city government. The two will face off in another debate Thursday night.…”

IMG_7355.jpeg
 
nycfan said:

Mamdani surges in new poll, leading Cuomo for first time in New York mayor’s race​

The former governor has topped every voter survey since entering the race, but the democratic socialist is gaining on him.


“… The survey, conducted by Public Policy Polling for Democrat Justin Brannan’s city comptroller campaign, found Mamdani beating Cuomo 35 percent to 31 percent — a difference that is narrowly within the 4.1 percent margin of error.

[Other polling shows Cuomo with a lead of 2-12 points head to head, but more than two candidates are running]

… What was once a long-shot candidacy by the 33-year-old candidate has evolved into a competitive effort to lead the nation’s largest city.

Cuomo has sharpened his attacks against Mamdani in recent days by questioning his thin resume and ability to lead a complex city government. The two will face off in another debate Thursday night.…”

IMG_7355.jpeg
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Is it time to give Paperboy Love Prince a shot?
 
farce© said:
A NYC mayor a named Zohran Mamdani will make MAGA apoplectic.
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Oh, it gets far more tRiGgERinG!!!! than that. Mamdani’s is/was:

- born in Uganda
- Shia Muslim
- a Democratic Socialist
- a hip hop fan, and even released a single himself!
- is married to a Syrian

At least per wiki.
 
The Trump approval ratings feom
Hispanics should make us all cringe. The Democrats have to find a way into that population. The message they are using now is the opposite of good. They continue to lose the demographic that is growing the most.
 
Healing said:
Oh, it gets far more tRiGgERinG!!!! than that. Mamdani’s is/was:

- born in Uganda
- Shia Muslim
- a Democratic Socialist
- a hip hop fan, and even released a single himself!
- is married to a Syrian

At least per wiki.
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It sounds like ICE will be deporting him soon.
 
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