Oh, if I was still a book maker I’d put the odds of him getting arrested/detained at even money, and would expect the line to drop to -110 to -150. I think we’ve steadily stepped into an era of political violence, that’s only going to accelerate. In that environment, getting arrested and/or detained will become a rite of passage for progressive candidates.
Doubt he’d even want to have to pull that chip out in a general.
But the ranked choice ballot structure really makes it tough to know how it will shake out.
The fact that Cuomo called on Bill Clinton to endorse him late in the process is telling that he felt threatened — that is probably not a political chip he wanted to use in the primary.
Who would want Cuomo in any political capacity?
Think he’s winning the primary at this point. They’re going to try to India Walton him.
In the age of Trump, folks can overcome anything. Refusing to say Israel has the right to exist as a Jewish state is wild but Trump has said crazier.
Slight misconception about RCV: the candidates you hate most should be left off the ballot entirely rather than put at the bottom. Probably wont ever affect you, but good info either way.
I don't know if he'll win the general election or not - I think he has a good chance - but there are worse places to be as a candidate than being seen as a young, dynamic, idealistic fresh face outsider bucking the tired old dinosaurs and status quo types in your party and in NYC politics generally. We'll see what happens, but I wouldn't count him out by any stretch.
Republicans are about to find out that red baiting has lost most of its potency. If they position themselves against young energy like Zohran, they’ll suffer for it.